2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumHow many provisional ballots are there in New York (state), total?
Is there a reliable source for the actual number of provisional ballots or perhaps an estimate with some official sourcing?
hrmjustin
(71,265 posts)it is in the thousands.
CreekDog
(46,192 posts)should have their provisional ballot counted.
that would change the numbers but perhaps not enough to affect the allocation of delegates.
hrmjustin
(71,265 posts)I don't buy the mistake in the process excuse.
CreekDog
(46,192 posts)and when were they removed from the party? what was the date that it happened?
hrmjustin
(71,265 posts)It looks like this was done last year.
CreekDog
(46,192 posts)DEMOCRATIC 0.8% INCREASE
NOV 2015 70.9% (62.3% margin over Republicans/54.2% margin over Non-Affiliated)
APR 2016 71.7% (63.4% margin over Republicans/55.0% margin over Non-Affiliated)
REPUBLICAN 0.3% DECREASE
NOV 2015 8.6%
APR 2016 8.3%
BLANK (NO PARTY AFFILIATION) 0.5% DECREASE
NOV 2015 17.2%
APR 2016 16.7%
http://www.elections.ny.gov/EnrollmentCounty.html
hrmjustin
(71,265 posts)they voted by affidavit ballot or re-registering.
Remember that the presidential race is not the only races going on in Brooklyn.
We have a mayors race next year. Local legislative races as well.
Those numbers you cited increased because of new registrations.
ViseGrip
(3,133 posts)to thousands of Bernie votes. NY is not the first state either, nor is this the first election with fraud.
hrmjustin
(71,265 posts)On election day most of the complaints came from central and eastern Brooklyn.
Not in Sanders strongest areas.
CreekDog
(46,192 posts)And please show your work.
JTFrog
(14,274 posts)Quite the opposite actually.
CreekDog
(46,192 posts)If the numbers show the opposite of your assertion, then you must not have used numbers to come up with your assertion.
But isn't this about numbers?
hrmjustin
(71,265 posts)Likely before November.
Those numbers changed because of new registrations.
CreekDog
(46,192 posts)DEMOCRATIC 0.6% INCREASE
APR 2015 71.1%
APR 2016 71.7%
REPUBLICAN 0.3% DECREASE
APR 2015 8.6%
APR 2016 8.3%
BLANK (NO PARTY AFFILIATION) 0.2% DECREASE
APR 2015 16.9%
APR 2016 16.7%
http://www.elections.ny.gov/EnrollmentCounty.html
your numbers are wrong again. how are you coming to conclusions without looking at numbers?
hrmjustin
(71,265 posts)CreekDog
(46,192 posts)I did the calculations myself but used their numbers.
Feel free to check my work.
Why aren't you familiar with this source of data if you are so sure of your conclusions?
hrmjustin
(71,265 posts)CreekDog
(46,192 posts)Every party lost voters, even the minor ones.
Amidst the losses, it seems like Democrats grabbed some, where the other parties mostly didn't.
Like I said, I can't defend any improper disenrolling or disaffiliation of voters, but can someone show me some numbers that bear this out?
Brooklyn and New York City in general have been losing American Citizens and gaining non-citizens in fairly large numbers. That may account for some, perhaps even a large part of these numbers, no?
hrmjustin
(71,265 posts)CreekDog
(46,192 posts)rather than what you or anyone else knows.
i think the thinking should go into establishing the premises.
not the jumping to conclusions without them.
hrmjustin
(71,265 posts)Also what my friends at county headquarters are telling me.
Yes my conclusions are speculation.
ViseGrip
(3,133 posts)All go home, and the cheaters lose. Maybe DNC will step up when Dems cheat and demand a resolution. Even when it was stolen from Kerry in Ohio in 04, the party did NOTHING!!!
CreekDog
(46,192 posts)hrmjustin
(71,265 posts)Looks like the purge continued throughout the year.
CreekDog
(46,192 posts)and 907k in April 2008
and 886k in November 2007
I think we need some concrete evidence about what happened to those voters, before concluding an illegal purge, or at least figure out what proportion of the reduced numbers are a result of anything improper.
You realize that you're not going to find it if you jump to conclusions without investigating.
That's why it's important to look and investigate the data and other information. Because a giant conclusion that has no smoking gun is not as convincing.
LiberalFighter
(51,027 posts)Especially when legitimate reasons are included in that term.
There should be a breakdown based on the reasons why voters are removed from the rolls. If such a breakdown was tracked it would also help to identify any issues.
There should also be a better way of voter maintaining their status even when they move.
CreekDog
(46,192 posts)DEMOCRATIC 0.7% INCREASE
APR 2012 71.0%
APR 2016 71.7%
REPUBLICAN 0.8% DECREASE
APR 2012 9.1%
APR 2016 8.3%
BLANK (NO PARTY AFFILIATION) 0.1% INCREASE
APR 2012 16.6%
APR 2016 16.7%
http://www.elections.ny.gov/EnrollmentCounty.html
hrmjustin
(71,265 posts)Whatever those numbers say losing 126,000 Democrats makes the borough less Democratic.
CreekDog
(46,192 posts)and they are removed from the rolls for that reason?
hrmjustin
(71,265 posts)CreekDog
(46,192 posts)And trying to see if there are a lot of provisional votes, and how many, which would reflect people not being able to vote.
hrmjustin
(71,265 posts)They start counting Absentees and affidavits 9 days after election day.
Dem2
(8,168 posts)CreekDog
(46,192 posts)Trying to gauge the magnitude of the provisional votes.
Dem2
(8,168 posts)One thing you can be sure of, the likelihood that they affected the outcome of the race is slim to none. I can state that with great confidence.
Jitter65
(3,089 posts)alcibiades_mystery
(36,437 posts)JackRiddler
(24,979 posts)How many people were purged from the voter rolls, by whom, in what way, and why?
What other shenanigans were done either in this election or generally?
When will there be a full criminal investigation of election irregularities and violations?
When and how will reforms be enacted to prevent such violations and to make the system democratic?
CreekDog
(46,192 posts)I'm not your freaking employee
JackRiddler
(24,979 posts)You asked a question yourself. One that is easily researched online. In fact, I don't think you care what the answer is. Fact-finding is not the motive of your OP.
Sorry if you don't identify with clean elections and democracy as "your work."
Dem2
(8,168 posts)Demsrule86
(68,637 posts)I think this may give Hillary more vote. She won Brooklyn overwhelmingly.