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Skinner

(63,645 posts)
Thu Apr 14, 2016, 02:51 PM Apr 2016

John Judis: "I'm Voting for Bernie, but on One Condition"

Interesting piece on TPM by John Judis (yes, that John Judis -- co-author of The Emerging Democratic Majority). I haven't really heard this attitude before in a primary election context. While I am fully aware that actual discussion is virtually impossible here in the DU GDP forum, I am curious what people think about this. As a Hillary supporter, I will admit that this article does resonate with me somewhat.

I did a search and was surprised that this hasn't been posted here on DU yet. But I guess it makes sense given that the article is somewhat off message for partisans on either side of the Hillary/Bernie split.

Full article is here: http://talkingpointsmemo.com/edblog/voting-for-bernie

“He’s not going to get the nomination, is he?” my wife asks anxiously as she gazes out of the kitchen window at the Bernie for President sign on our front lawn. No, I assure her, and he certainly won’t win Maryland on April 26. I’m voting for Bernie, and my wife may, too, but we’re doing so on the condition that we don’t think he will get the nomination. If he were poised to win, I don’t know whether I’d vote for him, because I fear he would be enormously vulnerable in a general election, even against Donald Trump or Ted Cruz, and I’m also not sure whether he is really ready for the job of president.

Why, then, vote for him at all? For me, it’s entirely about the issues he is raising, which I believe are important for the country’s future. Hillary Clinton and her various boosters in the media have made the argument that it’s impractical and even irresponsible to raise a demand like “Medicare for all” and “free public college” that could not possibly get through the next Congress, even if Democrats eke out a majority in the Senate. They presumably want a candidate to offer programs that could be the result of protracted negotiations between a Democratic president and Speaker Paul Ryan – like a two percent increase in infrastructure spending in exchange for a two percent reduction in Medicaid block grants. I disagree with this approach to politics.

What Sanders is proposing are political guideposts – ideals, if you like – according to which we can judge whether incremental reforms make sense. He is describing, whether you like them or not, objectives toward which we Americans should be aspiring. That’s a central activity in politics. Should it be confined to issues of Democracy or National Affairs? Or is it the kind of activity that is entirely appropriate for a nominating contest? Ronald Reagan and the conservatives thought so during the 1970s. And I think Democrats should be thinking this way now. So I applaud Bernie Sanders for not limiting his proposals to what might appear on a President’s often-ignored budget requests.

(snip)

Does the country really need turning around? Sanders has been derided for holding up Denmark and other Scandinavian countries as examples. They are far different from the US, and they are also beginning to experience problems sustaining their own social democracies. But I think in comparing life there with life in the United States, there is one useful point to be made. . What people in these countries enjoy is not assured lifetime employment or control over their workplaces, but a degree of basic security about their lives that is missing in the United States. Americans endure needless anxiety about access to education and healthcare and about being left penniless or homeless. Our social safety net doesn’t just need mending, but replacement. It’s worn out. And Sanders provides a set of guidelines in his proposals that will move exactly in that direction That’s why he gets my vote on April 26 – even if I hope Hillary Clinton is the Democratic nominee.


Here's what Ed Kilgore had to say at New York Mag about Judis's piece:

Do All of Bernie’s Voters Want Him to Win?

(snip)

...primary exit polls consistently show voters concerned about electability are heavily tilting toward Hillary. After all, you don't need a political-science degree to suspect that a 75-year-old self-styled democratic socialist with a Senate voting record a bit to the left of tofu is going to get Dukakised to death after a good, vicious billion-dollar Republican general-election ad campaign. That makes you wonder how many Hillary voters there are who'd pull the lever for Sanders if they really thought he could win the general election. And it also makes you wonder exactly how many Sanders voters like Judis don't really want him to win the nomination because they don't think he can win the general election — or want to fence in Clinton ideologically because they think she can.
37 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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John Judis: "I'm Voting for Bernie, but on One Condition" (Original Post) Skinner Apr 2016 OP
I believe now is exactly the time to be the party of big ideas My Good Babushka Apr 2016 #1
Exactly. If not now, when? Give the people something to vote for. eom DookDook Apr 2016 #4
Like someome told me RobertEarl Apr 2016 #24
I think we shortchange ourselves as individuals, as a party, and as a nation ... surrealAmerican Apr 2016 #2
The answer is yes. Demsrule86 Apr 2016 #32
Sure. Why not? onehandle Apr 2016 #3
Oh, thank you so much for your approval to vote for Sanders. frylock Apr 2016 #31
Good read. one_voice Apr 2016 #5
Bernie proved himself to be a great Executive as mayor...and he knows how to WIN Armstead Apr 2016 #14
I had assumed, from early on, that lots of Bernie supporters.... LAS14 Apr 2016 #6
I disagree with the entire Premise Sky Masterson Apr 2016 #7
I am continually stunned how people think it is easier to fight against facts than falsehoods. Skwmom Apr 2016 #9
I really don't have a problem with those who support Hillary. Sky Masterson Apr 2016 #13
I don't think she is electable. n/t Skwmom Apr 2016 #15
Me either Sky Masterson Apr 2016 #17
This isn't being raised here because most people are either for or against ScreamingMeemie Apr 2016 #8
I very much agree with you. (nt) PotatoChip Apr 2016 #18
Huh!!??? nt Jitter65 Apr 2016 #10
Had a hard time with that one? morningfog Apr 2016 #23
These thoughts have been running through my head throughout this campaign Dem2 Apr 2016 #11
Mind numbing double-think! immoderate Apr 2016 #12
These political hacks need to get out of D.C. and talk to real people. Hillary has the problem in w4rma Apr 2016 #16
There is a false premise in this article. sadoldgirl Apr 2016 #19
Thank you for a thoughtful addition to the discussions here. I appreciate it nt riderinthestorm Apr 2016 #20
Voters support candidates SO they will win, not BECAUSE they will win. lumberjack_jeff Apr 2016 #21
Ironically, he got it exactly backwards, buying into the "Only a DINO can win" meme. lagomorph777 Apr 2016 #22
It's a pretty weird perspective, and I don't think either Hillary or Bernie fans could relate.. berni_mccoy Apr 2016 #25
An absolutely stupid, silly argument. Why? Just why make it? nt longship Apr 2016 #26
For the shits & giggles of pretending conversation *is* still possible here, I'll jump in, too villager Apr 2016 #27
Bernie's the best Politicalboi Apr 2016 #28
I have looked into the records of both Hillary and Bernie, and thoughI admit Thinkingabout Apr 2016 #29
this election, voters are backing non-establishment, insurgent candidates; no more status quo amborin Apr 2016 #30
I'm voting for Bernie because of the issues azmom Apr 2016 #33
It's a silly premise. WHY would I vote for someone who thinks small and is willing to compromise to Autumn Apr 2016 #34
Bernie polls better in the general election jfern Apr 2016 #35
That is very close to a rationale to vote third party. rug Apr 2016 #36
thing is, there are new and ambitious proposals on both sides bigtree Apr 2016 #37

My Good Babushka

(2,710 posts)
1. I believe now is exactly the time to be the party of big ideas
Thu Apr 14, 2016, 02:57 PM
Apr 2016

The Republican party is fractured and incompetent and unpopular with their own voters. They are wallowing in bathroom laws and uterine regulation that is not very popular with anyone. It's time for a bold contrast.

 

RobertEarl

(13,685 posts)
24. Like someome told me
Thu Apr 14, 2016, 04:25 PM
Apr 2016

They voted for Bernie because they preferred living in a Bernie like world and not Hillary's world.

That person once told me Bernie did not stand a chance,

Let us imagine our new president in DC for the first 100 days. Will there be saber rattling, or Olive branches? Will banksters get made cabinet members or will American socialists? Will the world tremble in fear for the economy, or shall the world rejoice the US has elected someone who is like most of us in that all will share the bounty? Will we proceed with turning our gaze from Global warming or begin to tackle the problem head on?

To say that Bernie can not govern is ludicrous. To say the Democratic party can't find good servants among its members to run the government is ludicrous. To think Bernie can't rally people to the cause is just plain nutzo.

America must make progress and Bernie is best positioned to help us make real progress. He has proven beyond a doubt he can, as evidenced by his campaign.

surrealAmerican

(11,362 posts)
2. I think we shortchange ourselves as individuals, as a party, and as a nation ...
Thu Apr 14, 2016, 03:00 PM
Apr 2016

... when we abandon our ideals and our hopes in exchange for "pragmatism".

Demsrule86

(68,586 posts)
32. The answer is yes.
Thu Apr 14, 2016, 07:58 PM
Apr 2016

If your ideals lead you to help elect a far worse GOP candidate...stop while you can.

onehandle

(51,122 posts)
3. Sure. Why not?
Thu Apr 14, 2016, 03:00 PM
Apr 2016

There's no possible scenario of him campaigning in Florida and throwing the election to George W. Bush, so people can feel free to vote for him in districts where it doesn't matter.

one_voice

(20,043 posts)
5. Good read.
Thu Apr 14, 2016, 03:09 PM
Apr 2016

I was talking to my daughter yesterday. She was camp Bernie now undecided. She keeps going back and forth. I'm undecided. I think we'll both make the decision in the booth. But it's funny we kinda said what's in the article. We want to vote for Bernie's ideas.

Both my kids are college graduates. Both have debt. Both want some type of relief. They're just starting out. A Trump or Cruz presidency could be devastating for them. Their policies could undue the economy again. Frankly it scares the shit out of them.

The health care issue is huge for my parents. My mom is voting for Bernie. She's hoping he'll do more for seniors. I hope he does too. They struggle too much. They shouldn't have to choose between food and medication. My parents don't because they have kids that help, but if they didn't...

I don't like Medicare for all. I have medicare and I find a whole host of problems with it. I guess it's better than noting though. I think medicaid is a better system.

All I know is we're in for a world of hurt if the republicans win.

I'm in Delaware so we're blue no matter what.

 

Armstead

(47,803 posts)
14. Bernie proved himself to be a great Executive as mayor...and he knows how to WIN
Thu Apr 14, 2016, 03:37 PM
Apr 2016

Seriously, if you have doubts whether he could accomplish anything as president, read about how he operated as Mayor of Burlington.

He was very pragmatic and got things done. He knows how to work the system, in a nuts and bolts way.

And if he were running in the General, if he actually had the supoport of the democratic Parrty, he'd beat Trump or Crize or most otehr wildcards the GOP might have in store.

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/peter-dreier/bernies-burlington-what-k_b_7510704.html

http://www.thenation.com/article/how-does-bernie-sanders-do-it/

LAS14

(13,783 posts)
6. I had assumed, from early on, that lots of Bernie supporters....
Thu Apr 14, 2016, 03:13 PM
Apr 2016

... felt this way. Early on, before I found DU, I had the sense that this was common, but I don't know where I got that from.

Sky Masterson

(5,240 posts)
7. I disagree with the entire Premise
Thu Apr 14, 2016, 03:13 PM
Apr 2016

People worry about Bernie being Dukakis'd when in all actuality its Hillary that will be Dukakis'd
She has a built-in group of people who hate her and she is creating more of them everyday.
"Clinton" is the best word one can speak to get Republicans off of their @$$es and to the polls.
I have been a member here for a really long time and over that time I've noticed that many people Hated Bill and Hillary.
Whether merited or not many people hate them. I think it was Rumsfeld who said "As you know, you go to war with the Army you have. They're not the Army you might want or wish to have at a later time.". We are preparing to go full Dukakis with Hillary.
She will run and she will probably lose.


Sky Masterson

(5,240 posts)
13. I really don't have a problem with those who support Hillary.
Thu Apr 14, 2016, 03:33 PM
Apr 2016

I have said numerous times that I will vote for her no matter how painful it is.
I am not stupid. I know what is at stake with the Supreme Court. The ACA, which I get a subsidy for is in danger of going away.
It feels like a loaded gun to my head. I know when I'm licked.
But I think people here are overselling 1 candidates chances and underselling another candidates chances.
I'm sorry, I just believe she is barely electable. I've seen nothing in this primary season in which mainly declared democrats voted in that convinces me that in a General ,against a Candidate that isn't Cruz or Trump, when everyone picks between the Generic Republican( that isn't Cruz or Trump) candidate and Hillary Clinton that she can court enough independents and inspire enough people to win.
I hope I'm wrong. I really really do.

ScreamingMeemie

(68,918 posts)
8. This isn't being raised here because most people are either for or against
Thu Apr 14, 2016, 03:16 PM
Apr 2016

Bernie. The reasons stated in the article are the reasons why I support Bernie for the nomination, and I will kick in my financial support for the first time in years (fixed income) if he does. It is nicely written, but it really is a pointless article. Voting for him in a "props to you" manner is foolhardy.

For many of us, we cannot afford to vote for Hillary and we can't afford to see our party slide further to the right. I know that angers Hillary supporters, but I took my time with my decision and we cannot survive more of the same.

Side note: If you place the more vocal ones on ignore, conversations here in GD: Primary become enlightening and polite even. I am sorry I had to remove mine for MIRT.

Dem2

(8,168 posts)
11. These thoughts have been running through my head throughout this campaign
Thu Apr 14, 2016, 03:26 PM
Apr 2016

A part of me wonders if Sanders even wants to win. I, like Judis, tend to agree with most of what Bernie is pushing. I'd have to actually sit and think of a position where I disagree with him in any substantial way. However, and I've stated this many times here, I have my reservations about his ability to win in November. I have 0.0% faith in the GE matchup polls that we see bartered around as if they have some kind of value at this time. No. No they don't. If you've been around on this Earth for a while you've seen the optimistic early polling numbers some liberals had in the spring of the election year. Massive leads that simply evaporated once any real pressure was applied to said candidate. I won't try to ascribe motive to Bernie-only supporters as I am a "Bernie has my heart, Hillary has my head" voter. Frankly, it's not my choice, it's the choice of the people in each state to decide who they think will be the best candidate. I can relate to what is going through Judis' head though, it's been running around my head since it became obvious that this was a 2-person race.

 

w4rma

(31,700 posts)
16. These political hacks need to get out of D.C. and talk to real people. Hillary has the problem in
Thu Apr 14, 2016, 03:42 PM
Apr 2016

the general election, not Bernie. It's clear that these folks just "believe" without evidence that regular people could never choose a progressive, again, like they did with FDR. And they make up excuse after excuse.

Sorry, but FDR, and Truman, were such strong progressive politicians that the Democratic Party is STILL running on their coattails, nearly a century later.

Remember that it was President Clinton who finally broke FDR's coalition by signing NAFTA.

The reason we have been losing seats is because the "New" Democrats have been trying to cut those coattails by signing away Glass-Steagal, undermining FDR's welfare laws, and defunding Social Security through picking at it.

These "New" Democrats confuse voters with their corporate propaganda, and so they vote for the Nazi, like Donald Trump who, at least, gives a false path to prosperity.
http://www.businessinsider.com/charlie-munger-warns-about-american-finance-2016-4

The "New" Democrat campaign is basically "accept austerity, accept crap jobs, accept your peasant station in life, accept that your children will have a lower quality of life than you did, and accept your new billionaire oligarchs, they are here to rule and stay"

There is a very good reason that a strong majority of Americans despise Hillary and respect Bernie.
http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/hillary-clinton-favorable-rating
http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/bernie-sanders-favorable-rating

And worst of all for Clinton and anyone who associates with her is how the public considers her to be *more* dishonest than even Donald Trump. Forget about the "democratic socialist" label that Sanders has refined. Everyone who touches Clinton is made to look dishonest in the eyes of voters.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the-fix/wp/2016/02/10/hillary-clinton-has-a-major-honesty-problem-after-new-hampshire/

sadoldgirl

(3,431 posts)
19. There is a false premise in this article.
Thu Apr 14, 2016, 03:49 PM
Apr 2016

To believe that the Clintons (remember two for one?!&quot would try to
implement Bernie's ideas is pure fantasy.

To believe that HRC can strike a better deal with Congress than
Bernie is only a hope without any substantiation.

The biggest fear I have is that if she gets into the WH the TPP
will be signed very quickly due to the first Fast Track vote. I also
think that is the main reason for Obama to indirectly support her.

Once that has been passed any and every politician has very
little power in comparison to the banks and large corporations.

If Judis trusts her to fight the TPP, then he is plainly wrong. There
are good reasons why she is distrusted, her flip flops over the years
and especially on the campaign trail prove that.

 

lumberjack_jeff

(33,224 posts)
21. Voters support candidates SO they will win, not BECAUSE they will win.
Thu Apr 14, 2016, 04:00 PM
Apr 2016

If candidate A reflects your priorities and values, but the TV machine tells you that candidate B is going to win, don't be a dumbass; vote for candidate A.

lagomorph777

(30,613 posts)
22. Ironically, he got it exactly backwards, buying into the "Only a DINO can win" meme.
Thu Apr 14, 2016, 04:04 PM
Apr 2016

Actual polls are pretty consistently showing that Bernie is far better positioned to beat any and all potential puke nominees.

 

berni_mccoy

(23,018 posts)
25. It's a pretty weird perspective, and I don't think either Hillary or Bernie fans could relate..
Thu Apr 14, 2016, 04:30 PM
Apr 2016

Hillary fans wouldn't relate because most won't consider that Bernie's stances are better.

Bernie fans wouldn't relate because I believe most are voting for Bernie REGARDLESS of whether he can win or not.

And for what it's worth, I disagree with the premise: that Bernie would be a more vulnerable candidate in the GE. His purity and long-standing positions on most issues would be a strong-point, not a weakness. Hillary's unfavorability ratings are massive and most people don't believe anything she says is anything she means and that she's running simply to win the power of the position, not what she can do for the people she'd represent.

 

villager

(26,001 posts)
27. For the shits & giggles of pretending conversation *is* still possible here, I'll jump in, too
Thu Apr 14, 2016, 04:45 PM
Apr 2016

It's an intriguing piece.

As someone in a blue-no-matter-what state, I have a freer hand in these votes than folks in toss-up states. I recognize that. I can protest vote to the left in general elections -- unlike Floridians in 2000, say -- and the results will be unchanged.

And we are at a particular dread verge where the GOP candidates are the craziest and most destructive they've ever been -- the ones still close to the nomination, that is.

Which, given the GOP role in what is doubtless irreparable damage to the nation, is really saying something.

But in the end, in my safely blue state, I am voting for Bernie, for his ideas, which I've been waiting to have enunciated on the Democratic campaign trail for a very long time.

I still think Hillary is the likely/probable nominee. I hope she is not fatally flawed. And I hope she is smart enough to see what the hell is happening around her, and somehow transcend her establishment strictures.

And none of that means I view voting for Bernie as only a "protest," either, btw. But it's the beginning of a process of long overdue transformation of a rotten, sclerotic system. That doesn't mean I think all of it can happen, all at once, in this election.

But a vote for him in the primary is a vote to get that work started.

 

Politicalboi

(15,189 posts)
28. Bernie's the best
Thu Apr 14, 2016, 04:47 PM
Apr 2016

Hillary won't be able to win the GE. She is mired in scandal just like the two GOP idiots. But people will listen to Donald over Hillary and her lies will stick, and his won't. He'll win over her. I won't be voting for her if she's the nominee. I will change my party affiliation and be an independent, and vote for Jill Stein. At least we won't have to be ashamed of her and her political gains.

Thinkingabout

(30,058 posts)
29. I have looked into the records of both Hillary and Bernie, and thoughI admit
Thu Apr 14, 2016, 05:15 PM
Apr 2016

I have followed the Clintons since 1980 and I agree with them on many issues I still looked at Sanders.

Though one day we will probably achieve a national health insurance I do not think it will happen now. I sure cannot fault Hillary in her efforts with healthcare. With Hillary's plan on assistance with college tuition of having the student give back to the community a useful service to off set the tuition, it would be a win-win situation.

I have listened to many times of Sanders on the different talk shows and I have serious questions about his answers, I dislike an answer which does not relate to the question. In a recent interview I thought he does not have knowledge about issues he speaks about often and he should be knowledgeable.

Will I vote for a candidate who is not Democratic, no, that would not be the answer either.

amborin

(16,631 posts)
30. this election, voters are backing non-establishment, insurgent candidates; no more status quo
Thu Apr 14, 2016, 06:14 PM
Apr 2016

Bernie has much greater GE electability than HRC.

azmom

(5,208 posts)
33. I'm voting for Bernie because of the issues
Thu Apr 14, 2016, 08:31 PM
Apr 2016

and because I believe he is an honest and compassionate man. No one else in this race is deserving of my vote.

I believe that no other candidate will work on behalf of working class folks like Bernie will. Hillary like most of our politicians have sold us out, and I am no longer willing to vote or support corporate dems.


Autumn

(45,108 posts)
34. It's a silly premise. WHY would I vote for someone who thinks small and is willing to compromise to
Thu Apr 14, 2016, 08:49 PM
Apr 2016

give the people who need help another fucking bone with all the fucking meat carefully trimmed off? Fuck that shit. Enough is enough.

Hillary Clinton and her various boosters in the media have made the argument that it’s impractical and even irresponsible to raise a demand like “Medicare for all” and “free public college” that could not possibly get through the next Congress, even if Democrats eke out a majority in the Senate. They presumably want a candidate to offer programs that could be the result of protracted negotiations between a Democratic president and Speaker Paul Ryan – like a two percent increase in infrastructure spending in exchange for a two percent reduction in Medicaid block grants. I disagree with this approach to politics.

I disagree with this approach to politics
is a goddamn understatement as far as I'm concerned. We can't afford the luxury of the status quo that Hillary brings.

Bernie is far more electable, he does not come with the baggage Hillary has and people actually like him.


 

rug

(82,333 posts)
36. That is very close to a rationale to vote third party.
Thu Apr 14, 2016, 10:08 PM
Apr 2016
I’m voting for Bernie, and my wife may, too, but we’re doing so on the condition that we don’t think he will get the nomination. If he were poised to win, I don’t know whether I’d vote for him . . . .

Why, then, vote for him at all? For me, it’s entirely about the issues he is raising, which I believe are important for the country’s future.

The same can be said for a general election in which the Democrat is the prohibitive favorite.

bigtree

(85,998 posts)
37. thing is, there are new and ambitious proposals on both sides
Thu Apr 14, 2016, 11:42 PM
Apr 2016

...everyone has proposals which are stacked up against an obstructive republican majority. Hillary is to be forgiven for expecting Sanders to give at least some heed to the efforts of Democrats today to radically reform the political system and not act as if he invented progressiveness.

Sanders supporters should ask the all but a handful of members of the Progressive Congressional Congress he founded who are supporting Hillary if their efforts and ambitions are any less bold or challenging than the Vermont senator's own.

I do think taking unambiguous and unequivocal stances are more politically attractive than a more pragmatic appeal. The problem is, they're often at great odds with political realities.

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