Obama leads in NC 46 - 45

[bushisanidiot]

Note, this poll was taken PRE-Biden Bump, showing romney's "blip" is over.

http://livewire.talkingpointsmemo.com/entry/poll-significant-post-debate-shift-seen-in-north

"President Obama leads Republican presidential candidate Mitt Romney in the key swing state of North Carolina 46 percent to Romney's 45 percent, according to a new poll released Friday from High Point University (HPU).

The poll, which surveyed 605 likely voters from Sept. 29-Oct. 10. "

[barbtries]

1. that's what i'm talking about!

he can take this state!

[bushisanidiot]

2. It's DEFINITELY in play. As is AZ due to the latino vote.

God, I'm excited about election day!

[writes3000]

3. Love the positivity! Here's the catch with that poll...

Which has been posted a few times.

1) it spans a long period of time so it might not gie the best snapshot of what's going on right now.

2) the poll explains that Romney did better than the President in the dates following the debate.

Thanks for posting good news though!

[woolldog]

4. Hate to be a downer but it's not a good poll nt

4 days predebate in which Obama was winning and a big shift after the debate.

[ProSense]

5. It may have been single-day polling because

A closer look at the data, however, suggests a shift related to the first presidential debate between Obama and Romney that occurred on Oct. 3. Prior to the debate, 49 percent said they would vote for Obama and 40 percent chose Romney. After the debate, 49 percent of those surveyed chose Romney compared to 43 percent for Obama.

...I doubt Obama had a 9-point lead in NC. The poll looks like single-day polling.

The mid Sept poll showed Obama 48, Romney 44
http://acme.highpoint.edu/~mkifer/src/17memoa.pdf

Previous to that:

Romney 46, Obama 43 (early September)
http://acme.highpoint.edu/~mkifer/src/16releasea.pdf

Obama 43, Romney 43 (late August)
http://www.highpoint.edu/blog/2012/08/27/hpu-poll-obama-and-romney-deadlocked-in-north-carolina/