2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumLatest CNN/ORC Poll Confirms Sanders Dems’ Best Chance to Win in November
In a head-to-head matchup with Republican frontrunner Donald Trump, Sanders bests him by 12 points. Hillary Clintons advantage over Trump is only eight points. Sanders also beats Sen. Marco Rubio by eight points and trounces Sen. Ted Cruz by 17 points, while Secretary Clinton loses to Rubio and Cruz in head-to-head matchups in the CNN/ORC poll.
https://berniesanders.com/press-release/latest-cnnorc-poll-confirms-sanders-dems-best-chance-to-win-in-november/
Sanders -- who enjoys the most positive favorable rating of any presidential candidate in the field, according to the poll -- tops all three Republicans by wide margins: 57% to 40% against Cruz, 55% to 43% against Trump, and 53% to 45% against Rubio. Sanders fares better than Clinton in each match-up among men, younger voters and independents
http://www.cnn.com/2016/03/01/politics/donald-trump-hillary-clinton-bernie-sanders-poll/index.html
agracie
(950 posts)msongs
(67,420 posts)restorefreedom
(12,655 posts)pdsimdars
(6,007 posts)I wonder if people realize that there are more Independents than there are either Democrats or Republicans.
And those Independents are more into Bernie. You can win a large percentage of a smaller group, but that won't beat a possible smaller percentage of a larger group. It's the math, stupid!
Tarc
(10,476 posts)so those match-ups are largely academic. Even if they did somehow thwart Trump and win, though, what they benefit from at the moment is being viewed as "not as bad". Once they are on their own and defending their own records and beliefs, the voters will see that their stances are really no different than Trump, and the only place the ever did differ was in the use of profanity to deliver their message. This is esp true for Cruz, who in many ways is far, far worse than the Donald on many issues.
There's also the fact that their candidates are only winning their primaries with 1/4th to 1/3rd of the GOP electorate.
Cliffsnotes; any Democrat beats any Republican this year.
grossproffit
(5,591 posts)ejbr
(5,856 posts)Today is just Democrats who make up just 35% of the electorate. When EVERYONE has a choice, her chances decreases significantly. Imagine what is happening with Trump. Not many outside the party can stand him.
pdsimdars
(6,007 posts)WOW, it is stark. There is no question that against the GOP, Sanders beats every one of them and by big margins, whereas IF Hillary beats them it is a squeaker.
So I'm sure all of those people who keep citing "electability" will be starting to push their most electable candidate -- Bernie Sanders! Right? (I wouldn't hold your breath)
senz
(11,945 posts)itsrobert
(14,157 posts)So Hillary is the Dem's best chance to win in November. Since Bernie won't be on the ballot.