For us (Obama supporters), it is all about Ohio, Iowa, Nevada, and New Hampshire

[kansasobama]

And, maybe, CO.

I hope PBO wins more but we really have to tie this up. Volunteers, let us go to work. I wish otherwise but FL is out. So is NC. Now, here is the caveat. If all Dems vote in NC and FL vote, we win. But, there is that tiny drop off that seems to be not picking up.

Dems have really let Mitt off the hook on his tax returns. How can we bring this back?

Also, Obama campaign needs to start giving a small lesson on US justice system. SC judges do not retire until the age of 85. Women voters who are on sideline better know that this is not a question about taking one election off. It looks like too many women are indeed taking this election off.

It is fact. It is all about Ohio, Iowa, Nevada, and New Hampshire. Let us do all we can. WE have to face the reality and fire up our guys and gals.

KansasObama

[NRaleighLiberal]

1. Not ready to give up on NC (or FL for that matter) here....agree it is a challenge, tho...

[TexasTowelie]

2. Supreme Court justices are appointed for life.

They do not have to retire at 85.

[hrmjustin]

3. FL is not gone at all. Democrats are doing well in the absentee ballots.In NC today they...

... started in-person early voting, and while the final numbers are not in they do know that they exceeded the 117,000 people who voted early on the first day in 2008. WI and CO are also still good for us. Never give up, never surrender to the GOP.

[GallopingGhost]

4. Florida is not gone. n/t

http://www.dailykos.com/story/2012/10/18/1146407/-New-Florida-Poll-Obama-3

[fearnobush]

5. Colorado is probibly polling better than NH. Virginia and Florida - very much in play.

Plus NC in 2008 polled McCain for much of the campaign. No way is she off the reservation. Don't under estimate the organization their. Romney pulling out resource there is more of a gamble than a sure thing. He has no choice, he cannot win without Ohio.

[earthside]

27. A Colorado is worth NH and Nev.

Colorado - 9 electoral votes.
New Hampshire - 4 electoral votes.
Nevada - 6 electoral votes.

One vote difference.

So, Colorado makes up for those two states.

The pathway to 270 still needs to include Colorado.

I see in this morning's Denver Post that Rmoney and Ryan both will be at Red Rocks next Tuesday for an evening rally.

If women and Latinos are sufficiently motivated, Colorado will go Obama --- and an Obama win here is very important to the prospects for down-ticket Democrats.

By the way, ballots began arriving in the mail yesterday here, now is the time to strike in Colorado. I hope we see Pres. Obama here again soon (Biden was in Greeley this week).

[kansasobama]

6. Thanks

If SC judges are for life, then it is still worse for many who are not aware of this. Pres. Obama needs to make women aware.

Good to hear about FL although all indications seem otherwise. And, as I said, if all registered Dems vote, we still win. I hope they do.

[Maximumnegro]

15. What indications? Can't have it both ways.

Can't distrust the polls and yet trust them. The Obama campaign said last week the race was stagnant, they were right. They said they had significant leads on OH, IA, WI, and NH. So far looking like they're right about that too. They called BS on Gallup's LV model, well today even a top GOP pollster called BS on Gallup. They said they are liking what they see in FL - well I'm gonna go with them on that. So far their record on the state of the race has been better than the media and us yahoos on the interweb.

[Adenoid_Hynkel]

7. and Virginia

we're up by a point there in the latest PPP survey, which was conducted before Obama wiped the floor with Willard in the debate

Why concede such a big prize when we're still winning it?

[Maximumnegro]

16. OMG yeah. That's nonsense.

No way is VA out of the running. That's crazy talk.

[kansasobama]

8. WI and IOwa

although, these two look ok so far. I want to see CO and Nevada move to us.

It pains me to see FL being so close considering Dems have been fighting for seniors and Dream Act. It really looks like Seniors have taken Dems for a ride. I know FL Hispanic issue with Cuban-Americans blindly going Republican. In my state, rural Kansans vote for policies against their own interests as long as it comes from a Republican. What a pity....

Hope I am wrong.

Pew research came out with a poll just now where Romney has caught up with Obama on foreign policy (he trails Obama 43-47). What a joke....And, as usual, it does not include polls after 2nd debate. Gallup and Pew are really off and not keeping up with times. This is not 1980. Of course, this might be GOP hardliners gravitating towards Romney.

Isn't PPP Democratic-leaning? I like to see slightly right off center polls just to be safe.

[morningfog]

9. NV has always been Obama's. Romney has never led there.

[yellowcanine]

19. You are wrong about Hispanic vote in FL. Cuban vote no longer carries the day.

It is true that Obama's advantage with Hispanics is not as large in FL as some other places but it is still large.

[exboyfil]

10. Actually it is

MI, PA, OH, WI or CO, IA or NV. NH really does not enter into it unless you lose Ohio and combine NH with NC.

Also MI,PA, VA&NH, WI, IA or NV also works.

Also MI, PA, WI, CO, IA, NV, NH gets the job done as well.

MI, PA, VA&NH, CO, IA or NV leads to a tie and a loss for the Obama.

[abumbyanyothername]

22. Yeah, your third line is absolutely amazing

That Obama could lose OH, VA, FL and NC and still win the election.

[BlueDemKev]

11. Agreed

I think you and I are on the same page. VA and FL are still within reach, but they've moved up a few branches. The states we must win are OHIO (without fail), Michigan, Wisconsin, and then win one of these three: Iowa, Nevada, or Colorado.

While I'm optimistic about MI, WI, IA, and NV, the jewel here is OHIO. We absolutely must win Ohio.

[Maximumnegro]

17. Where's the proof on VA. Seriously

where do you guys get the secret intel the rest of us aren't getting. Man, Dems will give anything up in a heartbeat. Amazing.

[Drunken Irishman]

20. Even Nate has moved Virginia to light blue...

Obama leads in the most recent polls. I think he'll win Virginia.

[BlueDemKev]

33. NYT 538

Currently shows Virginia at about 50-50. So yes, we may still win there. However, we have a greater chance of carrying Ohio (71%), PA (90%), WI (80%), and NV (67%). That's what I mean when I say "lower-hanging fruit."

I'm not "giving up" on Virginia and Florida. I'm just saying I want to do whatever it takes with the limited resources we have to GET TO 270 ELECTORAL VOTES.

[fujiyama]

12. I don't think VA and CO are worth giving up on

I think NC is a stretch and FL is so incredibly corrupt, I have a hard time believing the state is capable of a clean election. Either way, I don't want this election to come down to FL. It's too risky. Besides, of the two biggies, OH is looking much more encouraging, with the post debate polls not showing the state moving quite as much as some others. I'm not saying the campaign should give on FL. It's too big of a prize, but it's certainly not the state I'd pin all my chances on.

VA and CO, added together are huge. While NC may seem to be slipping away, I don't think VA is gone by any means. And I still believe Obama has a strong chance in CO, with several of the more recent polls showing the state even or with a slight Obama lead.

If Obama takes CO or VA along with NV, IA, WI, and NH, he's a winner (and that's giving away OH). So I really think CO and VA are two states he should be making a huge push in. I think we'll see considerable time spent in those states as well.

[ncav53]

13. Too early to concede FL, Obama is up 3 in a recent Newsmax poll

[Maximumnegro]

14. FL and NC are out. LOL

Nice move. Just kind of snuck that in there. But NC and FL ain't red yet!

[LisaL]

18. Somehow I think that not all of us here are Obama supporters.

[Drunken Irishman]

21. Always curious they have 'Liberal' 'Dem' 'Obama' in their screen names...

[LisaL]

24. They sure do.

[Jennicut]

23. I agree about NC. Possibly about FL.

I think we have to wait and see on VA. We need more polling done to give us a better idea of the situation there. PPP had a poll today that had Obama by 1. Other recent polls had Romney by 1. Same with CO.

Hoping PPP NH polling is good for Obama. I would take anything over 2 points.

NV, IA, WI, and OH look good for Obama.

[kansasobama]

25. FL and GOP trickery

we have to give some points to GOP machinery that may hurt us. That is a big worry.

[TBF]

26. In the end that may be the case but I hope you're not here depressing the vote -

I've gotten emails from the campaign in the past two days about calling in places like North Carolina - I don't think we're willing to concede any of these swing states.

[karmaqueen]

28. Here in NC there is a lot of Obama energy!

We may have a battle but there are very passionate and hard working people here. This is a right to work state and i honestly think people are sometime afraid to say who they are voting for. My husband got a "warning" letter a few years ago, he since has retired but I bet they still go out. Someone came by on a golf cart yesterday and I heard him tell someone "I am with ya"but I can't help work the polls this year, I am still working. When you are worried about keeping a job you keep your vote quiet.

[Jersey Devil]

29. Drop off? They're gassing up the church buses for the next few weekends for early voting right now

The only "drop off" in Dem voting will be the buses dropping the voters off at the polls when they go to church on Sunday.

btw, thank you for your concern.

[LisaL]

30. That's the spirit!

There are more democrats than republicans registered in NC. If we can GOTV we can win it!

[Jersey Devil]

31. didn't know that but it makes sense

NC's voting record in the past was probably due to low Dem turnout and registration. I can tell you this - My daughter and family lives in Goldsboro and boy, is she fired up this year! Despite having 3 kids under 7 she plans to make phone calls and help on election day as much as she can

[bocephus0706]

32. We are fired up and ready to go

No way will we Obama volunteers give up on NC or Florida. Just like we will all work like crazy in these other swingstates....I do not believe Florida and NC are lost. We simply cannot give up. That is how the other side wins.
The Supremecourt Justices are appointed for life. They do not have a retirement age.
Obama for America has the best trained field staff in the world. We have been organizing for over a year now...we can get this done.
I will simply ask all to be sure and get to the polls, and make sure your friends, neighbors and acquaintances are doing the same thing.
thanks

[kansasobama]

34. Great to hear

TBF, not depressing votes at all. Just want to make us all aware that they will try to steal elections. They will delay voting in Dem areas on election day. So, if we vote early, we have a greater chance.

I am happy to see there is energy in the states where Obama cannot put as much money as in Iowa and Ohio. He just cannot. Karl Rive and his cronies are legalized election manipulators and we better be aware. Just now I saw that CNN-ORC polls say Obama leads FL 50-43 in registered vote but likely voters is a one point plus for Romney (49-48). We just cannot do what many did in 2010.

I am afraid in the Monday debate, Romney will do some sable rattling to attract FL Jewish voters. We have to beat Romney lies.

[Thrill]

35. Unreal Iowa is even close. Mittens said he would stop tax credits

for wind farms. wow just wow