Tonight We Test The "Wisdom Of Crowds" Obama Is Currently A 2-1Favorite To Win Tonight's Debate

[DemocratSinceBirth]

http://www.intrade.com/v4/markets/contract/?contractId=766621


Please, Sweet Jesus, let the crowd be right.

[dgraz007]

1. Right Crowd

Yeah..a lot does depend on the crowd. I hope to hell they are some real thinkers, and some excellent listeners. I hope they have kept track of all the times mittens has flipped and flopped. Guess I will go and light a freaking candle, straighten up all my shoes, flip the light on and off ten times, and throw some salt over my shoulder.

[JiminyJominy]

2. Sorry

but i'm seriously doubting the "wisdom" and general IQ of the voting electorate at this point.

especially in states like Ohio.

one candidate: "Let Detroit Go Bankrupt"

the other: went to bat for the auto industry in spite of great public backlash and saved jobs and livelihoods.

not sure why some of these people cannot make up their mind on who to vote for.

if God forbid we lose Ohio, then I'm gonna think the people of that state are ungrateful people who simply don't have a freakin clue.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

3. I Am Referring To The Gamblers Who Bet On The Outcome Of The Debate

More people are betting on President Obama.

The "widsom of crowds" theory suggests that enough people believe an event will happen it will happen:


http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Wisdom_of_Crowds

[geek tragedy]

4. Same crowd that bet he'd win the first debate?

Not sure what he has to do to lower expectations.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

5. I Don't You Think You Could Bet On The First Debate

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