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2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumThe GOP’s demographics problem
If demographics is destiny, the Republican Party has a rendezvous with irrelevance unless its policies change. This is the message some Republican leaders have been sending in the closing weeks of the presidential campaign. The demographics race were losing badly, Senator Lindsey Graham recently told the Washington Post with characteristic bluntness. Were not generating enough angry white guys to stay in business for the long term.
The numbers tell the tale. Minorities have accounted for 85 percent of the countrys population growth over the past decade, according to the US Census Bureau. A record 24 million Hispanics will be eligible to vote in the 2012 presidential election, up 22 percent since 2008. Meanwhile, nearly 87 percent of registered Republican voters are white. And whites have declined as a portion of the electorate in every presidential election since 1992.
Its getting harder and harder to cobble together a winning coalition based on the grievances of a diminishing faction of white men, and many Republicans know it. An unnamed strategist was quoted in the National Journal in August explaining that Mitt Romney campaigns formula for winning the presidency involves capturing 61 percent of the white vote (more than any candidate since Ronald Reagan). This is the last time anyone will try to do this, the strategist said
The numbers tell the tale. Minorities have accounted for 85 percent of the countrys population growth over the past decade, according to the US Census Bureau. A record 24 million Hispanics will be eligible to vote in the 2012 presidential election, up 22 percent since 2008. Meanwhile, nearly 87 percent of registered Republican voters are white. And whites have declined as a portion of the electorate in every presidential election since 1992.
Its getting harder and harder to cobble together a winning coalition based on the grievances of a diminishing faction of white men, and many Republicans know it. An unnamed strategist was quoted in the National Journal in August explaining that Mitt Romney campaigns formula for winning the presidency involves capturing 61 percent of the white vote (more than any candidate since Ronald Reagan). This is the last time anyone will try to do this, the strategist said
http://www.bostonglobe.com/opinion/2012/10/12/the-gop-demographics-problem/de33ayEwX4qT1prjuRRVGP/story.html
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The GOP’s demographics problem (Original Post)
DemocratSinceBirth
Oct 2012
OP
It Will Be Harder To Do Because Next Election Instead Of 61% Of The White Vote It Will Be 65%
DemocratSinceBirth
Oct 2012
#2
Flashmann
(2,140 posts)1. This is the last time anyone will try to do this,
Unless it works......
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,710 posts)2. It Will Be Harder To Do Because Next Election Instead Of 61% Of The White Vote It Will Be 65%
And in the election after that it will be 70%. That would suggest the average white American voter will vote as if he or she was born and raised in , say, Mississippi, and share their attitudes.
Flashmann
(2,140 posts)3. I understand
But,assuming it works for them this time,they will try again....These shit sticks don't recognize trends that work against them....They'll do it til it blows up in their shiteating faces...Much like we're beginning to see with their wars on women,minorities,gay folks....Those things and others,are starting to blow back on them pretty good,and they just try harder....That's the point I was snidely trying to make...