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grantcart

(53,061 posts)
Sun Oct 28, 2012, 05:42 PM Oct 2012

Obama internals reportedly show Obama +4 in Colorado.

DailyKos writer says that Obama internals are matching PPP

http://www.dailykos.com/story/2012/10/27/1151294/-CO-internals-conversation-and-what-is-breaking-to-Obama



Obama leads by 4 in Colorado


http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2012/10/obama-leads-by-4-in-colorado.html

PPP's newest Colorado poll finds Barack Obama's position improving slightly in the state after his debate victory this week. He now leads Mitt Romney 51-47, up from a 50-47 spread last week.

Colorado voters think Obama was the winner of Monday night's debate by a 51/38 margin, and it seems to be having a positive impact on his approval numbers. 51% of voters give him good marks to 47% who disapprove, up from a 49/49 spread last week. Romney's favorability numbers are unchanged from a week ago with 48% of voters rating him favorably and 49% unfavorably. Voters trust Obama more on both the economy (50/46) and Libya (53/44) than they do Romney.

Obama has a 51/43 lead with independents. Beyond that his advantage is being driven by large margins with women (54/44), Hispanics (65/34), and young voters (60/35). Romney's main areas of support are with men (49/47), whites (52/46), and seniors (56/41).

When Gary Johnson's included he gets just 2%. He's polled at higher levels over the course of the year but this is what tends to happen with third party candidates as the election gets closer- their support evaporates. That's why we have tended not to include Johnson in most of our polling over the course of the year. Johnson draws slightly more from Obama than Romney, leaving the President ahead 49-46 when he's in the mix.

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Obama internals reportedly show Obama +4 in Colorado. (Original Post) grantcart Oct 2012 OP
I never find it a good sign when a campaign talks its internal polls krawhitham Oct 2012 #1
It wasn't a pronouncement to the press RandySF Oct 2012 #4
So Kasich's basically conceding Ohio? alcibiades_mystery Oct 2012 #5
the campaign isn't talking about its iternals. grantcart Oct 2012 #7
PPP is not an internal poll. LisaL Oct 2012 #9
K&R!! writes3000 Oct 2012 #2
Also from PPP blazeKing Oct 2012 #3
Yea for my home state! nt Viva_La_Revolution Oct 2012 #6
If that passes I say... Fringe Oct 2012 #10
The best part is blazeKing Oct 2012 #11
I think there was at least one or two other polls which showed a similar lead fujiyama Oct 2012 #8
You can tell internals by looking at Cook report. geek tragedy Oct 2012 #12

RandySF

(59,023 posts)
4. It wasn't a pronouncement to the press
Sun Oct 28, 2012, 06:02 PM
Oct 2012

It's a private conversation supposedly between the author and someone who works in the Obama campaign,

grantcart

(53,061 posts)
7. the campaign isn't talking about its iternals.
Sun Oct 28, 2012, 06:10 PM
Oct 2012

Its a comment from someone who saw the internals and 'leaked it' unofficially to a friend.

On Friday someone on the inside told me that they were hearing very good things about absentee voting in FL.

Yesterday this

http://www.democraticunderground.com/1014282128

For my part I find PPP the most reliable and take their polls whether good or bad as the most honest snapshot of a race.

In any case CO was the swing state I was most pessimistic about.

 

blazeKing

(329 posts)
3. Also from PPP
Sun Oct 28, 2012, 06:01 PM
Oct 2012

"Colorado's amendment to legalize marijuana continues to lead for passage with 53% of voters saying they plan to support it to 43% who are opposed. "


 

blazeKing

(329 posts)
11. The best part is
Sun Oct 28, 2012, 07:31 PM
Oct 2012

only 5% undecided. Undecideds as we saw in California nearly all break against legalizing. It still doesn't even bring them within 5 points and we have less than 10 days left.

fujiyama

(15,185 posts)
8. I think there was at least one or two other polls which showed a similar lead
Sun Oct 28, 2012, 06:11 PM
Oct 2012

of somewhere around 3 points. So I think he's holding on to a lead there. He won't win it by like 9 points like '08 but a win's a win.

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