IBD/TIPP Poll It's Obama (D) 47% Romney ($) 45%

[DemocratSinceBirth]

Obama widened his lead over Romney among likely voters. Romney’s lead among male voters shrank to just 2 points from 5 points two days ago. Among those describing themselves as “conservative,” just 69% said they were voting for Romney — versus 73% just two days earlier.Likewise, Romney lost a bit of support among those calling themselves “upper income,” with that cohort now in a dead heat, down from a 5-point edge for Romney on Wednesday. Romney also remained knotted with Obama among Catholic voters, who make up just under a third of the total.

Polling period: 10/13 - 10/18 Methodology: Traditional telephone methodology, live interviewers call both landline and cell phone Random Digit Dial (RDD) samples. Our methodology statement is available here

Sample size: 929 likely voters (identified from 1057 registered voters with party affiliation of 37% Dem, 30% GOP, 32% Ind.)

Margin of Error: +/- 3.3 percentage points

Next release: 2:00 p.m. EST, October 20, 2012

http://www.tipponline.com/home/tracking-poll/todays-daily-tracking-poll

[TroyD]

1. So the first 3 days of this poll were before the 2nd Presidential debate?

Oct 13 - Oct 15 ?

[DemocratSinceBirth]

3. DUNO

But Investors Business Daily can not be happy with the results their commissioned pollster has produced.

[regnaD kciN]

6. Actually, the first four...

...since the debate was held on the night of the 16th, almost certainly after polling had been completed for the day.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

8. It Looks Like Gallup Might Literally Be All Alone Today

Every other nat'l poll shows an Obama lead or tie.

If they blow this election they might go the way of Zogby regardless of how big they are.

[TroyD]

9. True

Will be interesting to see if the Obama lead increases as the older days are dropped off.

[TroyD]

2. Is this yesterday's poll or today's?

It says Oct 18, but maybe that refers to the last day of polling?

[DemocratSinceBirth]

4. They Mislabeled Their Own Poll. That's Why I Highlighted The Survey Dates

And if you notice it says the next release is tomorrow.

[TroyD]

10. I hope their numbers are more accurate than their dates

[DemocratSinceBirth]

14. I Have Seen Rasmussen Do It A Couple Of Times

Humans are fallible. I suspect it wasn't entered properly.

[woolldog]

5. Has O ever been above 47% support in this poll?

[DemocratSinceBirth]

7. Why Do I Feel That If I Gave You A Gift Horse You Would Look In It's Mouth/nt

[woolldog]

11. I would have to inspect

it before accepting it of course. If it has bad teeth, it could end up costing me.

[Welcome_hubby]

12. IBD predicted Obama would beat McCain by 7.2%

And Obama won by...7.2%

Nobody else predicted the outcome up to the decimal point. Not Rasmussen. Not Pew.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

13. They Did A Nice Job But Any One Poll Is Just A Data Point

I suspect that every nat'l poll released today will show an Obama lead or tie but Gallup.

[Jennicut]

15. Nice movement.

Romney lost some support with male voters in this poll. I saw that in the NC poll from Project New America this morning. That would be very good for Obama.

[JackN415]

16. Not to throw cold water, but...

Among those describing themselves as “conservative,” just 69% said they were voting for Romney — versus 73% just two days earlier

This group of people can be dangerous. Obama must continue exposing Romney so these moderate conservatives are not enthusiastic about Romney and stay home. I personally sensed this from a few conservatives I know. They aren't crazy about Romney (and they won't vote for Obama), but if Romney looks good like after the 1st debate, they might just cast vote for him.