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Mutiny In Heaven

(550 posts)
Mon Oct 22, 2012, 12:46 PM Oct 2012

What will Gallup have for us today?

Erstwhile polling firm turned full-time comedy troupe, Gallup, has been entertaining us with its weird and wonderful polling ever since Romney's chicanery and Obama's narcolepsy won the former this year's first debate.

Yesterday, Romney stretched his lead to seven points; will Frank Newport's folks retune (forget fine-tune!) their model now, or will Gallup seek to maintain its proud record of horrendous presidential election inaccuracy?

Me? Well, it's debate day. I think they'll skim a few points off of Rom...no, actually, I think we can look forward to seeing our beloved media heads talking fast and wide-eyed about the seemingly insurmountable 8% lead held by the former Massachusetts (47th in job creation under his leadership) governor. What narrative could be more compelling for them to peddle than "Make or Break for Obama"?

13 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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What will Gallup have for us today? (Original Post) Mutiny In Heaven Oct 2012 OP
Romney +11 with "imaginary" voters budkin Oct 2012 #1
Romney +80 Floyd_Gondolli Oct 2012 #2
I'm sure they're polling Southern white males at a double rate right now... n/t backscatter712 Oct 2012 #3
Romney won sharp_stick Oct 2012 #4
+9 LOL nt helpisontheway Oct 2012 #5
+8 (No change) -- I will bet my marriage and children on it. boingboinh Oct 2012 #6
Gallup Robbins Oct 2012 #7
Please bring your wife sharp_stick Oct 2012 #9
It's out: Romney up 48-47 among RV, Romney up 51-45 among LV: jenmito Oct 2012 #8
Gallup Robbins Oct 2012 #11
Nope. jenmito Oct 2012 #12
It has happened before. FBaggins Oct 2012 #13
This poll is so different from the rest of the national polls Sugarcoated Oct 2012 #10

Robbins

(5,066 posts)
7. Gallup
Mon Oct 22, 2012, 01:10 PM
Oct 2012

Likely voters Romney 51%(-1) Obama 45%
Registered voters Romney 48%(-1) Obama 47%(+1)

Obama approval 49%
Disapproval 46%(+1)

jenmito

(37,326 posts)
8. It's out: Romney up 48-47 among RV, Romney up 51-45 among LV:
Mon Oct 22, 2012, 01:10 PM
Oct 2012
http://www.gallup.com/home.aspx

p.s. Faux had Frank Newport, head of Gallup, on their Sunday show yesterday. He was the only non-(R)asmussen pollster I've ever seen on Faux, but (R)as has Obama at 50% approval today, so I'm not surprised they have a new favorite pollster.

Robbins

(5,066 posts)
11. Gallup
Mon Oct 22, 2012, 01:17 PM
Oct 2012

Does anyone really buy Obama at 49 or 50 percent approval yet only getting 45 percent of the vote nation wide?

Even In 2004 Bush was at 49 or 50 percent going Into election day.

If thins keep up Gallup not RAS will be the big laughing stock as far as polling Is concerned.

Gallup Is about the only place Romney leads among all registered voters.Granted only by 1 but still.

If Obama wins RAS can still say their polling by nationwide and states were close and It broke for obama.

jenmito

(37,326 posts)
12. Nope.
Mon Oct 22, 2012, 01:38 PM
Oct 2012

I DON'T think those numbers make any sense. And yesterday on Faux, Newport said that these numbers don't mean anything because they could change back to Obama next week.

FBaggins

(26,749 posts)
13. It has happened before.
Mon Oct 22, 2012, 01:58 PM
Oct 2012

Plenty of prior races have seen an incumbent president underperforming his approval rating by a few percent.

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