2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumShock Poll: Bernie Sanders Cuts Clinton’s Lead To Single Digits In New York
An Emerson poll from about a month ago (March 14 16) showed that Clinton was 48 points ahead of the Vermont Senator. But Sanders popularity has continued to rise. The latest from Gravis/One America News says its now Clinton with 53 percent and Sanders with 47, even though the poll was supposedly taken from April 5th and 6th. Although those poll results are just now making their way through the media pipeline, it still reflects a tumultuous time in the election.
The Sanders campaign might not have enough momentum to win New York, but the campaign would still cause a major upset if they pick up enough delegates. New York is Clintons home state, which usually gives a presidential candidate enormous advantages.
The Gravis poll also says that out of those Democrats surveyed, 69 percent said they were very likely to vote in the upcoming primary.
This makes New York a Virtual tie due to margin of error.
Read more at http://www.inquisitr.com/3006333/shock-poll-bernie-sanders-cuts-clintons-lead-to-single-digits-in-new-york/#WEtlXXkobR5XuWd1.99
berniepdx420
(1,784 posts)Betty Karlson
(7,231 posts)roguevalley
(40,656 posts)Bubzer
(4,211 posts)There's also this:
http://www.dailykos.com/story/2016/4/17/1516577/-Gravis-New-York-Poll-Shows-Sanders-Within-Six-53-47-Among-Likely-Democratic-Voters
NWCorona
(8,541 posts)Except for the fact that the poll covers Aril 4 and 5, whereas polls dated 4/15 and 4/16 show Hill with consistent double digit leads. Interestingly, the poll in the OP does not show up in realclearpolitics.com, despite being so old. But you have a great, restful night of sleep.
senz
(11,945 posts)... quite something.
And the LATEST poll (ALREADY posted to realpolitics.com) shows HIll with a 15% lead.
senz
(11,945 posts)in the comment of yours to which I was responding. I'm talking about the tone, the sarcastic comments about getting a good night's sleep.
Man, that is SO off, so unnecessary. Yet Hill folk do it all the time.
senz
(11,945 posts)Warren DeMontague
(80,708 posts)pdsimdars
(6,007 posts)and all of a sudden, I'm having to put a bunch of people on ignore and a lot of them have only done a few dozen posts. . . . . . .. . I'm definitely not saying there's any connection, . . . but . . . .
Bubzer
(4,211 posts)merrily
(45,251 posts)Very early on, it came out that she had hired Facebookers, much like Newt did the last time he ran.
This what I heard from someone from the DNC: Every Democratic politician has at least 2 or 3 paid posters. The DNC has them too. Now, imagine what a Democratic politician running for President for the second time has.
That's why, when I hear how very awful anonymous posters who supposedly support Bernie are, I don't rush to hang my head in shame. Well that and some Hillary supporters have been pretty awful to me. Kornacki finally admitted the truth a few days ago: the supporters of all Presidential candidates, Democratic and Republican, have been equally nasty to him online.
pdsimdars
(6,007 posts)bobbobbins01
(1,681 posts)3 million calls made this weekend, and still a day to go.
New poll within single digits.
The amount of new registered democrats is up.
Two huge rallies in NYC and a march.
Meeting with the pope.
Seems like this could be the biggest upset yet. I can't wait to see how the pundits try to spin this on Wednesday.
pdsimdars
(6,007 posts)Zynx
(21,328 posts)It's also an older poll based on survey date. Many newer polls have come out. If you believe this poll, you're engaging in wishful thinking and are an idiot.
Tanuki
(14,918 posts)On Mon Apr 18, 2016, 07:45 AM an alert was sent on the following post:
The Gravis poll is nonsense. It shows a 74% white Dem electorate in NY. In NY? Seriously?
http://www.democraticunderground.com/?com=view_post&forum=1251&pid=1766550
REASON FOR ALERT
This post is disruptive, hurtful, rude, insensitive, over-the-top, or otherwise inappropriate.
ALERTER'S COMMENTS
The poster's response would have been fine, but the last sentence killed it. No need to call the OP an idiot.
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DCBob
(24,689 posts)Joe the Revelator
(14,915 posts)DCBob
(24,689 posts)There have been a ton of polls since then. As I said.. meaningless.
Bubzer
(4,211 posts)Oh! And a link to an HRC supporting page. You deserve a golden for your efforts.
Tarc
(10,476 posts)http://www.theecps.com/
But by all means, fail more plz.
Fawke Em
(11,366 posts)Guess what that means?
NO CELL PHONES CALLED (it's illegal).
So... there's that.
Tarc
(10,476 posts)I'm sure it'll help soften the blow.
strategery blunder
(4,225 posts)Tarc
(10,476 posts)They didn't call millennials while they were Netflixin n chillin...
workinclasszero
(28,270 posts)Wow...
Dem2
(8,168 posts)pdsimdars
(6,007 posts)Bernie had over 28,000 and Hillary had a few hundred.
Now, being as impartial as I can muster, I wonder which one of them seems to have more enthusiasm? Hmmmmm. Shouldn't take long to answer that one.
appalachiablue
(41,143 posts)Way to go Bernie!
merrily
(45,251 posts)Bernie. Bernie got 86.1% of the primary vote in Vermont. Let's see how much Hillary gets in NY.
democrattotheend
(11,605 posts)Or is it a new poll?
Either way, I don't think this is a great pollster, from what I recall.
Demsrule86
(68,586 posts)55 Hillary...40 Bernie. They predicted she would win...he did cut three points but that is within the margin of error.
Bubzer
(4,211 posts)Read more at http://www.inquisitr.com/3006333/shock-poll-bernie-sanders-cuts-clintons-lead-to-single-digits-in-new-york/#QhBXVI2KYQIxtfXY.99
tgards79
(1,415 posts)Do you realize how many polls there have been over the last ten days? This is an outlier. Here is the answer with respect to New York;
http://www.borntorunthenumbers.com/2016/04/they-can-make-it-hereclinton-trump-will.html
Response to Bubzer (Original post)
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