I acknowledge that Bernie has an excellent chance to win the NY primary.

[Nye Bevan]

He's from Brooklyn, after all, and still has the accent. His signature issue is to break apart the big banks and New Yorkers have seen close-up just how devastating Wall Street has been to the economy of New York City and the country. He's thrown some big rallies, and while De Blasio has endorsed Hillary, the mayor's "Macaca moment" last week when he was exposed as a racist means that his endorsement is worth very little. Bernie's pilgrimage to the Vatican will help win him the Catholic vote. And as we know, primary polls tend to be wrong and don't mean much. And nobody is going to pay much attention to the endorsements of the NY corporatist newspapers.

So Bernie, I believe, has an excellent chance to win in NY. Of course, if the underdog Hillary overcomes all this and beats him anyway, it will be an utterly devastating blow to his campaign which he will be unlikely to recover from.

[SamKnause]

1. You view Hillary as the underdog ?

[Proud Liberal Dem]

2. No kidding

I can't tell if the OP is being serious or sarcastic (seems serious tho)

[merrily]

3. The OP seems to be intended as humor.

[Nye Bevan]

9. Have you seen the size of Bernie's rallies? (nt)

[workinclasszero]

13. Yeah but not as big as all those ones Bernie had in Texas

before he lost the primary there.

[NCTraveler]

18. Don't forget his Florida rally.

It wasn't even a contest in Florida.

[workinclasszero]

19. Yeah that was a YUUUUGE one too!

[apnu]

4. Bernie could win all of this if...

... He keeps telling Democrats how Bernie's ideas will help Democrats.

I think the passion is there in the party, I think the will is there in the party, but he's still seen as an outsider. He's got the indepentent and youth vote behind him, now he needs old party types. Appealing to the needs of Democrats, all Democrats, is the next step.

[griffi94]

5. Agreed

Also by being down only 15 points
in the latest poll, I personally feel like he's already won.

[Nye Bevan]

11. The polls mean nothing.

They don't call cellphones, for one thing.

[griffi94]

12. I should have added an LOL

I was poking fun at the Bernie supporters who continue to move the goal posts

[onehandle]

6. Agreed. He has the momentum. So what if Hillary is ahead in most polls up to 17%

Bernie has an excellent chance of pulling an upset.

If he cannot achieve this easy take, he is finished.

[virtualobserver]

28. easy take, LOL....yeah, beating her in the state that elected her twice to the Senate

next, you'll be saying that he won because Vermont is right next to New York.

[geek tragedy]

7. If he loses his home state after all that momentum

he really should hang it up.

[NurseJackie]

8. It will indeed be DEVASTATING. His campaign will IMPLODE. Watch his numbers PLUMMET, while...

... Hillary's poll numbers continue to SURGE!!

Go, Hillary! We love you!

[ChisolmTrailDem]

10. This is who you love --->

vimeo.com/163178551

[Logical]

17. Yes, an unknown taking hillary this far is embarassing for her.

[Autumn]

14. When I see people attempting to post satire I so miss Third Way Manny.

[Armstead]

22. I wouldn't even mind pro-Clinton satire...If it were actually funny

[Nye Bevan]

23. I post that Bernie has a good chance to win and you automatically assume that it's satire?

Interesting.

[Autumn]

25. A persons posting history says a lot about that person. Your posting history

has been very clear.

[Logical]

15. So a nice title but smartass post, nice.

[NCTraveler]

16. Your last paragraph is spot on though I already think he is too far behind to recover.

That is one of the reasons his actions of late aren't just poor political moves, they are flat out nefarious.

[virtualobserver]

31. Nefarious, I tell ya'...Nefarious!

[PCPrincess]

20. This Is Strategy

dressed up as an opinion piece.

[HereSince1628]

30. If that's strategy, I think most Sanders supporters on DU are experienced with its implementation

on these pages.

That said, I think the outcome is less than certain.

It's somewhat easier to identify poll participants as previous voting in a closed primary is a pretty good predictor of future voting in a closed primary. But there have been a lot of new registrations. If I understand this notice correctly ...

April 19, 2016 Presidential Primary Deadlines

MAIL REGISTRATION (N.Y. Election Law Section 5-210(3))
Application must be postmarked no later than March 25th and received by a board of elections no later than March 30th to be eligible to vote in the Presidential Primary.

IN PERSON REGISTRATION (N.Y. Election Law Sections 5-210, 5-211, 5-212)
You may register at your local board of elections or any state agency participating in the National Voter Registration Act, on any business day throughout the year but, to be eligible to vote in the Presidential Primary, your application must be received no later than March 25th.

... then the end of registration would have been just as Sanders began his multi-state rally of big wins out west. So I'm just not sure how new voter registration went as the Mar deadline loomed.

[KingFlorez]

21. This is Sanders race to lose

If Hillary Clinton comes from behind and beats him in New York it is game over.

[ridgenvalley]

24. Calling HRC the underdog is amusing.

Money, power and connections does not an underdog make.

Interesting spin, though.

[Buzz Clik]

26. She's been the underdog in NY from the outset. Even a close loss will be a fantastic win.

[hellofromreddit]

35. Is that sarcasm?

[blm]

27. I think Sanders DOES have a good chance of winning NY. I think enough HRC voters

will see the inflated polls for her and not show up assuming she has it in the bag, and while Sanders voters are taking it far more seriously, imo.

I think it's going to be very tight.

[Armstead]

32. To quote an old saying..."From your keyboard to God's ears"

[Armstead]

29. Now here's how to do snarky satire -- Hillary's Inner Tracy Flick

[Nye Bevan]

34. Kick (nt)

[Nye Bevan]

36. Never let it be said that I don't admit to my mistakes.

I read too much into the size of Bernie's rallies and his home state advantage. I do still see this as a surprising loss, and devastating for Bernie's campaign.