Any New Polls Expected Out Tonight?

[JiminyJominy]

Are there any polls we should be looking out for tonight?

[NRaleighLiberal]

1. here is one that just came out

http://livewire.talkingpointsmemo.com/entry/abc-wapo-presidential-race-locked-in-national-tracking

And 538 (Nate Silver's site) does daily updates of their aggregate, usually out pretty late EST.

I think we are going to be snowed with polls daily for the next two weeks.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

4. Ben Hargrove

Ben Hargrove ‏@BenHargroveNY
@AdamSerwer @theplumlinegs Abc wapo poll is 48.51-48.44, per PDF. Ie, 1 voter difference out of 1382!


https://twitter.com/BenHargroveNY


So two votes can make the difference between being up 49%-48% and down 49%- 48%

[DemocratSinceBirth]

2. Google is Your Friend/nt

[MadBadger]

3. ABC Tracking Poll has Romney leading Obama 48.51-48.44.

It appears as 49-48 due to rounding

[Mass]

5. Got to love these roundings.

I agree that fractions of a percent do not mean anything, but rounding creates a momentum that does not exist.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

6. I Never Realized That. That Is Amazing

Two respondents out of nearly 1,400 can turn a 49-48 deficit into a 49-48 advantage.

[fugop]

7. Wow.

I never realized that either, but when you look at it that way, it really does show how little polls matter in anything except creating narrative.

[FBaggins]

10. It can work the other way too.

Large moves can be hidden by rounding... Especially in rolling average polls with long cycles.

[ffr]

8. I've moved on to Early Voter Turnout stats

Dems are fired up and voting in mass. And when that's the only number that's going to matter, polls really lose all meaning.