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bushisanidiot

(8,064 posts)
Tue Oct 16, 2012, 10:00 AM Oct 2012

Romney losing in swing states

All numbers are current RCP averages:

Obama swing states:
IA +2.7
MI +4.4 (romney still losing his home state)
NV +1.6 (no polls taken since Biden Bump)
NH +0.5 (no polls taken since Biden Bump)
OH +2.2 (only 1 poll taken since Biden Bump which was +5, showing lead increasing for Obama)
PA +5
VA +0.8 (only 1 poll taken since Biden Bump, republican ARG +1 for Romney)
WI +2.3 (no polls taken since Biden Bump)

*NOTE - Ryan is losing his home state of WI. Romney is losing his home state of MI (and is way behind in MA, where he was a failed governor for 4 years)


Romney swing states:

AZ +5.3 (new swing state - was solid R)
CO +0.6 (barely hangs on, due to old polls taken before VP debate)
FL +2.5 (lead due to old polls and one old outlier poll from mason/dixon)
NC +4.7 (due to Gravis outlier +9 poll after 1st debate, newer polls show only +2)

Romney is still losing the swing states, big time. So the spin on Morning Joe this morning that that
Romney was somehow winning the swing states because they combined all the numbers, is flat out wrong.
Plus, they are using old poll numbers for their figures. More polls have yet to come out that WILL
reflect the Biden Bump, so we are still stuck with old data to make predictions from.

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Romney losing in swing states (Original Post) bushisanidiot Oct 2012 OP
The more Morning Joe comes out with this the harder we work Rosa Luxemburg Oct 2012 #1
The pundits create the narrative and the polls reflect their hard work bushisanidiot Oct 2012 #2

Rosa Luxemburg

(28,627 posts)
1. The more Morning Joe comes out with this the harder we work
Tue Oct 16, 2012, 10:02 AM
Oct 2012

see how the media is trying to manipulate this election?

bushisanidiot

(8,064 posts)
2. The pundits create the narrative and the polls reflect their hard work
Tue Oct 16, 2012, 10:40 AM
Oct 2012

the pundits are supposed to FOLLOW the polls.
the polls are not supposed to FOLLOW the pundits.

It's more than obvious that a substantial Obama win isn't good ratings for them
so they are creating these crazy theories to keep it exciting.

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