Sanders is far from out...

[Unca Jim]

I am excited by how well Sanders did on Super Tuesday and I have no idea why anyone should believe the meme being pushed by the oligarch media that Clinton is inevitable and stomped Sanders last night.

Let's break it down:

As of last night, Clinton has 544 pledged delegates, Sanders has 349. That's not including superdelegates, who don't commit until the convention. You need at least 2,383 delegates to win. That means that around 63% of the delegates are still up for grabs. If you include the superdelegates, that's more like 70%.

Sanders picked up 284 Delegates last night, and Clinton got 453, so Clinton did have a great night. The thing is, most of the states were large and in her firewall of southern states; no surprise that she did well. It's important to notice that Sanders got a lot of delegates from those big southern states, too.

Sanders winning Oklahoma was pretty surprising, and he did much better in Minnesota (Yay home team!) and Colorado than people thought he would. He underperformed in Massachusetts, however.

Clinton did better in Massachusetts than expected, and cleaned up in her base.

So what do we have to look forward to? Saturday we get Kansas, Louisiana, and Nebraska. Sanders is a little behind in Kansas, but almost half the democrats haven't decided yet. Louisiana will likely give most of its delegates to Clinton, and no one seems to know what will happen in Nebraska. Sanders will likely get 1/3-1/2 the delegates for a small net gain for Clinton.

Soon after we get Maine, Michigan and Mississippi. Bernie is slightly ahead in Maine, Clinton stands to gain a lot of delegates in Michigan if she can keep her lead going, and she'll get more than Sanders in Mississippi. She'll probably gain modestly.

Then the big date: March 15th. Several big states (Florida, Ohio, Illinois, North Carolina, and Missouri) come in. Right now, Clinton is ahead in most of those, but not by much and her support is eroding steadily. Sanders will pick up a lot of delegates and could easily win a few big states.

Then the rest of the calendar is pretty favorable to Sanders. Unless Clinton has an insurmountable lead before then, he could keep chugging along and pick up enough to win the nomination.

Of course all that hinges on his message getting out to people and convincing them, but it's still a real shot at the nomination.

It's far from over.

[Faux pas]

1. K N R

[wendylaroux]

2. yes indeed!!! ty Unca Jim!!!!! nt

[HassleCat]

3. It's still on, definitely.

Tuesday was supposed to be, according to the media, the event that ended it all for Sanders. Clinton did better than expected in her "fire wall" states, picking up more delegates by landslide victories. But that was her prime territory. The media keep urging voters to forget about Sanders, but the voters are not listening.

[99th_Monkey]

4. Shhh.

Let's sneak up on them.

[Unca Jim]

5. I am glad...

to see that I am not the only one figuring this out.