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2016 Postmortem

Godhumor

(6,437 posts) Mon Apr 18, 2016, 08:23 AM Apr 2016

8

Prediction time! Final result in NY will be...

I will go with

Clinton 57
Sanders 43
(Clinton +14)

23 replies

= new reply since forum marked as read

Highlight:

Prediction time! Final result in NY will be... (Original Post) Godhumor Apr 2016 OP

Final Results in NY The Old Lie Apr 2016 #1

A bit closer I'd guess rjsquirrel Apr 2016 #2

Hillary 10ish firebrand80 Apr 2016 #3

Clinton 51 - Sanders 49. Polls are exaggerating Clinton's lead so much that her voters blm Apr 2016 #4

What's amazing is that such an outcome still basically ends the race. Zynx Apr 2016 #6

If these exaggerated polls work to tamp down HRC even more, Sanders could win blm Apr 2016 #17

Hillary by just under 10. 54.8% to 45.2%. Zynx Apr 2016 #5

Sanders 56-44 Clinton Kentonio Apr 2016 #7

55-40 DCBob Apr 2016 #8

It will be within 5 points. morningfog Apr 2016 #9

Clinton 59 Sanders 41 nt geek tragedy Apr 2016 #10

Clinton in upper single digits. Protalker Apr 2016 #11

Under 10 TheCowsCameHome Apr 2016 #12

Clinton +2 NCTraveler Apr 2016 #13

Sanders +25 onehandle Apr 2016 #14

You certainly got that right!!!!! NT COLGATE4 Apr 2016 #16

Sounds about right! MoonRiver Apr 2016 #15

New Yorkers will carburyme Apr 2016 #18

DEVASTATING for Bernie. NurseJackie Apr 2016 #19

+14 was my guess too. What % would Sanders need to dig himself out of that hole? bettyellen Apr 2016 #20

I posted about it in one of my math threads Godhumor Apr 2016 #21

Clinton 57, Sanders 43. (eom) StevieM Apr 2016 #22

Sanders: 55 Hillary: 45- As close as Clinton will ever get to being 45...nt Joe the Revelator Apr 2016 #23

The Old Lie

(123 posts)

1. Final Results in NY

Reply to Godhumor (Original post)

Mon Apr 18, 2016, 08:25 AM

Apr 2016

Yankees 5
A's 1.

Bernie wins!

rjsquirrel

(4,762 posts)

2. A bit closer I'd guess

Reply to Godhumor (Original post)

Mon Apr 18, 2016, 08:26 AM

Apr 2016

55/45 Clinton.

And that's enough to end the story anyway.

firebrand80

(2,760 posts)

3. Hillary 10ish

Reply to Godhumor (Original post)

Mon Apr 18, 2016, 08:26 AM

Apr 2016

Bernie claims moral victory, but math gets more problematic

blm

(113,065 posts)

4. Clinton 51 - Sanders 49. Polls are exaggerating Clinton's lead so much that her voters

Reply to Godhumor (Original post)

Mon Apr 18, 2016, 08:30 AM

Apr 2016

probably think she is safe without their vote, while Sanders voters are looking to get every single vote they can, no matter what.

Zynx

(21,328 posts)

6. What's amazing is that such an outcome still basically ends the race.

Reply to blm (Reply #4)

Mon Apr 18, 2016, 08:35 AM

Apr 2016

blm

(113,065 posts)

17. If these exaggerated polls work to tamp down HRC even more, Sanders could win

Reply to Zynx (Reply #6)

Mon Apr 18, 2016, 09:37 AM

Apr 2016

in a squeaker.

I have been on the ground doing GOTV in NC. Dem voters were lax in 2014 when polls showed Kay Hagan with a comfortable lead - she ended up losing to that Fascist Thom Tillis.

I also clearly remember 1994, where both Mario Cuomo and Ann Richards lost their governorships because some Dem voters assumed their seats were safe.

Zynx

(21,328 posts)

5. Hillary by just under 10. 54.8% to 45.2%.

Reply to Godhumor (Original post)

Mon Apr 18, 2016, 08:34 AM

Apr 2016

That basically ends the race.

Kentonio

(4,377 posts)

7. Sanders 56-44 Clinton

Reply to Godhumor (Original post)

Mon Apr 18, 2016, 08:36 AM

Apr 2016

DCBob

(24,689 posts)

8. 55-40

Reply to Godhumor (Original post)

Mon Apr 18, 2016, 08:37 AM

Apr 2016

I NY!

morningfog

(18,115 posts)

9. It will be within 5 points.

Reply to Godhumor (Original post)

Mon Apr 18, 2016, 08:38 AM

Apr 2016

geek tragedy

(68,868 posts)

10. Clinton 59 Sanders 41 nt

Reply to Godhumor (Original post)

Mon Apr 18, 2016, 08:40 AM

Apr 2016

Protalker

(418 posts)

11. Clinton in upper single digits.

Reply to Godhumor (Original post)

Mon Apr 18, 2016, 08:41 AM

Apr 2016

Hillary disapproval rating climbs due to Sanders slash and burn attacks. No sign of coming together with the independent.

TheCowsCameHome

(40,168 posts)

12. Under 10

Reply to Godhumor (Original post)

Mon Apr 18, 2016, 08:43 AM

Apr 2016

NCTraveler

(30,481 posts)

13. Clinton +2

Reply to Godhumor (Original post)

Mon Apr 18, 2016, 08:47 AM

Apr 2016

That is all that's needed to end the pie in the sky thoughts that Sanders still has a path to the nomination. He doesn't now but that will end it with the bitter-enders.

onehandle

(51,122 posts)

14. Sanders +25

Reply to Godhumor (Original post)

Mon Apr 18, 2016, 08:49 AM

Apr 2016

Anything else would be a complete failure.

COLGATE4

(14,732 posts)

16. You certainly got that right!!!!! NT

Reply to onehandle (Reply #14)

Mon Apr 18, 2016, 09:05 AM

Apr 2016

MoonRiver

(36,926 posts)

15. Sounds about right!

Reply to Godhumor (Original post)

Mon Apr 18, 2016, 08:51 AM

Apr 2016

carburyme

(146 posts)

18. New Yorkers will

Reply to Godhumor (Original post)

Mon Apr 18, 2016, 09:41 AM

Apr 2016

Come through for Hillary!

+17

NurseJackie

(42,862 posts)

19. DEVASTATING for Bernie.

Reply to Godhumor (Original post)

Mon Apr 18, 2016, 07:18 PM

Apr 2016

bettyellen

(47,209 posts)

20. +14 was my guess too. What % would Sanders need to dig himself out of that hole?

Reply to Godhumor (Original post)

Mon Apr 18, 2016, 07:57 PM

Apr 2016

Godhumor

(6,437 posts)

21. I posted about it in one of my math threads

Reply to bettyellen (Reply #20)

Mon Apr 18, 2016, 07:59 PM

Apr 2016

He needs a 55-45 win.

StevieM

(10,500 posts)

22. Clinton 57, Sanders 43. (eom)

Reply to Godhumor (Original post)

Mon Apr 18, 2016, 08:02 PM

Apr 2016

Joe the Revelator

(14,915 posts)

23. Sanders: 55 Hillary: 45- As close as Clinton will ever get to being 45...nt

Reply to Godhumor (Original post)

Mon Apr 18, 2016, 08:04 PM

Apr 2016

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