How Accurate Are Some of These Other Election Sites

[Doctor Jack]

We are all hung up on 538, which looks pretty good for obama, but what about some of these other prediction websites, like Princeton or electoral-vote.com? Do any of these have a good track record? Those show Obama way higher up than 73%

[NRaleighLiberal]

1. Princeton did great in 2008, I believe.

[AaronMayorga]

3. Princeton was off by 1 electoral vote.

[PoliticAverse]

5. Princeton: Probability of Obama re-election: Random Drift Model 87%, Bayesian Prediction 96%...

http://election.princeton.edu/

[NCLefty]

2. I do my own 538, in that I look at the preponderance of evidence

and consider it together. And it seems to be leaning our way. Still.

Only one thing left... Get Out The Vote.

[TroyD]

4. Good point

As much as I have learned from Nate over these past few years, we should take into account the other sites as well.

[Maximumnegro]

6. Read the Princeton FAQ, bro!

Come on! Not that hard!

[gravity]

7. Princeton's odds seem to good to be true

Nate Silver odds might be a little lower than reality, but I trust a model that it is a little cautious than one that it overly optimistic.

You don't want to get too cocky. Just look at the Obama campaign before the first debate.

[TroyD]

8. I agree

We can congratulate Princeton if it turns out to be true, but it's always best to be cautious.

Their numbers do seem a little high, but there are a couple of other sites that have those numbers too.