2016 Postmortem

MadBadger

(24,089 posts) Tue Oct 23, 2012, 01:34 PM Oct 2012

Gallup: Romney 51, Obama 46

Obama approval up to 51-45 today. I do expect Gallup to have this thing get closer and closer

12 replies

= new reply since forum marked as read

Highlight:

Gallup: Romney 51, Obama 46 (Original Post) MadBadger Oct 2012 OP

It's so nice to see movement -- in the right direction! gateley Oct 2012 #1

Approval 51/45. Jennicut Oct 2012 #2

Crosstabs squirecam Oct 2012 #3

National polls WallaceRitchie Oct 2012 #4

Right squirecam Oct 2012 #6

Gallup november3rd Oct 2012 #5

ras squirecam Oct 2012 #7

please don't post poll numbers without more info. this is not twitter. progressivebydesign Oct 2012 #8

Its the gallup tracking poll MadBadger Oct 2012 #9

Someone remind me... sento100 Oct 2012 #10

Yes, as far as I know, every President with 50% approval has gotten re-elected TroyD Oct 2012 #11

Accoring to Rove... no candidate with that high a percentage on Gallup has lost budkin Oct 2012 #12

gateley

(62,683 posts)

1. It's so nice to see movement -- in the right direction!

Reply to MadBadger (Original post)

Tue Oct 23, 2012, 01:35 PM

Oct 2012

Jennicut

(25,415 posts)

2. Approval 51/45.

Reply to MadBadger (Original post)

Tue Oct 23, 2012, 01:36 PM

Oct 2012

RV stayed the same.

Plus 5 R is still out of bounds with most of the other pollsters but it's an improvement for Obama on this poll.

squirecam

(2,706 posts)

3. Crosstabs

Reply to MadBadger (Original post)

Tue Oct 23, 2012, 01:39 PM

Oct 2012

Raw numbers are useless without cross tabs.

If Romney still has a +22 lead in the "south" and Obama leads everywhere else, then the latest Gallup poll is still a joke....

WallaceRitchie

(242 posts)

4. National polls

Reply to MadBadger (Original post)

Tue Oct 23, 2012, 01:52 PM

Oct 2012

Anyone looking at national polls right now is wasting their time.

Obama could have a 51-49 lead in 49 states... but if Romney won 99% of Texas, pundits and pollsters would be telling everyone about Romney's lead in the national polls. BFD. It's worthless.

squirecam

(2,706 posts)

6. Right

Reply to WallaceRitchie (Reply #4)

Tue Oct 23, 2012, 01:58 PM

Oct 2012

So how do we find out if Romney still has that +22 point lead in the south...

Unless that has changed, then Gallup is still worthless...

november3rd

(1,113 posts)

5. Gallup

Reply to MadBadger (Original post)

Tue Oct 23, 2012, 01:54 PM

Oct 2012

Gallup was founded by fundamentalist Christians, and every time some conservative Republican needs some support down the stretch, they stretch the numbers.

squirecam

(2,706 posts)

7. ras

Reply to november3rd (Reply #5)

Tue Oct 23, 2012, 01:58 PM

Oct 2012

Ras needed a buddy...

progressivebydesign

(19,458 posts)

8. please don't post poll numbers without more info. this is not twitter.

Reply to MadBadger (Original post)

Tue Oct 23, 2012, 02:08 PM

Oct 2012

who was polled? is this likely? registered? National? what is their sample? How do they choose likely voters?

MadBadger

(24,089 posts)

9. Its the gallup tracking poll

Reply to progressivebydesign (Reply #8)

Tue Oct 23, 2012, 02:14 PM

Oct 2012

Give me a break

sento100

(13 posts)

10. Someone remind me...

Reply to MadBadger (Original post)

Tue Oct 23, 2012, 02:24 PM

Oct 2012

Didn't every president win reelection on gallup if they were 50 percent or over?

TroyD

(4,551 posts)

11. Yes, as far as I know, every President with 50% approval has gotten re-elected

Reply to sento100 (Reply #10)

Tue Oct 23, 2012, 04:57 PM

Oct 2012

The National polling numbers are weird.

Romney has gone down in Gallup over the past couple of days, but has gone up in Rasmussen.

And Obama was going up in IBD/TIPP and now has gone down.

But there appears to be consistency amongst the approval ratings since most pollsters have Obama at 50%.

budkin

(6,712 posts)

12. Accoring to Rove... no candidate with that high a percentage on Gallup has lost