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Doctor Jack

(3,072 posts)
Sat Oct 20, 2012, 03:05 PM Oct 2012

Obama takes the lead at RCP

Not that I put much stock in what RCP says. However, if even they are unable to manipulate the numbers enough to show Romney ahead, you must know that he is floundering.

According to RCP, obama is ahead by 0.1 points. That is close to a 2 point swing towards Obama in the last week or so.


http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/us/general_election_romney_vs_obama-1171.html

9 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
Obama takes the lead at RCP (Original Post) Doctor Jack Oct 2012 OP
I think you guys are working in tandem Hutzpa Oct 2012 #1
I put more faith in Intrade numbers over all polls golfguru Oct 2012 #2
This morning it was a tie joefree1 Oct 2012 #3
Why do you report and focus on RCP instead of TPM's Polltracker? VirginiaTarheel Oct 2012 #4
TPM's poll tracker isn't as user friendly. NT geek tragedy Oct 2012 #6
TPM's polltracker is flawed... Drunken Irishman Oct 2012 #7
Good news and thanks for posting flowomo Oct 2012 #5
Without the outlier Gallup poll, Obama would be ahead by 1% not .1% flpoljunkie Oct 2012 #8
RCP is clinging to some old polls from over 2 weeks ago to help romney's average bushisanidiot Oct 2012 #9

joefree1

(4,901 posts)
3. This morning it was a tie
Sat Oct 20, 2012, 03:28 PM
Oct 2012

yesterday O was ahead. Still I count this as good news, especially from RCP ...

 

Drunken Irishman

(34,857 posts)
7. TPM's polltracker is flawed...
Sat Oct 20, 2012, 04:08 PM
Oct 2012

It includes multiple days of Rasmussen and Gallup ... which skews the numbers.

flowomo

(4,740 posts)
5. Good news and thanks for posting
Sat Oct 20, 2012, 03:52 PM
Oct 2012

Obama ahead despite the outlier Gallup.
And I appreciate people who post ANY poll. I want to know them all. I'll make up my own mind about which are "credible." Cherrypicking information can only contribute to ignorance about what's going on. Let's see it all.

bushisanidiot

(8,064 posts)
9. RCP is clinging to some old polls from over 2 weeks ago to help romney's average
Sat Oct 20, 2012, 04:12 PM
Oct 2012

they need to drop off the bottom three. but they won't, because obama's numbers
will boomerang up. they are looking obviously partisan right now. immediately after
the first debate, they were only using 7 - 10 days worth of polls to figure their averages.
they are now using two week's worth so they can keep the post 1st debate polls figured in for as long as possible.

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