New Poll: Obama leads Romney by 11 in Pennsylvania

[aaaaaa5a]

A new poll released today by Morning Call shows the President with an 11 point lead over Mitt Romney.

Obama 48%
Romney 37%

GOP Presidential candidate Rick Santorum doesn't fair much better against the President in his home state.

Obama 49%
Santorum 41%


Full poll results here:

http://www.mcall.com/news/nationworld/pennsylvania/mc-rick-santorum-pa-voters-poll-results,0,4158894.htmlpage

[charlie and algernon]

1. that's some good news right there

even if it is early.

[aaaaaa5a]

3. It very early.

Still, I would rather be up instead of down.


Romney was suppose to change the map and challenge Obama in blue states. Thus far, that has not been the case. The President has posted leads in Michigan, Pennsylvania and most of the battle ground states. The only bad numbers so far are coming out of Iowa.

[indykatie1955]

2. This Poll Makes You Question Why NBC and Chuck Todd Has PA as a Toss Up State vs Leans Dem

Have there been other polls where Obama is losing to Romney or Santorum?

[aaaaaa5a]

6. There was one poll that showed Romney up 3.

but that poll was an outlier.


The last two polls out of Pennsylvania which were conducted this week show:


Morning Call
Obama 48
Romney 37
Obama +11


Franklin & Marshall
Obama 41
Romney 33
Obama +8


Both polls are local and have a very good reputation. Obama has very healthy leads in both polls which again are the 2 most recent available. PA hasn't gone for the GOP since 1988. And generally, Democrats perform better there than the polls indicate. Chuck Todd's map is off. PA should be light blue. Not a tossup battleground state.

[LiberalFighter]

12. I never trust what Todd has to say. He is so full of himself.

[Proud Liberal Dem]

4. The media has been saying he might lose Pennsylvania ever since 2008

Apparently, 4 years later, nothing has changed even though he won Pennsylvania decisively in 2008.
I'm waiting for them to start questioning whether or not he will able to "close the deal" this year.

[aaaaaa5a]

8. It's funny isn't it?

As we move closer to November 2012, the map is looking more and more like 2008. Obama has huge leads in Michigan and now is clearly ahead in PA.


Here is some good info from PPP, (who is a very good pollster) discussing how the map is starting to look.


http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2012/02/obama-up-big-in-washington.html

[DCBob]

5. Thats fantastic. PA is critical and its probably a bellweather.

Whoever wins PA likely wins the election.

[Cosmocat]

11. Pa swung to the right last congressional

but it was a pretty strong D lean the two years prior.

It seems to be swinging to whatever party the wind is behind, and it is behind the dems right now, at least.

It is important to note, the governor, corbett is fairly unpopular. He has rebounded a bit, but it creates a bit of a supression for the Rs and juice for the Ds in this election.

Mitt is not a PA type guy, I don't think.

LONG way to go, but I would put the money on BO right now.

A lot of what people want to call "reagen democrats" a term I hate. But, the ds have a legit, about 800,000 advantage in registered voters. The swing STATEWIDE two years ago was not as big as the swing the prior two congressionals to Ds.

[LiberalFighter]

13. PA also had the Arlen Specter problem

[Cosmocat]

16. The party establishment threw in with Specter at the expense of an INFINITELY

better man in Sestak.

[bluestateguy]

7. I hate polls and pollsters

even when they have results that I like.

[Dawson Leery]

9. Obama is losing Pennsylvania!

Say the pundits.

[Tarheel_Dem]

10. The media loves a horserace. How else would they fill that 24/7 void? Outliers get reported....

as a serious threat to the president's reelection chances. It's a farce, but it sells ad space.

[BigD_95]

14. Great News!!!

I live in Republican country in PA ( York ) but I have seen more Obama stuff then Dem stuff in years past.


I just wish we didnt elected our current governor

[DFW]

15. If Obama were behind in PA.........

We'd just say it's way too early, polls at this point mean nothing....................and we'd be right.

The last thing we should be doing now is taking ANYTHING for granted. That's why we have a Republican
Senator from Massachusetts. PA can still be bought for the Republican nominee. Common sense does not
always prevail. Just think: 2010...........2010............2010..............

[DonCoquixote]

17. If rick won

Sadly, PA would be his, as there are some HEAVY old school Catholics.

[BumRushDaShow]

23. PA threw him out of the Senate by 18% in 2006

Teabagger Toomey is about as RW lunatic as Pennsyltucky is willing to go and no further. They didn't appreciate Frothy using state $ to educate his children while refusing to live in PA (their residence was in VA, the state where he was born).

[underpants]

18. PA hasn't voted for a Repub Presidential candidate since 1984 (when everyone did)

That is 28 years (a generation) as of 2012....which it is.

The fight is going to be in Virginia and Ohio and Florida - in that order

[aaaaaa5a]

19. PA went GOP in 1988.

Still we have carried the state in 92,96,00,04 and 08. I like our chances.

[aaaaaa5a]

20. Hurray! I made the front page! nt

[Alexander]

21. That's about the same as Obama's margin of victory over McCain in 2008.

Obama's running even in Missouri, Virginia, and Pennsylvania compared to 2008 - looks good for the fall.