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riversedge

(70,242 posts)
Wed Apr 13, 2016, 09:48 PM Apr 2016

New York polls have stabilized: Hillary Clinton has a clear and comfortable lead




New York polls have stabilized: Hillary Clinton has a clear and comfortable lead

http://www.dailynewsbin.com/news/new-york-polls-stabilize-hillary-clinton-has-a-clear-and-comfortable-lead/24460/
By dailynewsbin | April 13, 2016

................................

Here’s where New York now stands: over the past week, eight different polling outlets have released new numbers. They all peg Hillary Clinton’s lead as being between ten and eighteen points. She’s likely to finish somewhere in that range. This is a closed primary, which means no Michigan style surprise. And because it’s too large of a state to erase a double digit difference in the final week before voting, it now looks clear that Clinton will win comfortably. That may help explain why the Sanders campaign is already looking to arrange a way to explain away the likely loss.



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New York polls have stabilized: Hillary Clinton has a clear and comfortable lead (Original Post) riversedge Apr 2016 OP
Bill bring me my pillows, finally I can relax and cruise to a win....n/t pantsonfire Apr 2016 #1
All the polls conducted over roughly the same period show roughly the same spread.... GeorgiaPeanuts Apr 2016 #2
In reality, it is a win for Bernie The Old Lie Apr 2016 #3
Keep thinking that TMontoya Apr 2016 #6
Then you got nothing to worry about! rock Apr 2016 #9
Only with the loosey goose Caucuses ... FarPoint Apr 2016 #31
It feels like a win here for Hillary. I think 10-20 percent is the range. hrmjustin Apr 2016 #4
I will trust you--a local--and on the ground. riversedge Apr 2016 #14
Bernie is going to win NEW YORK!!! CoffeeCat Apr 2016 #5
Then you got nothing to worry about! rock Apr 2016 #10
Michigan was an open primary. NY required registered voters to affiliate by last October pnwmom Apr 2016 #20
This message was self-deleted by its author Vilis Veritas Apr 2016 #29
Do you realize what a tiny fraction of voters that surge comprised? It would be big in Wyoming pnwmom Apr 2016 #33
Love that graphic. That would be a great poster. grossproffit Apr 2016 #7
All style over substance. I have no idea what she would do as prez. reformist2 Apr 2016 #8
Then you probably need to pull your head out of the sand n/t SFnomad Apr 2016 #15
Yes yes. Get comfortable. Relax. morningfog Apr 2016 #11
But, Bernie has large RALLY crowds!!! brooklynite Apr 2016 #12
Like he did in the last seven states CoffeeCat Apr 2016 #13
Those were caucus states and most were open. He disappointed in Wyoming because, pnwmom Apr 2016 #21
Teachout also lost nt firebrand80 Apr 2016 #27
They don't vote in similar numbers, AND when they do vote ... NurseJackie Apr 2016 #25
Hillary supporters apcalc Apr 2016 #26
want to make a friendly large bet? SoLeftIAmRight Apr 2016 #16
I'm willing to bet hill2016 Apr 2016 #19
Don't panic, says Hillary in the OP. delrem Apr 2016 #17
But the big question is.... Corporate666 Apr 2016 #18
"...get in line behind his superior - Hillary." IdaBriggs Apr 2016 #24
Nope firebrand80 Apr 2016 #28
Post removed Post removed Apr 2016 #22
I'm confused enid602 Apr 2016 #32
So will they cancel the debate then? Seems like a waste of time. IdaBriggs Apr 2016 #23
Except nobody is asking what leftynyc Apr 2016 #30
I was mocking the importance of the original post. IdaBriggs Apr 2016 #34
As clear as mud (n/t) leftynyc Apr 2016 #35
 

GeorgiaPeanuts

(2,353 posts)
2. All the polls conducted over roughly the same period show roughly the same spread....
Wed Apr 13, 2016, 09:50 PM
Apr 2016

Color me shocked...

It would be bizarre if they didn't show roughly the same spread since they were taken over the same timeframe.

 

The Old Lie

(123 posts)
3. In reality, it is a win for Bernie
Wed Apr 13, 2016, 09:51 PM
Apr 2016

The polls has been consistently wrong and they're still using landlines. 100% unreliable.

FarPoint

(12,409 posts)
31. Only with the loosey goose Caucuses ...
Thu Apr 14, 2016, 07:42 AM
Apr 2016

Oh, and open Primary voting where Independent and Republicans can cross over does Bernie squeeze out a win. Now the closed voting will be much more reflective in true votes.

CoffeeCat

(24,411 posts)
5. Bernie is going to win NEW YORK!!!
Wed Apr 13, 2016, 09:55 PM
Apr 2016

I can feel it!!!

The polls have sucked this primary season.

I'm taking to you Michigan!

We shall prevail. Seriously. It's going to be epic!

pnwmom

(108,980 posts)
20. Michigan was an open primary. NY required registered voters to affiliate by last October
Thu Apr 14, 2016, 02:38 AM
Apr 2016

and new voters to register as Democrats by a month before the primary.

No last minute surge of Independents will be happening in NY.

Response to pnwmom (Reply #20)

pnwmom

(108,980 posts)
33. Do you realize what a tiny fraction of voters that surge comprised? It would be big in Wyoming
Thu Apr 14, 2016, 07:53 AM
Apr 2016

but it's a drop in the bucket in N.Y.

Also, the article attributes much of it to Trump, and says half are new voters. That's strange because people already registered would be wasting their time filing applications now.

But given the impact Donald Trump has had on the Republican race, and to a lesser degree Bernie Sanders on the Democratic side, few are surprised that the New York primary could have a higher-than-usual turnout.

CoffeeCat

(24,411 posts)
13. Like he did in the last seven states
Wed Apr 13, 2016, 11:04 PM
Apr 2016

that he won!

We've got momentum!

And the Working Family Party's endorsement.

And word has it that things are going well in upstate New York. Zephyr Teachout won 70 percent in several of those counties. Bernie has the same anti-fracking stance that galvanized such strong support for Teachout in those NY counties.

This is getting good!

pnwmom

(108,980 posts)
21. Those were caucus states and most were open. He disappointed in Wyoming because,
Thu Apr 14, 2016, 02:40 AM
Apr 2016

though it was a caucus, it was closed.

New York is a closed primary. Bernie's independent voters should have switched to Democratic -- last October.

NurseJackie

(42,862 posts)
25. They don't vote in similar numbers, AND when they do vote ...
Thu Apr 14, 2016, 07:10 AM
Apr 2016

... many of them typically don't bother to vote for down-ticket Democrats or in other important races (like elected judges). Do they not care? Are they in too much of a rush? Did they not bother to do their research on candidates? Are they "protesting" by not voting for other Democrats?

It's all very weird. That's now how a "revolution" finds success.

delrem

(9,688 posts)
17. Don't panic, says Hillary in the OP.
Thu Apr 14, 2016, 02:18 AM
Apr 2016

Why would she suppose her die hard supporters might be panicking?
Golly, that's a hard one to figure.

Corporate666

(587 posts)
18. But the big question is....
Thu Apr 14, 2016, 02:25 AM
Apr 2016

...will Bernie have the decency to drop out after NY?

His deficit is already insurmountable by virtually all accounts, save for the most desperately ignoring reality. But will Sanders keep taking millions of dollars from people and lying to them and saying he can win, or will be put an end to the charade and get in line behind his superior - Hillary.

 

IdaBriggs

(10,559 posts)
24. "...get in line behind his superior - Hillary."
Thu Apr 14, 2016, 06:37 AM
Apr 2016


I am not sure if you are in the wrong country or from a different century, but if you actually believe what you typed, you need to check into what our values include -- CREATED EQUAL is kind of a big part of it.

Take that "his superior" stuff back into the fantasyland of "Queen Hillary" - Presidents are Servants of the People, and that is the temporary job they are competing for.

firebrand80

(2,760 posts)
28. Nope
Thu Apr 14, 2016, 07:29 AM
Apr 2016

He's already fallen back on the "SDs will switch to me," argument. The PD lead that was supposed to be so important is now irrelevant.

Response to riversedge (Original post)

 

IdaBriggs

(10,559 posts)
23. So will they cancel the debate then? Seems like a waste of time.
Thu Apr 14, 2016, 06:30 AM
Apr 2016

If it won't affect the polls anyway.

And that should mean they can stop blocking streets in New York with their rallies, right? Since the polls have stabilized and all.

(Oops - my bad - that was just a Bernie thing.)

Are we even going to bother with that silly voting thing on Tuesday, now that the polls are all stabilized? Or do we just assume that, even though the polls have been at historical levels of wrong, this time magic will happen and the good fairy of "it will be different This Time!" will appear?

 

leftynyc

(26,060 posts)
30. Except nobody is asking what
Thu Apr 14, 2016, 07:42 AM
Apr 2016

you're rolling your eyes about. You're upset about your own strawman. That takes a special (pathetic) talent.

 

IdaBriggs

(10,559 posts)
34. I was mocking the importance of the original post.
Thu Apr 14, 2016, 08:19 AM
Apr 2016

If the sarcasm was too subtle, accept my apologies. Hopefully I have now made it clear for you.

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