Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search

Bubzer

(4,211 posts)
Mon Apr 18, 2016, 01:46 AM Apr 2016

Shock Poll: Bernie Sanders Cuts Clinton’s Lead To Single Digits In New York

A poll of New York voters released Sunday night says that Clinton’s lead is down to just six percent (53 percent to 47), according to the Guardian. It’s the latest ray of hope for the Sanders campaign, but with the primary vote there just two days away, is Bernie Sanders’ growing popularity too little too late?

An Emerson poll from about a month ago (March 14 – 16) showed that Clinton was 48 points ahead of the Vermont Senator. But Sanders’ popularity has continued to rise. The latest from Gravis/One America News says it’s now Clinton with 53 percent and Sanders with 47, even though the poll was supposedly taken from April 5th and 6th. Although those poll results are just now making their way through the media pipeline, it still reflects a tumultuous time in the election.

The Sanders campaign might not have enough momentum to win New York, but the campaign would still cause a major upset if they pick up enough delegates. New York is Clinton’s home state, which usually gives a presidential candidate enormous advantages.

The Gravis poll also says that out of those Democrats surveyed, 69 percent said they were “very likely” to vote in the upcoming primary.


This makes New York a Virtual tie due to margin of error.

Read more at http://www.inquisitr.com/3006333/shock-poll-bernie-sanders-cuts-clintons-lead-to-single-digits-in-new-york/#WEtlXXkobR5XuWd1.99
45 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
Shock Poll: Bernie Sanders Cuts Clinton’s Lead To Single Digits In New York (Original Post) Bubzer Apr 2016 OP
oh boy.. this is gonna be a hoot berniepdx420 Apr 2016 #1
Given the usual "slight" of the polls, does this mean he is four points ahead of her? eom Betty Karlson Apr 2016 #2
cue polls don't count roguevalley Apr 2016 #3
+1 Bubzer Apr 2016 #5
I think it'd be fair to say the margin of error probably favors Bernie. Bubzer Apr 2016 #4
A great post to end the evening with! NWCorona Apr 2016 #6
Right! Bubzer Apr 2016 #7
sleep enid602 Apr 2016 #8
The spirit of the Hill fan ... senz Apr 2016 #10
NY poll enid602 Apr 2016 #13
You really should take a look at how you expressed it senz Apr 2016 #28
Seriously! Wonderful news. senz Apr 2016 #9
Explains a lot of the activity here in GDP, particularly from an influx of brand-new "friends" Warren DeMontague Apr 2016 #11
isn't that funny, we find out last week that Hillary's campaign is paying people to astroturf online pdsimdars Apr 2016 #21
I'll say it...there's a connection. Bubzer Apr 2016 #22
You only got that last week? merrily Apr 2016 #27
That makes Bernie's Yuuuuuuge crowds of REAL grassroots so special. A tidal wave. pdsimdars Apr 2016 #31
Things are looking pretty good for Tuesday. bobbobbins01 Apr 2016 #12
I've put my prayers in. pdsimdars Apr 2016 #20
The Gravis poll is nonsense. It shows a 74% white Dem electorate in NY. In NY? Seriously? Zynx Apr 2016 #14
Jury results: Tanuki Apr 2016 #17
Almost two weeks old... its meaningless. DCBob Apr 2016 #15
It....it came out last night. Joe the Revelator Apr 2016 #38
Right.. but the actually polling dates were April 5-6. DCBob Apr 2016 #39
Time to get a little more current, kids Tarc Apr 2016 #16
Oh look... a fly-by-night website that lacks anything resembling an actual poll... Bubzer Apr 2016 #23
Lol, this is from the Emerson College Polling Society Tarc Apr 2016 #25
The Emerson poll uses a robo-dialer. Fawke Em Apr 2016 #32
Keep up the ad hominems on sources you don't like Tarc Apr 2016 #33
That's not an ad hominem--it's a known issue with methodology in polling n/t strategery blunder Apr 2016 #36
Poor l'il poppet Tarc Apr 2016 #37
2 weeks ago? workinclasszero Apr 2016 #29
I posted last night about this Dem2 Apr 2016 #18
There could be no more stark image than the pictures of their rallies yesterday pdsimdars Apr 2016 #19
Nice Shot! For real, Bernie had the largest number yet, 28,000 in NY! Hill a couple 100. appalachiablue Apr 2016 #24
It's not her home state, but it is a state that has been represented by her, as with Vermont and merrily Apr 2016 #26
Is this the same old poll from April 4-6 that has been posted here several times? democrattotheend Apr 2016 #30
I went on the website and it said Demsrule86 Apr 2016 #34
Here you go. Bubzer Apr 2016 #35
Outlier tgards79 Apr 2016 #40
Message auto-removed Name removed Apr 2016 #41
Message auto-removed Name removed Apr 2016 #42
Ooops! George II Apr 2016 #43
Ah ha. Nt seabeyond Apr 2016 #44
lol La Lioness Priyanka Apr 2016 #45

Bubzer

(4,211 posts)
4. I think it'd be fair to say the margin of error probably favors Bernie.
Mon Apr 18, 2016, 01:55 AM
Apr 2016

There's also this:

This is an interesting one, but I’m adding it to the mix because it hasn’t been reported on yet. The polling happened April 5-6, which obviously predates all of the crazy things that have happened since then: “unqualified,” the Pope trip, the huge Washington Square rally, and the debate. And only one day would include the reaction to the April 5 Wisconsin primary.

http://www.dailykos.com/story/2016/4/17/1516577/-Gravis-New-York-Poll-Shows-Sanders-Within-Six-53-47-Among-Likely-Democratic-Voters

enid602

(8,620 posts)
8. sleep
Mon Apr 18, 2016, 02:08 AM
Apr 2016

Except for the fact that the poll covers Aril 4 and 5, whereas polls dated 4/15 and 4/16 show Hill with consistent double digit leads. Interestingly, the poll in the OP does not show up in realclearpolitics.com, despite being so old. But you have a great, restful night of sleep.

 

senz

(11,945 posts)
28. You really should take a look at how you expressed it
Mon Apr 18, 2016, 02:20 PM
Apr 2016

in the comment of yours to which I was responding. I'm talking about the tone, the sarcastic comments about getting a good night's sleep.

Man, that is SO off, so unnecessary. Yet Hill folk do it all the time.

 

pdsimdars

(6,007 posts)
21. isn't that funny, we find out last week that Hillary's campaign is paying people to astroturf online
Mon Apr 18, 2016, 09:17 AM
Apr 2016

and all of a sudden, I'm having to put a bunch of people on ignore and a lot of them have only done a few dozen posts. . . . . . .. . I'm definitely not saying there's any connection, . . . but . . . .

merrily

(45,251 posts)
27. You only got that last week?
Mon Apr 18, 2016, 01:18 PM
Apr 2016

Very early on, it came out that she had hired Facebookers, much like Newt did the last time he ran.

This what I heard from someone from the DNC: Every Democratic politician has at least 2 or 3 paid posters. The DNC has them too. Now, imagine what a Democratic politician running for President for the second time has.

That's why, when I hear how very awful anonymous posters who supposedly support Bernie are, I don't rush to hang my head in shame. Well that and some Hillary supporters have been pretty awful to me. Kornacki finally admitted the truth a few days ago: the supporters of all Presidential candidates, Democratic and Republican, have been equally nasty to him online.

bobbobbins01

(1,681 posts)
12. Things are looking pretty good for Tuesday.
Mon Apr 18, 2016, 02:43 AM
Apr 2016

3 million calls made this weekend, and still a day to go.
New poll within single digits.
The amount of new registered democrats is up.
Two huge rallies in NYC and a march.
Meeting with the pope.

Seems like this could be the biggest upset yet. I can't wait to see how the pundits try to spin this on Wednesday.

Zynx

(21,328 posts)
14. The Gravis poll is nonsense. It shows a 74% white Dem electorate in NY. In NY? Seriously?
Mon Apr 18, 2016, 08:03 AM
Apr 2016

It's also an older poll based on survey date. Many newer polls have come out. If you believe this poll, you're engaging in wishful thinking and are an idiot.

Tanuki

(14,918 posts)
17. Jury results:
Mon Apr 18, 2016, 09:04 AM
Apr 2016

On Mon Apr 18, 2016, 07:45 AM an alert was sent on the following post:

The Gravis poll is nonsense. It shows a 74% white Dem electorate in NY. In NY? Seriously?
http://www.democraticunderground.com/?com=view_post&forum=1251&pid=1766550

REASON FOR ALERT

This post is disruptive, hurtful, rude, insensitive, over-the-top, or otherwise inappropriate.

ALERTER'S COMMENTS

The poster's response would have been fine, but the last sentence killed it. No need to call the OP an idiot.

You served on a randomly-selected Jury of DU members which reviewed this post. The review was completed at Mon Apr 18, 2016, 07:51 AM, and the Jury voted 2-5 to LEAVE IT.

Juror #1 voted to LEAVE IT ALONE
Explanation: No explanation given
Juror #2 voted to HIDE IT
Explanation: No explanation given
Juror #3 voted to LEAVE IT ALONE
Explanation: No explanation given
Juror #4 voted to LEAVE IT ALONE
Explanation: The poster isn't calling a specific DUer an idiot . Leave.
Juror #5 voted to HIDE IT
Explanation: No explanation given
Juror #6 voted to LEAVE IT ALONE
Explanation: touchy touchy
Juror #7 voted to LEAVE IT ALONE
Explanation: If every post on DU that called someone an idiot or worse was removed, it would look like the Rapture had happened! I seriously doubt that the alerter really thinks the rest of the post was "fine."

Thank you very much for participating in our Jury system, and we hope you will be able to participate again in the future.

DCBob

(24,689 posts)
39. Right.. but the actually polling dates were April 5-6.
Mon Apr 18, 2016, 08:46 PM
Apr 2016

There have been a ton of polls since then. As I said.. meaningless.

Bubzer

(4,211 posts)
23. Oh look... a fly-by-night website that lacks anything resembling an actual poll...
Mon Apr 18, 2016, 11:47 AM
Apr 2016

Oh! And a link to an HRC supporting page. You deserve a golden for your efforts.

Fawke Em

(11,366 posts)
32. The Emerson poll uses a robo-dialer.
Mon Apr 18, 2016, 06:20 PM
Apr 2016

Guess what that means?

NO CELL PHONES CALLED (it's illegal).

So... there's that.

 

pdsimdars

(6,007 posts)
19. There could be no more stark image than the pictures of their rallies yesterday
Mon Apr 18, 2016, 09:14 AM
Apr 2016

Bernie had over 28,000 and Hillary had a few hundred.

Now, being as impartial as I can muster, I wonder which one of them seems to have more enthusiasm? Hmmmmm. Shouldn't take long to answer that one.

appalachiablue

(41,143 posts)
24. Nice Shot! For real, Bernie had the largest number yet, 28,000 in NY! Hill a couple 100.
Mon Apr 18, 2016, 12:02 PM
Apr 2016


Way to go Bernie!

merrily

(45,251 posts)
26. It's not her home state, but it is a state that has been represented by her, as with Vermont and
Mon Apr 18, 2016, 01:12 PM
Apr 2016

Bernie. Bernie got 86.1% of the primary vote in Vermont. Let's see how much Hillary gets in NY.

democrattotheend

(11,605 posts)
30. Is this the same old poll from April 4-6 that has been posted here several times?
Mon Apr 18, 2016, 02:22 PM
Apr 2016

Or is it a new poll?

Either way, I don't think this is a great pollster, from what I recall.

Demsrule86

(68,586 posts)
34. I went on the website and it said
Mon Apr 18, 2016, 08:09 PM
Apr 2016

55 Hillary...40 Bernie. They predicted she would win...he did cut three points but that is within the margin of error.

Response to Bubzer (Original post)

Response to Bubzer (Original post)

Latest Discussions»Retired Forums»2016 Postmortem»Shock Poll: Bernie Sander...