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2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumInteresting. Status Report on Early Voting - today's entry
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/michael-p-mcdonald/early-voting-spinning_b_1989094.html"Now with over 3 million people voting across the country, the campaigns are spinning the early vote. Here are my takeaways so far:
Iowa is firming up for Obama. The early vote confirms the polls showing an Obama lead, but by a narrower margin than 2008. Romney still has time to make up ground, but with over 300,000 people voting the clock is certainly ticking.
The early vote indicates that Florida and Ohio are close. We knew that already.
North Carolina started in-person early voting and the early vote numbers shifted dramatically towards registered Democrats. This is expected, as more registered Democrats voted early than Republicans in 2008 and 2004. A point of interest is that North Carolina allows unregistered voters to register and vote all in "one stop." This has the potential of shifting likely voter models since unregistered voters don't make the likely voter screen."
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Interesting. Status Report on Early Voting - today's entry (Original Post)
NRaleighLiberal
Oct 2012
OP
Considering Obama won Iowa by 10 points the last go around, I expect it to be closer...
Drunken Irishman
Oct 2012
#1
Why not CO? I live in CO and my son and I just voted for Obama (early) n/t
courseofhistory
Oct 2012
#4
Drunken Irishman
(34,857 posts)1. Considering Obama won Iowa by 10 points the last go around, I expect it to be closer...
But I still believe he'll win by 5-7 points.
hrmjustin
(71,265 posts)3. I agree!
iemitsu
(3,888 posts)5. why should we expect the race in iowa to be closer?
romney/ryan is a scarier ticket than mccain/palin, at least in my opinion.
but then, the one thing i hate more than anything else is a liar. and both romney and ryan fit that bill.
mccain and palin were both nuts and plain stupid but they didn't just lie to the public.
anyone who wants the job of POTUS needs to be more honest with the public about the policies they will pursue once elected.
these guys will say anything then lie to your face and swear they didn't.
amborin
(16,631 posts)2. GOTV we have way more RVs in all swings but CO
courseofhistory
(801 posts)4. Why not CO? I live in CO and my son and I just voted for Obama (early) n/t
LisaL
(44,973 posts)6. CO has a large number of un-affiliated voters.
Maximumnegro
(1,134 posts)7. Hm, the Charlie Cook report says OH
is outside the MOE, which is also what Plouffe said earlier this week so I don't think OH is close like FL...