2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumSuper Tuesday just may be last stand for Bernie Sanders
Its all a matter of arithmetic.
Sanders surge following his strong showing in Iowa and his big win in New Hampshire made him appear to be a formidable challenger to Democratic favorite Hillary Clinton. Sanders was riding a wave made up of equal parts momentum, money and grass-roots support.
Then he lost in Nevada.
http://www.bostonherald.com/news/columnists/kimberly_atkins/2016/02/super_tuesday_just_may_be_last_stand_for_bernie_sanders
LexVegas
(6,067 posts)workinclasszero
(28,270 posts)Bernies campaign died in Nevada.
LexVegas
(6,067 posts)Cal33
(7,018 posts)I expect to see him gaining thereafter. It will be a close fight right up to June, 2016.
Betty Karlson
(7,231 posts)workinclasszero
(28,270 posts)Bernie's campaign will live and die with the state by state primary polls.
Many of them are posted here and they are all extremely bad news for Bernie except Vermont.
Betty Karlson
(7,231 posts)I agree, extremely bad news for Sanders. Only in Vermont would Sanders get all the delegates. In six more states he would merely win, and in some cases not even by double digits.
Compare that to Clinton's landslide in Iowa (0.2%) or her 5 % win Nevada, or her showing in NH...
Oh wait...
workinclasszero
(28,270 posts)the world is gonna change and then Super Tuesday.
Bernie will not be a viable candidate afterwards, it is what it is.
Betty Karlson
(7,231 posts)No disrespect to South Carolina, but that hyperbole is detached from reality.
mythology
(9,527 posts)Because that poll is a joke.
merrily
(45,251 posts)AZ Progressive
(3,411 posts)You don't understand that this is not like any other election cycle. The rules don't apply here. People are not figuring out which corrupt politician to choose. The choice is clear here, between a super corrupt politician and the most decent politician and human being in American politics today, and a fighter of the 99%.
Cal33
(7,018 posts)The fight is uphill for Sanders all the way, in spite of which he is doing extremely well. He
is attracting more and more supporters as time goes on. I believe he will win in the end -
but it will be close.
brooklynite
(94,589 posts)EDIT - I mean "which States THAT WILL GET HIM THE DELEGATES HE NEEDS should we expect Sanders to win?
HooptieWagon
(17,064 posts)bunnies
(15,859 posts)Surprise!
larkrake
(1,674 posts)Bernie will be supported all the way in high delegate states. He will win even if he loses the nomination, because he is right in solutions, is not a corporate shill like Hillary nor is he a pathological liar/narcissist like trump-Cruz-rubio
workinclasszero
(28,270 posts)OK?
DCBob
(24,689 posts)and it doesn't get any easier for Bernie after that. Here the next 11 states after Super Tuesday.. the only one Bernie has a decent chance to win is Maine... the rest are mostly Clinton states.
Michigan
Louisiana
Mississippi
Florida
Illinois
Missouri
North Carolina
Ohio
Kansas
Nebraska
Maine
brooklynite
(94,589 posts)...apparently the Clinton campaign has been racking up sign ups for absentee ballots. Ballot requests are about 10,000 more than expected.
angrychair
(8,699 posts)There are 1,004 delegates available on March 1st. All states issue their delegates proportionally, no one comes out of Super Tuesday with a 1,000 delegates or anything crazy like that.
Current pledged delegates: 51Sanders/51Clinton
SuperDelegates don't count till the vote on convention night is over. Stop looking foolish using that number in a delegate count. They can and have flipped at the very last second before.
Example: do you really think that New Hampshire's SuperDelegates will not all vote with Sanders? He won the state by the largest number in a contested primary in state history, Democrat or Republican.
Link to help educate yourself a little:
http://www.al.com/news/index.ssf/2016/02/super_tuesday_2016_when_is_it.html
GreenPartyVoter
(72,377 posts)in trouble with the FBI? Makes more sense to stay in until convention and see how things play out.
Fast Walker 52
(7,723 posts)pdsimdars
(6,007 posts)When his popularity is rising and hers is falling?
Just a matter of time . . . . . .
That's why they want him out ASAP, before she falls flat.
Just a matter of time . . . . .
ismnotwasm
(41,986 posts)Then we can move forward
lunamagica
(9,967 posts)SidDithers
(44,228 posts)Sid
DisgustedTX
(1,199 posts)won LATEENOH and LATEENAH voters in NV?
Fast Walker 52
(7,723 posts)pdsimdars
(6,007 posts)thereismore
(13,326 posts)farleftlib
(2,125 posts)where he will accept the nomination of the Democratic Party and go on to be POTUS.
He has said this many times. It has been posted many times. He's in it to win it. Thank you for your "concern."
pdsimdars
(6,007 posts)He is rising and she is sinking . . . it's only a matter of time . . . that's why they want him out so badly. . . . as time goes by, she will fall flat.
The Redheaded Guy
(90 posts)He moves on towards the convention. Yet another FUD meme destroyed.
BernieforPres2016
(3,017 posts)Remember that Robert F. Kennedy was assassinated in June, as Hillary noted when she explained why she stayed in the race against Obama in 2008.
MuseRider
(34,111 posts)until the end. We have a candidate that does no lie to us. Unless something horrible happens he is in this to build up the people to stop the oligarchy. No one else is going to do it. Why would he stop and why should we stop supporting him?
Sorry, we don't want Hillary and we are not planning on handing it to her. I think the dems are so used to just giving up they can't imagine this.
whatchamacallit
(15,558 posts)Sorry, we're all in for the ride, and democracy is better for it.
bobbobbins01
(1,681 posts)But the fact is, yes, he'll take a big hit from now until March 15th, but he could potentially win every state after that. So they need to hurt him now to prevent that. Don't listen.