2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumThe Primary Isn’t Over: Five theses on the Super Tuesday results.
https://www.jacobinmag.com/2016/03/super-tuesday-hillary-clinton-bernie-sanders-democratic-primary/The Primary Isnt Over
Five theses on the Super Tuesday results.
by Corey Robin
Bernie Sanders won four states: Oklahoma, Minnesota, Vermont, and Colorado. Hillary Clinton won seven states: Alabama, Arkansas, Georgia, Massachusetts, Tennessee, Texas, Virginia. That means, altogether, that Sanders has five states (those four plus New Hampshire), and Clinton has ten states (those seven plus Nevada, Iowa, and South Carolina).
But heres the critical thing: the elections in Nevada, Iowa, and Massachusetts were either close or extraordinarily close. A little bit more time here, a little bit more organizing there, and they could easily have tipped his way. In other words, Sanders could very easily have seven states now to Clintons eight. He doesnt, and coulda shoulda woulda is just that. But what this does mean, going forward, is that we have the opportunity to turn potential into actual. Weve got time, weve got organizing, weve got money: lets make use of it all.
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Think about it. With the exception of Nevada, the states where theres been dramatic support for Clinton among non-white voters have all been in the South. And in Nevada, Latino voters almost went for Sanders (although, again, the results have been a source of conflict).
But outside the South and Nevada, there have been primaries in three states that are virtually all white (Vermont, New Hampshire, and Iowa), and three other states that while majority white, have more diverse populations (Colorado, Minnesota, and Massachusetts). In Massachusetts, Sanders got 41 percent of the non-white vote. Compared with all those states in the South, thats stunning.
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Outside the South, Sanders has won or come very close to winning every single state. From here on out, many of the states are much friendlier territory for him. Unless our brains are so completely scrambled by the Nate Silvers/Voxification of political life where every poll is a destiny, every superdelegate a fact of nature, where everyones a crackpot realist rather than a citizen activist it would be the definition of insanity to give up now.
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Dont call me Shirley
(10,998 posts)revbones
(3,660 posts)Can't wait to see the HRC thread police run in and post pictures or whatnot to deflect.
Lorien
(31,935 posts)in the General. Bernie is getting solid wins in Blue and swing States. So , once again Hillary fangirls, SHE WILL LOSE IN A GENERAL ELECTION. If you care about this Country you will vote for the candidate who can WIN THE GENERAL ELECTION. Yes, we know that you are conservative (right of center) pro war, pro fracking, pro monsanto, pro walmart "centrists" who really don't like liberals at all, but who would you honestly rather see in office? Bernie Sanders or Trump? Because no matter what you tell yourselves, Hillary will never win a general election. A vote for Hillary is a vote for Trump.
RobertEarl
(13,685 posts)We will win this. We have to win this. Turnout is the key.
Godhumor
(6,437 posts)But do go on.