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2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumSam Wang (Princeton Election Consortium) debunks the myth of Romney momentum.
http://election.princeton.edu/2012/10/23/ro-mentum/#more-7826What is apparent is that the large plunge after Debate #1 came to a stop last week, right around the time of the VP debate. After that and Debate #2, Obama made some recovery. Now we are at a plateau, in which Obama is slightly but decisively ahead.
(snip)
I would then give the following verdict: Indeed the race is close, but it seems stable. For the last week, there is no evidence that conditions have been moving toward Romney.
(snip)
I would then give the following verdict: Indeed the race is close, but it seems stable. For the last week, there is no evidence that conditions have been moving toward Romney.
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Sam Wang (Princeton Election Consortium) debunks the myth of Romney momentum. (Original Post)
Chichiri
Oct 2012
OP
It is part of a strategy to psychologically demoralize. It has no,basis in reality
still_one
Oct 2012
#1
I feel solid in my reasoning on why I think Obama is winning: a rising stock market and the
CTyankee
Oct 2012
#5
When President Obama wins in 14 days, the righties are going to be shocked
justiceischeap
Oct 2012
#6
still_one
(92,325 posts)1. It is part of a strategy to psychologically demoralize. It has no,basis in reality
seabeyond
(110,159 posts)3. that is the feeling i have gotten. nt
speedoo
(11,229 posts)2. That's not what the Romneybots and talking heads want to hear.
But it's the truth.
xfundy
(5,105 posts)4. Large groups of people are easily led
by the idea of wanting to vote for the guy who they think is gonna win. That's why the piggies are pushing the "Mitt's ahead!!!!!" nonsense.
CTyankee
(63,912 posts)5. I feel solid in my reasoning on why I think Obama is winning: a rising stock market and the
establishment of a strong ground game, esp. OH, from the start of his administration. ADD to that the brilliant spring advertising that establishment the negative image of Romney as being linked to the destruction of jobs with his tenure at Bain Capital. Voila.
justiceischeap
(14,040 posts)6. When President Obama wins in 14 days, the righties are going to be shocked
'cause they have no clue the polls are being gamed to show it being closer than it is.
Supersedeas
(20,630 posts)7. Shhh...the MSM and their advertisers may get suspicious