506 superdelegates have made their support for
one or the other candidate public. While that's not a vote, most of those will stick with their support, unless the other candidate gets a majority of the pledged delegates to the convention.
Still, 208 superdelegates, most of them DNC members, have not stated their intentions or said anything about their support for one or the other candidates. They don't have to, and they haven't. You can count on almost all of those to vote for the candidate with the majority of pledged delegates, I'm sure. They're Democratic Party leaders, as are all of the DNC members. You may not have heard of them, but they've been working in the Party for many years.
Of one thing I'm certain: Unless Bernie Sanders can do the improbable and wide up with a majority of pledged delegates, he will not be the nominee. At this point in the primary races, the pledged delegate count is really the only thing that matters. For Sanders to have any hope of the nomination, he will have to erase Hillary's current 228 delegate lead and pull ahead of her by the last primary.
He may knock off a few delegates from Hillary's lead in Wisconsin on Tuesday. Maybe. A few. His real challenge will come on April 19 with New York's primary and April 26, just a week later, when PA, MD and CT vote. Unless he can gain serious ground in those four primaries, his chances all but disappear. He can't just tie in those primaries. He can't just win by a few percentage points, either. It's hard to knock off a 228 delegate lead. He will need dramatic victories.
For those who support Bernie Sanders, there's just one useful thing to do: Get out the vote in those four states. Attacking Clinton won't do it. Raging at one thing or another on the Internet will not do it. It is going to depend on turnout and on turnout alone.
It's not going to happen on DU. It's going to happen in NY, PA, MD and CT at the polling places. Unless you're doing something about that, you're not helping Bernie's chances. It is that simple.
That's my opinion. Thanks for reading.
Source: http://www.thegreenpapers.com/P16/D
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