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2016 Postmortem

rhombus

(696 posts) Sat Oct 20, 2012, 05:50 PM Oct 2012

1

Nate Silver Nevada 2010 Final Prediction: Sharron Angle+3. Actual Result: Harry Reid +5

http://elections.nytimes.com/2010/forecasts/senate/nevada

Just goes to show you making predictions is tricky. This election is going to be close. Make sure you GOTV for Obama and other Dems.

4 replies

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Nate Silver Nevada 2010 Final Prediction: Sharron Angle+3. Actual Result: Harry Reid +5 (Original Post) rhombus Oct 2012 OP

He Nailed About 99% Of Em DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2012 #1

I don't think anyone is mzmolly Oct 2012 #2

Nate got right 34 out of 36 in 2010 though...And 1 of the two losses he was off by 1% boingboinh Oct 2012 #3

But when the election is close, those predictions are quite useless. LisaL Oct 2012 #4

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,710 posts)

1. He Nailed About 99% Of Em

Reply to rhombus (Original post)

Sat Oct 20, 2012, 05:56 PM

Oct 2012

BTW, I felt Harry was going to win.

mzmolly

(50,996 posts)

2. I don't think anyone is

Reply to rhombus (Original post)

Sat Oct 20, 2012, 05:58 PM

Oct 2012

complacent.

boingboinh

(290 posts)

3. Nate got right 34 out of 36 in 2010 though...And 1 of the two losses he was off by 1%

Reply to rhombus (Original post)

Sat Oct 20, 2012, 05:59 PM

Oct 2012

So his record is quite impressive....stunning in fact.

LisaL

(44,973 posts)

4. But when the election is close, those predictions are quite useless.

Reply to boingboinh (Reply #3)

Sat Oct 20, 2012, 06:03 PM

Oct 2012

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