2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumWhat will Gallup have for us today?
Erstwhile polling firm turned full-time comedy troupe, Gallup, has been entertaining us with its weird and wonderful polling ever since Romney's chicanery and Obama's narcolepsy won the former this year's first debate.
Yesterday, Romney stretched his lead to seven points; will Frank Newport's folks retune (forget fine-tune!) their model now, or will Gallup seek to maintain its proud record of horrendous presidential election inaccuracy?
Me? Well, it's debate day. I think they'll skim a few points off of Rom...no, actually, I think we can look forward to seeing our beloved media heads talking fast and wide-eyed about the seemingly insurmountable 8% lead held by the former Massachusetts (47th in job creation under his leadership) governor. What narrative could be more compelling for them to peddle than "Make or Break for Obama"?
budkin
(6,703 posts)Floyd_Gondolli
(1,277 posts)backscatter712
(26,355 posts)sharp_stick
(14,400 posts)they'll tell us to go about our business as they have called the election.
helpisontheway
(5,008 posts)boingboinh
(290 posts)Likely voters Romney 51%(-1) Obama 45%
Registered voters Romney 48%(-1) Obama 47%(+1)
Obama approval 49%
Disapproval 46%(+1)
sharp_stick
(14,400 posts)and children to the betting window.
jenmito
(37,326 posts)p.s. Faux had Frank Newport, head of Gallup, on their Sunday show yesterday. He was the only non-(R)asmussen pollster I've ever seen on Faux, but (R)as has Obama at 50% approval today, so I'm not surprised they have a new favorite pollster.
Does anyone really buy Obama at 49 or 50 percent approval yet only getting 45 percent of the vote nation wide?
Even In 2004 Bush was at 49 or 50 percent going Into election day.
If thins keep up Gallup not RAS will be the big laughing stock as far as polling Is concerned.
Gallup Is about the only place Romney leads among all registered voters.Granted only by 1 but still.
If Obama wins RAS can still say their polling by nationwide and states were close and It broke for obama.
I DON'T think those numbers make any sense. And yesterday on Faux, Newport said that these numbers don't mean anything because they could change back to Obama next week.
FBaggins
(26,749 posts)Plenty of prior races have seen an incumbent president underperforming his approval rating by a few percent.
Sugarcoated
(7,724 posts)it's obvious it's an outlier.