Question about the relationship between OHIO & VIRGINIA

[TroyD]

Considering that in 2008 Obama won VA by more than he won OH, doesn't that mean that if Obama wins OH, he is likely to win VA as well?

2008: Virginia = Obama +6.3

2008: Ohio = Obama +4.6

[BainsBane]

1. Not necessarily

He may, but Obama's strength in Ohio has a lot to do with the auto rescue and Romney's opposition to it. But Nate Silver does have the President with a 60% chance of winning Virginia, so you may turn out to be right. If these numbers hold, Romney can't win.

[TroyD]

2. Yes, the new Washington Post poll moved Obama up in VA tonight

Yesterday Obama was at about 52-54% chance of winning Virginia I think, and now he is up to 60%.

I suppose we have to remember though that Virginia wasn't even on the table for the Democrats until 2008. Not even Bill Clinton won it.

So it's still coming out of a long Republican history.

[dchill]

3. Washington Post ...

Another poll for MSM to ignore. It's a dead heat, I tell ya'!