2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumOhio: ARG +2 O, Purple +2 O, SUSA +3 O, Time +5 O, CNN +4 O...
Yet the media chooses to focus on the one ancient outlier poll showing a tied race. Come on now.
With only 9 days to go until the election, would you rather be the candidate who consistently has a 2-4 pt lead in the most important state of the election, or would you rather be the chump who has to crow about an ancient poll showing a tied race as evidence of some kind of momentum?
ProSense
(116,464 posts)Focusing on Gallup was no longer working.
Mutiny In Heaven
(550 posts)There's the curious peddling of the polls that show Romney up, and now they want to shine the spotlight on battleground surveys that show it neck and neck (which, combined with the nationals, will make Romney a strong favorite in the eyes of many viewers). I find this interesting, because there are so many indicators, models and polls that show President Obama ahead by a close-but-clear margin and highly likely to win re-election, yet the preferred narrative is that Romney has him on the ropes and is closing in on the knockout.
What would be more likely to keep people coming back for more? The mundane or the shocking? What if the idea is to engineer a new sport; indeed, how about a catchphrase? "ANYTHING can happen on election night!".
GeorgeGist
(25,322 posts)Obama!
joefree1
(4,901 posts)Thanks for keeping the good news in front of us
Proud liberal 80
(4,167 posts)That poll should have been released on the 24th, the 25th being the latest
DCBob
(24,689 posts)makes is very clear what the situation is.
SingleSeatBiggerMeat
(220 posts)He would get the hell out of Ohio (an almost-certain loser proposition) and try to find a map that gives him a chance.
Instead, he will keep holding rallies with 2,500 50y/o+ white people and doing daily trips to Nevada because Sheldon needs and ego stroke.
And this spineless asshole wants to be POTUS?
pointsoflight
(1,372 posts)Wouldn't surprised if they pull one of those out of their a$$es this coming week.
abumbyanyothername
(2,711 posts)[link:][/link]
libdem4life
(13,877 posts)Peace.
abumbyanyothername
(2,711 posts)on how Opera Sopranos are no longer fitting the stereotype.
Nonetheless, Romney is done in OH. He cannot overcome the early vote lead.
libdem4life
(13,877 posts)grantcart
(53,061 posts)Laura PourMeADrink
(42,770 posts)yes, Obama had a huge lead on already voted but romney, a huge lead on voters to come.
http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2012/10/26/cnn-poll-obama-50-romney-46-in-ohio/?iref=allsearch
Among those who have voted early or plan to vote before Election Day, Obama holds a 59%-38% lead, with Romney up 51%-44% among those who say they'll vote on Election Day. Ninety-two percent of likely voters say they've made up their minds, with 4% saying they could change their minds.
that's probably why the right is saying he is surging in Ohio.
Laura PourMeADrink
(42,770 posts)Obama 48, Money Boo Boo 47