Democratic Wave Building As 13 More House Seats Move Toward The Democratic Party

[Lodestar]

Si si si!!! By the sea by the sea by the beautiful sea...

The Republican House majority could be washed out to sea as 13 more House are shifting towards the Democratic Party.

Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball has changed the ranking on 14 House seats, and 13 of the changes are bad for the Republican Party.

According to Sabato’s Crystal Ball:

In many states, Republican-controlled legislatures drew a large number of marginally Republican seats in order to maximize the number of seats the party could control. But a relatively large Democratic wave could inundate even some supposedly safe GOP seats, overcoming a seemingly high floodwall. Whereas a one-point increase over 2012 would result in nine net seats being won by the Democratic presidential nominee, a two-point increase (54% nationally) quickly raises that net advantage to 35 seats. Suddenly Republicans would be defending 50 seats in districts won by the Democratic presidential nominee, and two Democratic-held Romney seats would become slightly more blue than not. This would give Democrats a substantial target list to get to the necessary 30-seat gain they need to take back the lower chamber. And a three-point Democratic increase to 55%, a reasonable upper limit in our eyes, would leave 56 GOP-held seats in blue territory. Overall, Democrats would hold a presidential vote edge in 241 seats. This would be similar to the 2008 presidential vote: That year, Obama won the two-party vote in 242 congressional districts as currently drawn.

…..

That is roughly what our outlook is right now — a small Democratic gain of about 5-10 seats — but as we showed earlier, the presidential math could change that calculation, swelling Democratic gains. On the flip side, Republicans still have a chance to hold Democrats to single-digits gains. A Republican net gain seems exceedingly unlikely at this point, but in this crazy cycle one cannot completely rule it out with seven months to go.

Democrats need to capture 30 seats to take back the House. The path to a net 30 seat gain is narrow, but with Republicans dead set on nominating an extremist presidential candidate; the odds are increasing that Democrats will gain more than the baseline of 5-10 seats.

cont'd
http://www.politicususa.com/2016/04/14/democratic-wave-building-13-house-seats-move-democratic-party.html

[Wellstone ruled]

1. We need more!!!!

[silvershadow]

2. Dupe.

http://www.democraticunderground.com/12511734596

[Stallion]

3. Paul Ryan-He'll Probably Release Statement-He Is Not a Candidate for Minority Leader of the House

he usually gets what he doesn't want

[NurseJackie]

4. Down ticket victories are essential ...

... aren't they?

[MineralMan]

5. We have three Republican House members in

MN, out of eight total. All three are potentially flippable in 2016. We're going to work our asses off to make that happen. I hope the same is true in every state. I can work in mine. You can work in yours. Nothing is more important. Nothing!

[Joe the Revelator]

6. Put Hillary on top of the ticket, and kiss all of that goodbye.

She does not excite large swarms of voters. That is just the fact of the matter.

[madokie]

7. The ones she does excite

aren't going to vote for her or anyone who might sound like her

The fastest surest way to 4 possibly 8 more years of stagnation is by electing Hillary