Nate Silvers latest tweet...

[BraKez2]

Nate Silver ‏@fivethirtyeight

National polls published in past 24 hours: Obama +3.2, Obama +3, Obama +3, Obama +1, Obama +0.6, Obama +0.5, TIE, Romney +7.

which one sticks out like a sore thumb?

[barbtries]

1. the outlier

which should be discarded.

[Doctor Jack]

2. Nate has a good sense of humor at times

In sort of a nerdy numbers way

So without gallup, Obama's poll average is +1.6 and with it Obama +0.54. Even with that overwhelming Romney poll, Obama is still winning. I don't know about everyone else but I feel pretty good about our odds of winning.

[Lone_Star_Dem]

3. One of these things is not like the other.

One of these things just doesn't belong.

[reflection]

9. Shhhh. No 'Sesame Street' references.

Mitt may come and hide the thread.

[Lone_Star_Dem]

12. You think he'd catch on to 'Bird is the Word'?

[MassedPole]

4. Man thats the hardest challenge of my right now. Hmm I do wonder what doesnt fit..

[Jennicut]

5. Romney is winning!

One national poll in the last 24 hours tells me so!

[imgbitepolitic]

6. Yay

I tweeted him about rcp not using two polls showing o + 3. I feel better now.

[ProudToBeBlueInRhody]

7. Reminder he's on NPR with Dr Wang at 2:15

Should be good.

[geek tragedy]

8. And the TIE is Rasmussen. nt

[caraher]

10. I never follow these anyway

What matters is the Electoral College, and there Obama is in a much stronger position.

[LongTomH]

11. I just noticed that Nate's blog has Obama's electoral college numbers UP +1.7 since Oct 11

Obama 291 +1.7 // Romney 246 - 1.7

Chance of winning: Obama 70.4% +4.3 // Romney 29.6 -4.3

Popular vote: Obama 50.3% +0.3 // Romney 48.8% -0.1

We need to keep working; but, the numbers are going the right way!