Fivethirtyeight Late Night Update

[Doctor Jack]

Electoral Vote:

Obama 290.7
Romney 247.3

Odds of Winning:

Obama 70.1%
Romney 29.9%

Popular Vote:

Obama 50.1%
Romney 48.8%

http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/

[ProudToBeBlueInRhody]

1. But John King said the "trend line" for Rmoney....

....is heading in his direction, and it will make him the next President!

And you know, John King is fucking brilliant....

[Doctor Jack]

4. Who?

Is that another talking head that wouldn't know his ass from a hole in the ground?

[AllyCat]

9. Never heard of him either. Don't think I'm missing much.

[The Magistrate]

11. CNN's Answer To Brian Williams, Doctor...

[teabaggersarestupid]

10. We are on the same wave length

Everything that has been pissing you off has me as well. John King's "trend line" was backed up by nothing. What "trend line"? Romney surged after the first debate but for the past 2 weeks the polls have been tight. No "momentum" one way or the other. And this guy is supposed to be an expert???

He said if the election took place today, the President would win. However, Mitt's "slow growth", if continued, will "give the Presidency to Mitt Romney."

According to Nate, this is total bull shit as the difference between the Nowcast and Nov. 6 forecast is about 1%.

[oldhippydude]

2. fantastic..... broke the 70 % and rising..

[amborin]

6. +10000

[NRaleighLiberal]

3. Think of that - two weeks to go, 70% chance, and many Obama/Clinton swing state

events and a great ground game. I am feeling good about this.

[Doctor Jack]

5. I like the numbers

But I will feel better when Obama gets above 75% and 300ev. After tonights debate, that could be soon

[ProudProgressiveNow]

7. +1

[GallopingGhost]

8. Can wait to see

the electoral map over the next few days.

[Doctor Jack]

12. Likely to be some solidifying of the current blue states

which would be just fine with me. In fact Virginia just came back into the Obama fold, so we could really use a jump in support there

[fujiyama]

13. Cool to see CO and VA blue on Nate's map

I think VA will be an early indicator on election night...

[Mutiny In Heaven]

15. Too close to call (or better) = Four more years / Early VA call for Romney = Fill up with caffeine

That's how I see it, anyway!

[fasttense]

14. Thanks Doctor Jack for posting some reality.

Some people here on DU are having fainting spells because one phone poll or Gallup has Romney way ahead.

At least Nate looks at all the polls and makes accurate predictions.

[RedSpartan]

16. All increases from yesterday.

Good stuff. Moving in the right direction, and time is running out for Mittens.