2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumWon't Frankenstorm help Obama?
Believe me, I don't want anyone hurt in this storm and would love nothing more than this storm to be a bust.
But, the reality is, who is going to affected more by this storm than white men? They're the ones who disproportionately live in rural areas and suburbs, where it will be more difficult to get to the voting places and where they will have more to do to restore their homes and property. The people who live in cities will probably fare better and the polling places are usually within walking distance.
In addition, if the feds handle this crisis well, Obama will have an opportunity to look presidential and his campaign will have the opportunity to remind everyone that Romney and Ryan are no friends of FEMA.
Also, the Romney campaign has been banking on this late date to steal the show with their economic advantage, but now the storm is going to upstage their SuperPacs and campaign, while Obama will get free publicity simply by doing what all presidents do and visiting the storm ravaged areas.
Now, of course the storm could be horrific and the federal government could fail miserably, but even if that happens (God forbid), no one is going to want to politicize it at this late date.
virgogal
(10,178 posts)Onlooker
(5,636 posts)... I'm talking about conservatives. In those families the women are more likely to vote then the men, since the men will be out cleaning the yard and putting on roof shingles.
regnaD kciN
(26,044 posts)...and depress turnout in that Democratic hotbed enough to tilt the state to Robme.
SCliberal091294
(213 posts)This wont be close to katrina. new orleans is under sea level.
potatoslayer
(36 posts)Not so fast. If things go well no one will notice but if it goes bad they'll be all over Obama.
obamanut2012
(26,087 posts)limpyhobbler
(8,244 posts)tevolit
(76 posts)Early voting, in my opinion, helps Obama. If this storm cuts out a week of early voting, Obama will bank less of a lead.
Now, imagine that just in time for election day the roads are cleared and the power is restored. Obama may have less of an advantage in this case than if the storm had not reduced the early voting turnout!
Orangepeel
(13,933 posts)We can come up with reasons why this time will be different, but I don't think it will be. Statistically, republicans are more reliable voters. A larger turnout is always better for us.
On the other hand, I don't think it will matter because it is mostly going to cause problems in the states that Obama is going to win handily. The only worries are Virgina, which might not be hit hard, and Pennsylvania, which I hope he has a big enough cushion in.
LisaL
(44,974 posts)It also doesn't allow early voting.
treestar
(82,383 posts)In VA one needed a good reason for it and the state decided the storm was a good reason.
treestar
(82,383 posts)Undermines the huge $$ to be spent on ads. Though the states involved aren't swing states for the most part.