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RandySF

(58,911 posts)
Wed Apr 13, 2016, 10:51 PM Apr 2016

Just How Competitive Is the New York Primary?

Mrs. Clinton fares especially well in the New York City suburbs, where her lead is almost 20 points, and she maintains a 13-point lead in the five boroughs, but that is down from her 24-point advantage in early February.

In 2008, when Mrs. Clinton ran for president against Senator Barack Obama, she won every borough. The race was closest in Brooklyn, the most populous borough and where both Mr. Sanders and Mrs. Clinton have campaigned hard.

White voters, though, have been crucial to Mr. Sanders’s success, and they make up a minority of Brooklyn residents, as they do in Queens and the Bronx.

Statewide, where about one-third of all residents are black or Latino, the candidates’ patterns of support appear familiar. Mrs. Clinton leads by about 2-to-1 with black voters, and by a slimmer 12-point margin among Latinos, according to the Siena poll. She holds an almost 20-point lead among women. The rivals are effectively tied among whites and among men.

Though Mr. Sanders would be the first Jewish presidential nominee, Mrs. Clinton pulls some of her strongest support from New York’s Jewish voters, six in 10 of whom back her. Mr. Sanders does best with those who do not identify as Roman Catholic, Protestant or Jewish; he takes a slim majority of these voters.


http://www.nytimes.com/politics/first-draft/2016/04/13/poll-watch-just-how-competitive-is-the-new-york-primary/

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ScreamingMeemie

(68,918 posts)
1. TL:DR, but it's looking pretty danged competitive to this Texas girl.
Wed Apr 13, 2016, 10:54 PM
Apr 2016

I love how this primary season, outside of the behavior of some of the more silly supporters on both sides, has been a real and true race. I am hopeful Bernie pulls it out as I made the decision to back him, and perhaps open my wallet to Dems again if he wins, and it's been fun to watch.

If Hillary wins? She gets a vote but no money. No more money to those who would just as soon step on this widowed mother's face.

RandySF

(58,911 posts)
5. I've seen this movie twice before
Wed Apr 13, 2016, 10:57 PM
Apr 2016

Jerry Brown got close to Bill Clinton in NY polls in 1992 and Bill Bradley seemed within striking distance to Al Gore. In the end, Clinton and Gore won with healthy margins.

NWCorona

(8,541 posts)
8. If I take Daredevil out of the equation I agree 100%!
Wed Apr 13, 2016, 11:07 PM
Apr 2016

This is like a soap opera with all the plot twists and turns lol!

And yeah, primary/caucuse nights are the best! Especially when it's close.

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