2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumDoes anyone here know what the NC polls are that romney
is so confident that he pulls out of the state??? Or do they know the fix is in place to win..
thatsrightimirish
(1,391 posts)They probably have internal numbers showing them ahead. As I said in another thread. It is highly unlikely that Romney loses North Carolina and wins Ohio on the same night.
WCGreen
(45,558 posts)They feel confident that these trends are solidifying.
Ras has Romney up 6 pts.
calimary
(81,421 posts)(or THINK they do) or they're giving up. North Carolina? Doubt they're giving up. But... if maybe they leave nobody watching the store, somebody could move in...
UrbScotty
(23,980 posts)PPP 10/14 47.0 49.0 Romney +2.0
YouGov 10/11 48.0 49.0 Romney +1.0
High Point University 10/10 43.0 49.0 Romney +6.0
Rasmussen 10/9 48.0 51.0 Romney +3.0
Gravis Marketing 10/8 41.2 49.9 Romney +8.7
http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/
abumbyanyothername
(2,711 posts)They can add just like us. They can see that winning NC makes no difference at all if they lose OH.
They almost certainly feel that even if they are almost hopelessly behind in OH, they have to win OH to win. Therefore, they leave NC where they feel they may win even if they are not there, to go to OH where they believe they have to be there in order to win.
TexasCPA
(527 posts)They are gambling on being able to hold onto NC without using any more resources.