2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumDavid Shuster just tweeted this about Gary Johnson being a spoiler for Romney
I hope it's true! Nothing would piss Romney off more than some little pissant 3rd party candidate causing him to lose.
http://www.lp.org/news/press-releases/gov-gary-johnson-could-cost-romney-5-battleground-states-74-electoral-votes-need
Libertarian Presidential candidate Gov. Gary Johnson is polling at 5.3% nationwide. (JZ Analytics/Washington Times).
But look at the numbers when hes included in statewide polls against Obama and Romney. 13% in New Mexico. 9% in Arizona. 7% in Colorado. 7% in New Hampshire. 8% in Montana. (PPP and others)
Governor Johnsons poll numbers and his votes this November - may be the critical factor in Tipping Point or battleground states like North Carolina, Virginia, Florida, Nevada, and Colorado where Obama and Romney are 1% to 6% apart. Mitt Romney needs these 5 states, these 74 Electoral votes to win the White House.
DCBob
(24,689 posts)In some states all it may take is a few thousand votes.
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,710 posts)Warpy
(111,300 posts)Johnson didn't manage to fuck up his state over two terms.
Romney fucked up his state in one term, to the point he ran with his tail between his legs and didn't seek a second term.
Samantha
(9,314 posts)Haven't seen him recently. Last sighted on Current TV but I am not sure where he is now.
Sam
Phx_Dem
(11,198 posts)I miss him. He's one of my favs.
sarcasmo
(23,968 posts)The Paul fanatics will vote for Johnson and screw Romney.
LisaL
(44,974 posts)They are not a forgiving bunch. They do loathe Obama, but they were really mistreated and disrespected all through the campaign and at the convention.
politicaljunkie41910
(3,335 posts)Paul supporters just have a different vision of the role of gov't that doesn't change if they were in office like the rest of the repugnants, who suddenly wouldn't have a problem with deficits and starting a war in the middle east with Iran.
renate
(13,776 posts)Or are they just counted as undecided voters? Because I bet they aren't undecided...
Laura PourMeADrink
(42,770 posts)justiceischeap
(14,040 posts)which may, I say MAY, hurt President Obama with the youth vote.
TroyD
(4,551 posts)Usually goes down by the time of Election Day.
Polls tend to overestimate their support.
But it's certainly possible in close states that a small number of votes can make the difference.
That's the frightening situation we were in during the 2000 Election (and to some extent in 2004).
Perhaps we will be again in 2012.
justiceischeap
(14,040 posts)'cause there are some Republicans that just won't be able to bring themselves to vote for R/R.
Plus, there's that pledge from the 'Vote for Jesus' crowd, we'll see how they stand when they're actually in the polling place.