2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumNew Rhode Island Poll: Clinton: 49% (+8) Bernie: 40% (-8)
he more recent of the surveys sampled 394 likely Democratic primary voters, and found Clinton at 49% and Sanders at 40%. Among self-identified Democrats, Clinton leads Sanders 55% to 31%, but among self-identified independents, Sanders leads Clinton 58% to 36%.
The same survey sampled 206 likely Republican primary voters, and found Trump on top at 43%, followed by Marco Rubio at 25%, John Kasich at 14%, Ted Cruz at 10% and Ben Carson at 3%.
PDFs: Feb. 22-23 Brown poll results Democrats, Republicans
PDFs: Feb. 17-20 Brown poll results Democrats, Republicans
The survey was conducted by Browns Taubman Center for American Politics and Policy on Feb. 22 and 23.
Browns earlier survey, conducted Feb. 17 to 20, showed markedly different results for the Democratic primary, with Sanders leading at 48% and Clinton at 41%. Brown argued the change showed a shift in support toward Clinton after Saturdays Nevada caucus, though its also possible the movement has to do with methodology. That earlier survey sampled 396 likely Democratic primary voters.
http://wpri.com/2016/02/25/poll-clinton-trump-on-top-in-ri-primary-races/
I know that some here have been touting the earlier survey that had Bernie up, but looks like the Nevada momentum has turned that around.
itsrobert
(14,157 posts)Feel the Hillmentrum.
datguy_6
(176 posts)Here's a handy link that has delegate totals for each state and the date of each vote.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/democratic_delegate_count.html
NurseJackie
(42,862 posts)Stallion
(6,474 posts)pretty typical-the Democrats are winning as usual which is always nice in the Democratic Party Primary
WI_DEM
(33,497 posts)Democratic voters. The Sanders people say that Hillary can't win independents, but I have to wonder if Bernie can win Democrats.
yardwork
(61,620 posts)The sobbing phone banker had obviously been given a list of Republicans to call. I thought that was interesting. Also, she wasn't prepared for the calls. That kind of phone banking requires special preparation because it's difficult. I've done it for gay rights and the conversations can be brutal.
Nanjeanne
(4,960 posts)Turnout is tremendous. Independents simply won't vote for her.
sheshe2
(83,771 posts)TheBlackAdder
(28,201 posts).
http://fivethirtyeight.com/interactives/pollster-ratings/
I have extremely accurate college politico types in the NE who call all the Northeast except for CT, for Sanders.
The beauty part is that these folks are non-affiliated and remain neutral.
Once you get a mile or two off the waterfront, the people are hurting. Most of the yachts there are out-of-staters who berth them for their tax advantages, most from Mass. And the gentrified, hipster sections of Providence lean slightly for Sanders.
PS. CT is about to fall too.
And, on a MidEastern State level, don't tell anyone but NJ is about to go too.
.
Im sure the Hillary team is happy with that.