2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumHRC Needs NY to Remain Viable; Bernie Will Win Nomination & the Presidency W/ or W/O New York
.... In 8 out of 10 national polls, Hillary Clintons favorability ratings are negative by 15 points or more. According to recent CBS and NBS/WSJ polls, Clinton holds negative favorability ratings by 23 and 24 point margins, respectively. A progressive said to get things done wont be able to win the White House with such negative national ratings.
In contrast, Bernie Sanders is the only leading candidate with positive favorability ratings, and this has nothing to do with Clinton being more vetted. Bernie doesnt need private servers and speaks to millions of people .....
.... Sanders is the best chance to defeat Trump, especially since Clinton could face DOJ indictment. I also discuss on CNN New Day that Clintons white privilege allows her to circumvent almost any scandal, even issues that Bernie Sanders couldnt survive politically.
snip
Clinton and her top aides are scheduled to be interviewed soon, according to The Los Angeles Times in a piece titled Clinton email probe enters new phase as FBI interviews loom:
No dates have been set for questioning the advisors, but a federal prosecutor in recent weeks has called their lawyers to alert them that he would soon be doing so, the sources said. Prosecutors also are expected to seek an interview with Clinton herself, though the timing remains unclear...
The meetings also are an indication that much of the investigators background work - recovering deleted emails, understanding how the server operated and determining whether it was breached - is nearing completion.
The interviews are critical to understand the volume of information they have accumulated, said James McJunkin, former head of the FBIs Washington field office.
If any other politician in American history were interviewed by the FBI, before an election, would you vote for this person?
snip
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/h-a-goodman/yes-bernie-sanders-will-become-president_b_9726650.html
pdsimdars
(6,007 posts)RobertEarl
(13,685 posts)They are fairly wise and they will not vote for the failing Hillary campaign. They see us rising, they see the revolution growing daily and they will get with us or give democracy the finger. I think they will keep their hands in the pockets and do the correct thing and show Hillary her retirement papers.
Renew Deal
(81,871 posts)And it's a figment of Clinton supporters imagination.
dchill
(38,532 posts)Certainly not.
Why would anyone?
JTFrog
(14,274 posts)CrowCityDem
(2,348 posts)NCTraveler
(30,481 posts)Then I realized he was just making bank off LIV's and ratfucking at the same time. It's now his readers I feel bad for.
Stuckinthebush
(10,847 posts)The math is against Sanders.
He has to win 67% of remaining delegates to win the nomination
If Clinton wins by 10% (likely) today then that goes up to 70%
If Clinton wins the April 26 races by a 5 point margin on average (likely) then that goes up to 78%
So the only probable way for Sanders to win is if Clinton is out of the race and you think that she will be indicted.
Therefore the hope of the Sanders campaign is on an indictment of Clinton.
Karma13612
(4,554 posts)Stuckinthebush
(10,847 posts)Clinton must win 33% of remaining delegates to reach 2383 magic number
Sanders must win 67% of remaining delegates to reach 2383 magic number
Yet here's how a 10-point win in New York could change the math:
In pledged delegates, Clinton would hold a lead of 269 delegates (with Washington delegates to still be allocated)
Clinton 1423
Sanders 1154
Clinton must win 41% of remaining pledged delegates to get a majority in pledged delegates
Sanders must win 59% of remaining pledged delegates to get a majority in pledged delegates
In overall delegates (pledged + super), Clinton would hold an overall lead of 691 delegates
Clinton 1884
Sanders 1193
Clinton must win 30% of remaining delegates to reach 2383 magic number
Sanders must win 70% of remaining delegates to reach 2383 magic number
So if Clinton wins New York by 10 percentage points, Sanders' magic-number percentage would go up to 70% -- and it would become 78% if Clinton wins the April 26 contests by a 55%-45% average. Sanders appeared on "Today" this morning, and he acknowledged the current public polls that show him trailing in New York. "Let's look at the real poll tomorrow," he said. "We have a message that is resonating all over this country."
JoePhilly
(27,787 posts)Peace Patriot
(24,010 posts)decent chance to attend college, decent health care, decent election financing and a decent democracy that works for all.
It would be nice if the FBI was decent, too, and held the rich and powerful to the same account as us peons. But we're not asking for the Moon. It would be good to just go back to the decency we once had in this country, of opportunity for all. That we need fairies and unicorns to get it is a measure of how bad things have become for most people. But you wouldn't be worried about that, would you? You trust in the Reagan-Clinton "trickle down" fairy.
Zynx
(21,328 posts)He can't win the nomination without a thunderbolt from the sky at this point. He can't win via the process. He needs something else to happen.
amborin
(16,631 posts)has violated the FOIA, at minimum
Zynx
(21,328 posts)After she wins NY, her margin will expand out again.
NuclearDem
(16,184 posts)KingFlorez
(12,689 posts)workinclasszero
(28,270 posts)Ultimate Bernie bro: Meet the Hillary-hating Rand fan who felt the Bern and fell in love
TBogg TBOGG
22 FEB 2016 AT 14:16 ET
http://www.rawstory.com/2016/02/ultimate-bernie-bro-meet-the-hillary-hating-rand-fan-who-experienced-the-bern-and-fell-in-love/
Karma13612
(4,554 posts)I voted in my little rural town, no line, smooth sailing.
All my fears dispelled. I was still properly registered as a Dem.
The ballot was easy to understand, the machine accepted my paper ballot and confirmed that my vote was counted.
Yay!!!
In fact, I spent more time talking with the polling staff then I did voting.
And as I write these comment, the phone just rang.
Bernie Campaign wanted to make sure I have voted.
It's all happening!!
Go Bernie!!
anotherproletariat
(1,446 posts)The other good thing about her dropping out of the race is that I will save some money. I was prepared to give Hillary another $2700 when the general election started, but now that it's going to be Sanders, I only have to set aside $27.
ismnotwasm
(42,008 posts)Adrahil
(13,340 posts)bigwillq
(72,790 posts)He needs to win the remaining states by wide margins, which is unlikely. Plus, the party wants Hillary.