538 update. Not much movement.

[RedSpartan]

Obama down one point in EVs and % chance to win, unchanged in popular vote:

http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/

I'd call that fairly stable, which I'll take at this point. Time is running out for Romney.

[PoliticAverse]

1. Really this last debate is his last real chance to change things. n/t

[vdogg]

2. Curious

I'm curious as to why Nate didn't include today's PPP Iowa poll in the update. The last PPP poll he has in the model is the one that had Romney up by 1. Maybe he didn't see that one. Wonder if it would've altered the percentage any.

[regnaD kciN]

4. A couple of odd things today...

Over at Princeton, Sam Wang is now updating five times a day. Every update today has shown Obama with 290 EV and Romney with 248. However, in the last update, Obama's meta-margin suddenly dropped from +1.81 to +1.46 -- about a 20% drop in his re-election chances. From what I've seen, I didn't notice any late-arriving poll data that would explain such a drop. ???

[TroyD]

5. Maybe he had done his calculations before it came out

It was only released a couple hours ago.

[NYtoBush-Drop Dead]

3. I'm even more afraid...

That they've already stolen the election...

[regnaD kciN]

7. More than seven years here, and a total of forty-three posts?

O.K....

[NYtoBush-Drop Dead]

10. I've been really busy...

AND I lost my password.

[Floyd_Gondolli]

8. So take up a hobby

And spread your defeatist gloom
Somewhere else.

In your case, I'd suggest something easy on the nerves.

[wisteria]

6. I will take anything other than Romney winning. n/t

[budkin]

9. Polls are everywhere. Obama is surging Romey surging its tied