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2016 Postmortem

Chichiri

(4,667 posts) Sun Oct 28, 2012, 01:20 PM Oct 2012

Poll Summaries: 10/28 (Afternoon)

From now until the election I'll post once or twice a day with these summaries. "p(RE)" means "probability of re-election," and is expressed in a scale from 0 to 1, so 0.937, for instance, means 93.7%.

[font color="blue"]
Votamatic: O 332, R 206 (10/27)

University of Illinois U-C: O 287.5, R 250.5; p(RE)=0.937 (10/27)

Electoral-vote.com: O 284, R 235, T 19

Huffington Post: O 277, R 206, T 55

FiveThirtyEight: O 295.5, R 242.5; p(RE)=0.736 (10/27)

Princeton: O 299, R 239; p(RE)=0.89-0.97

DeSart/Holbrook: O 281, R 257; p(RE)=0.8701 (10/27)[/font]
[font color="red"]
Just For Laughs -- UnSkewedPolls: O 217, R 321
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