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angrychair

(8,699 posts)
Fri Apr 15, 2016, 10:12 PM Apr 2016

Who we choose matters

Last edited Fri Apr 15, 2016, 10:43 PM - Edit history (1)

Many Democrats are already starting to become concerned
For good reason. In January 1, Huffington Pollster national polling was 54 to 34 in favor of Clinton by 20 points! Now, in the middle of April, it's 48.3 to 45.4, in favor on Clinton by 2.9, she lost 17 points in 4 months.
RealClearPolitics average is even worse. They have their current difference at 1.2 points.

In the latest Reuters/Ipsos poll, Sanders is in a far better position. He is beating Clinton among all registered voters, nationally, 47% to 42%. Sanders is also beating Clinton among Democrats, 49% to 48% (though, admittedly, that is within margin of error). Sanders beats Clinton with Independents 45% to 29%. It does happen to have both beating all Republican comers.
CBS Polling is not as concise. She beats tRump but would lose to Cruz and Kasich. Sanders beats all three and beats tRump well outside any margin of error.
54% of registered voters view Clinton unfavorably.
To be specific, Sanders is the only viable candidate (meaning not counting Kasich), Democrat or republican, that has a net favorable rating among all registered voters nationally.

Next, on the very same day that Sanders gives a speech at a significant international conference on income inequality, the Clinton campaign has a lead surrogate and advisor doing a campaign fundraiser with millionaires in China, while his boss, Clinton, is doing a fundraiser with millionaires in California.

Lastly, we have a leading member of the Democratic Party and a presidential candidate, Clinton, under investigation by the FBI for the last several months, who has now officially lawyered up with an criminal defense lawyer.

Lastly, despite all the hype and all the media attention, from the beginning till now, Clinton has failed to seal the deal with pledged delegates and that opportunity is now gone. It is mathematically improbable, if not impossible, for her to go into the Democratic National Convention with enough pledged delegates to secure the nomination. Clinton would need to win 66% of all remaining pledged delegates (2,382 needed, has 1,289 and 1,647 remaining to win).
If this was "her time" and "she is the best person for the job" she has not met that mark. Money? Sanders has out raised her 3 months in a row. He bested her by $15 million dollars in March. Without SuperPACs or high-powered, exclusive parties with millionaires and billionaires and $100,000 or more in cash to get in the door-style fundraising. He did it the old fashioned way, one supporter at a time. Sanders has broken just about every fundraising record on the books.
She has failed at attracting and keeping voters. Failed in her ability to show she can beat her republican opponents with statistical confidence. Failed to bring in crowds and show voter enthusiasm. Failed at fundraising from individual voters. She is the only Democratic Party presidential candidate in modern history to be under investigation by the FBI and retain a criminal lawyer, while campaigning for president at the same time.
She is failing to achieve the one thing she was expected to do: win.





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Who we choose matters (Original Post) angrychair Apr 2016 OP
Who we chose does matter very much - K&R Dragonfli Apr 2016 #1
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