2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumStatus of Democratic Delegates and upcoming primaries:
As of this morning:
Clinton has 1300 pledged delegates, Sanders 1085 pledged delegates (Clinton +215)
Clinton has 474 superdelegates, Sanders 32 superdelegates (Clinton +442)
Delegates needed for majority Clinton 609 (32% of remaining delegates), Sanders 1266 (68% of remaining delegates)
Coming up next (Project538 probabilities and forecasts):
April 9
Wyoming 14 Delegates
No recent polls, but this is Cheney Country so Sanders will probably win more than half the delegates
April 19
New York 247 Delegates
Clinton 96% probability of winning
Clinton 56.7 (~140 delegates)
Sanders 41.2 (~107 delegates)
Clinton +33
April 26
Maryland 95
Clinton 93% probability of winning
Clinton 65.6 (~62 delegates)
Sanders 32.0 (~33 delegates)
Clinton +29
Pennsylvania 189
Clinton 91% probability of winning
Clinton 56.2 (~109 delegates)
Sanders 41.3 (~80 delegates)
Clinton +29
Connecticut 55 Delegates
No recent polls
Delaware 21 Delegates
No recent polls
Rhode Island 24 Delegates
No recent polls
DemocracyDirect
(708 posts)... my two states.
Buzz Clik
(38,437 posts)lunamagica
(9,967 posts)Hortensis
(58,785 posts)than half the delegates she still needs to get to 2383 by the end of this month.
And thanks George!
TSIAS
(14,689 posts)"No recent polls, but this is Cheney Country so Sanders will probably win more than half the delegates".
Clinton won most of the delegates in Texas, but it was Cruz country.
Clinton won most of the delegates in Alabama, but that is George Wallace country.
See, two can play this pernicious game.
CajunBlazer
(5,648 posts)Funny thing about those delegates, regardless of what states they hail from, their votes all count the same at the convention. In politics only losers use excuses, and there have been a ton of excuses from Sanders supporters lately.
R B Garr
(16,979 posts)checking Cruz out. Cruz said he told the Bernie supporter he agrees with Bernie about income inequality, but they differ on how to handle it. So it is true as has been reported for some time that there is overlap with Bernie supporters and GOP candidates (mostly Trump, but now Cruz). The OP was right to say that given what has been reported for some time now.
The sad part is that anyone would believe Cruz and that the GOP will help them. There's currently a GOP governer who doesn't care if his constituents drink poisoned water. Those guys sure aren't going to care about giving away free college.
pnwmom
(108,995 posts)Plus it's a caucus state. He should do well there, as he did in all the other caucus states with few African American voters.
When Hillary was winning in the South, people like you constantly discounted her wins, saying they didn't count because they were in "red" states.
Well, Bernie's got the same situation going on in Cheney country.