2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumNew York polls have stabilized: Hillary Clinton has a clear and comfortable lead
New York polls have stabilized: Hillary Clinton has a clear and comfortable lead
http://www.dailynewsbin.com/news/new-york-polls-stabilize-hillary-clinton-has-a-clear-and-comfortable-lead/24460/
By dailynewsbin | April 13, 2016
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Heres where New York now stands: over the past week, eight different polling outlets have released new numbers. They all peg Hillary Clintons lead as being between ten and eighteen points. Shes likely to finish somewhere in that range. This is a closed primary, which means no Michigan style surprise. And because its too large of a state to erase a double digit difference in the final week before voting, it now looks clear that Clinton will win comfortably. That may help explain why the Sanders campaign is already looking to arrange a way to explain away the likely loss.
pantsonfire
(1,306 posts)GeorgiaPeanuts
(2,353 posts)Color me shocked...
It would be bizarre if they didn't show roughly the same spread since they were taken over the same timeframe.
The Old Lie
(123 posts)The polls has been consistently wrong and they're still using landlines. 100% unreliable.
TMontoya
(369 posts)I will be looking forward to whining and screams of "fraud" when he loses.
rock
(13,218 posts)Congrats!
FarPoint
(12,409 posts)Oh, and open Primary voting where Independent and Republicans can cross over does Bernie squeeze out a win. Now the closed voting will be much more reflective in true votes.
hrmjustin
(71,265 posts)riversedge
(70,242 posts)CoffeeCat
(24,411 posts)I can feel it!!!
The polls have sucked this primary season.
I'm taking to you Michigan!
We shall prevail. Seriously. It's going to be epic!
rock
(13,218 posts)Congrats!
pnwmom
(108,980 posts)and new voters to register as Democrats by a month before the primary.
No last minute surge of Independents will be happening in NY.
Response to pnwmom (Reply #20)
Vilis Veritas This message was self-deleted by its author.
pnwmom
(108,980 posts)but it's a drop in the bucket in N.Y.
Also, the article attributes much of it to Trump, and says half are new voters. That's strange because people already registered would be wasting their time filing applications now.
grossproffit
(5,591 posts)reformist2
(9,841 posts)SFnomad
(3,473 posts)morningfog
(18,115 posts)brooklynite
(94,598 posts)Like he did in Florida...
CoffeeCat
(24,411 posts)that he won!
We've got momentum!
And the Working Family Party's endorsement.
And word has it that things are going well in upstate New York. Zephyr Teachout won 70 percent in several of those counties. Bernie has the same anti-fracking stance that galvanized such strong support for Teachout in those NY counties.
This is getting good!
pnwmom
(108,980 posts)though it was a caucus, it was closed.
New York is a closed primary. Bernie's independent voters should have switched to Democratic -- last October.
firebrand80
(2,760 posts)NurseJackie
(42,862 posts)... many of them typically don't bother to vote for down-ticket Democrats or in other important races (like elected judges). Do they not care? Are they in too much of a rush? Did they not bother to do their research on candidates? Are they "protesting" by not voting for other Democrats?
It's all very weird. That's now how a "revolution" finds success.
apcalc
(4,465 posts)Are too busy working and rearing children to go to rallies. Or caucuses.
SoLeftIAmRight
(4,883 posts)???
hill2016
(1,772 posts)that Clinton wins NY.
delrem
(9,688 posts)Why would she suppose her die hard supporters might be panicking?
Golly, that's a hard one to figure.
Corporate666
(587 posts)...will Bernie have the decency to drop out after NY?
His deficit is already insurmountable by virtually all accounts, save for the most desperately ignoring reality. But will Sanders keep taking millions of dollars from people and lying to them and saying he can win, or will be put an end to the charade and get in line behind his superior - Hillary.
IdaBriggs
(10,559 posts)I am not sure if you are in the wrong country or from a different century, but if you actually believe what you typed, you need to check into what our values include -- CREATED EQUAL is kind of a big part of it.
Take that "his superior" stuff back into the fantasyland of "Queen Hillary" - Presidents are Servants of the People, and that is the temporary job they are competing for.
firebrand80
(2,760 posts)He's already fallen back on the "SDs will switch to me," argument. The PD lead that was supposed to be so important is now irrelevant.
Response to riversedge (Original post)
Post removed
enid602
(8,620 posts)Isn't that what you guys said about Confederate, Southern Democrats?
IdaBriggs
(10,559 posts)If it won't affect the polls anyway.
And that should mean they can stop blocking streets in New York with their rallies, right? Since the polls have stabilized and all.
(Oops - my bad - that was just a Bernie thing.)
Are we even going to bother with that silly voting thing on Tuesday, now that the polls are all stabilized? Or do we just assume that, even though the polls have been at historical levels of wrong, this time magic will happen and the good fairy of "it will be different This Time!" will appear?
leftynyc
(26,060 posts)you're rolling your eyes about. You're upset about your own strawman. That takes a special (pathetic) talent.
IdaBriggs
(10,559 posts)If the sarcasm was too subtle, accept my apologies. Hopefully I have now made it clear for you.