GOTV in Nevada (NV) Day 6, add ~6,000 to gains
Last edited Sat Oct 27, 2012, 12:57 AM - Edit history (1)
Day 6 12:45 AM EST 10/26/12 Update, 25% of registered voters
Democrats-- 144,326, or 45.5% percent (Dems to Reps only: 55.0%)
Republicans -118,114, or 37.3% percent (Dems to Reps only: 45.0%)
IAPs -- 54.475, or 17.2%
Clark County (Las Vegas) Democratic lead: 36,114
Washoe County (Reno) Democratic Lead: 737
Day 6 totals from Nevada Sos PDF
Assuming Nevada IAPs support based on polls of 53/44 in favor of Romney and remaining undecided 3% for 3rd party candidates, the numbers above would reflect:
Dems: 168,295, or 53.1%
Reps: 146,986, or 46.4%
This may be something closer to a realistic conservative estimate of the final result ratios.
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It's deja vu all over again.
The Democrats extended their lead in Clark County to about 36,000 voters over the Republicans with another solid day and another day where 30,000-plus voters turned out. It now seems reasonable to assume the lead will be 40,000 or so after one week.
The latest Clark numbers (mail and early votes):
Democrats -- 105,674, or 50 percent
Republicans -- 69,512, or 33 percent
Others -- 37, 264, or 17 percent
Jon Ralston Reports 9:20 AM
The GOTV efforts are paying off. Work those phones, knock on doors, get people to vote. They really need the help with down-ticket candidates. Keep at it.
Victory 2012