2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumAfter Clinton's big wins: exactly why is the onus on the winner to placate the loser?
Michael Tomasky @mtomaskyNew Column: After Clinton's big wins: exactly why is the onus on the winner to placate the loser?
Its All Over but the Shouting: Hillary Clinton Crushed Bernie Sanders
Its time for the guy with some of the Democratic vote to gracefully give way to the woman with much more of it.
Another handful of Clinton wins in big states, and the margins grow. Im writing before the full pledged delegate count from tonight is known, but she led by 244 coming into tonight, not counting super delegates, and that may grow by another 30 to 40.
As for the popular vote, she led it by a lot coming into Tuesday night: 10.4 million to 7.7 million, a nearly 2.7 million-vote difference, or 57 to 43 percent, numbers that we call a landslide in a general election. She may have added a couple hundred thousand to that margin tonight. Depending on what happens in California and New Jersey, this could end up being close to 60-40.
So forgive me for being a little confused about why these margins give Bernie Sanders such leverage in what we presume to be his looming negotiations with Hillary Clinton over the future of the party of which hes not a member. It is incumbent upon Clinton, he told Chris Hayes on Monday on MSNBC, to tell millions of people who right now do not believe in establishment politics or establishment economics, who have serious misgivings about a candidate who has received millions of dollars from Wall Street and other special interests.
...the signals from Sanders-world are mixed. One things for sure: There is no expectation that Sanders will behave like Clinton did in 2008. Its worth examining why.
On the one hand, its understandable. Hes not a Democrat, so party loyalty isnt a thing here. And the main thing is that the ideological differences between Sanders and Clinton are greater than between Clinton and Obama, or John Edwards and John Kerry, or Bill Bradley and Al Gore. The people voting for Bernie are voting to reject Hillarys politics in a more fundamental way than the people voting for Bradley were rejecting Gore.
On the other hand the medias expectations of these people hinges so greatly on the personality types they establish, and that the media just accept them. No one expects Sanders to be a team player because hes a guy (emphasis on guy) who has always agitated outside the system. Whereas everyone expects Clinton to behave properly because shes a woman (emphasis on woman) who has always been the type to do whats expected of her.
If this were two men, the onus would clearly be on the one whos behind to play ball and do the responsible thing. But I cant help suspecting that the media are going to put the weight on her in these next few weeks: Will Hillary accept Bernies conditions?
She shouldnt accept conditions. But she absolutely should take steps to mollify his voters. Shes going to have to. However, she should do it like someone whos ahead 57-43 should do it. She should say: Sure, Ill adopt a couple of your positions. But I have a couple of conditions of my own. If I hear the words Goldman and Sachs coming out of your mouth one more time, if I see any more fund-raising appeals that paint me as the harlot of Wall Street, the deal is dead, and Ill call Chuck Schumer and make sure that you dont chair the Budget Committee if we retake the Senate, but instead you have the post-office renaming subcommittee. And I may drop some of that oppo I have on you that Ive never used. You know the stuff I mean.
Sanders should run to the end. He owes it to his backers in California and New Jersey to give them a chance to vote for him. I dont know anyone who says otherwise. But its now time for him to think about his future, and the future of the influence his movement will have in the Democratic Party.
I want that movement to have influence. There are a lot of people like me, who think Clinton is the stronger candidate, but want Sanders to have some influence over her. And to us, it looks like its time for him to think less about revolution than evolution.
read more: http://www.thedailybeast.com/articles/2016/04/26/it-s-all-over-but-the-shouting-hillary-clinton-crushed-bernie-sanders.html?via=desktop&source=twitter
Orsino
(37,428 posts)Looks like two candidates will be at the convention with two different numbers of delegates. The onus is on the candidates, the part leadership and the delegates to come up with a ticket and platform, plus any necessary side deals, that the greastest number of people (or dollars) can get behind.
No one has to bow to anyone else. The candidate with the most delegates or other relevant bargaining power will have to do the leadt "placating" (known in grown-up circles as compromising). Isn't that enough?
Winning and losing are absolute tetms that lise relevance the closer we get to the convention.
bigtree
(85,998 posts)...and the argument Sanders and his operatives intend to use for superdelegates to overturn those results is based on general election polling which may show Sanders as more competitive against the republican nominee.
The hypocrisy in seeking party insiders to reverse the results of elections is stunning all by itself, but the expectation that they would choose the person who has not only been running against the party, but is actively involved in suing the party, is beyond delusional.
There's more behind their posturing that needs to be clarified. One of the most important issues I see is whether Sanders can bring himself to accept Hillary's agenda. I'm at a loss to understand why her supporters' interests should take a back seat to his.
Orsino
(37,428 posts)Supers may indeed flip up to and during the convention, and I suspect that far more will be flipping the way you want. Depending on the tactics used, there's nothing wrong with wooing potential support.
Demsrule86
(68,586 posts)Especially for the Sander's campaign which is supposed to be about the will of the people...guess people does not include Hillary voters.
Orsino
(37,428 posts)...or very early on, as they were always behind.
Demsrule86
(68,586 posts)You have a chance to catch up. But now Bernie is too far behind to win. So his plan is to ask the Supers to overturn Hillary's win. He his ahead by no measure...and it is a sleazy thing to do.
Orsino
(37,428 posts)...as 2008's runner-up would remind you.
A candidate with an agenda needs to compete for as many delegates as possible up to and even during the convention. Delegates are leverage.
HumanityExperiment
(1,442 posts)Does HRC have the required number of delegates to earn nomination now?
So until that time she nor Bernie have earned the nomination
Math, current trends on proportional allocation of delegates moving forward and into convention, the ONLY way HRC earns the nomination is through SDs
CorporatistNation
(2,546 posts)Then the Supers Will be given the chance to cast their lot with a CERTAIN LOSER in Hillary or A CERTAIN WINNER in Bernie! We shall see how it goes!
bigtree
(85,998 posts)...looking to establishment insiders to overturn the will of the voters?
Really?
asuhornets
(2,405 posts)Hillary Clinton is the WINNER, and will be the leader of the Democratic Party..
snowy owl
(2,145 posts)If she wants my vote, she may have to compromise with Bernie. But, as the winner of the primary, she can tell me to go to hell. Up to her.
asuhornets
(2,405 posts)Duckhunter935
(16,974 posts)To his positions, it will not last
puffy socks
(1,473 posts)if she changes , it won't last , according to you.
Or she's just a flip flopper
Or she's just pandering as I have seen others post.
That means calls from Bernie's supporters to "earn" their votes are disingenuous because any effort is futile.
What is it you really want then?
bettyellen
(47,209 posts)And continue to insult people on FB and Twitter.
Andy823
(11,495 posts)Means more than the millions that have already voted for her, and the millions that will vote for her in November? You really need to get a life.
floriduck
(2,262 posts)makes fence mending a literal impossibility. But that's okay. The differences in priorities between the two candidates that will keep Bernie's supporters writing his name in if it comes to that.
And for all the Trump threats if he is elected, I say that should have been considered long before this. And that special SCOTUS threat will go nowhere either. I'd expect Clinton and Trump to nominate a justice nearly identical in ideology.
Good luck in the election.
could you not vote for the Democratic nominee, no matter who it is. I'm a staunch Hillary supporter, but if Bernie wins I'll vote for him--what other choice would I have?
asuhornets
(2,405 posts)"condescending attitude, exemplified by Hillary herself", that's how you feel about her personally, although you've never met her or had lunch with her.
floriduck
(2,262 posts)"Hillary Clinton is the WINNER, and will be the leader of the Democratic Party." How can you say that? Have you met all the remaining voters in the remaining states? That's what I mean by condescending.
asuhornets
(2,405 posts)lagomorph777
(30,613 posts)The "winner" of the GE will be the one who more successfully gets their base out to the polls. So far Hillary has told the base of the Democratic party to pound sand. Not a great vote-getting strategy.
TheBlackAdder
(28,209 posts)whatchamacallit
(15,558 posts)If she wants our votes she should show it, if not, let the chips fall where they may.
TheBlackAdder
(28,209 posts)whatchamacallit
(15,558 posts)dawg
(10,624 posts)Bernie voters didn't show up in large enough numbers to prove that they should carry the day on all of the issues, but they certainly came out large enough to have earned a prime seat at the table.
RockaFowler
(7,429 posts)I guess we don't count . . .
dawg
(10,624 posts)Your candidate gets to be the nominee and set the overall tone of the campaign. But the Bernie supporters deserve to have a significant influence over that process.
It would be foolish to ignore the wishes of 40% of your own party.
puffy socks
(1,473 posts)What proportion of those 40% are Democrats and how many are Independents like Bernie?
Duckhunter935
(16,974 posts)To win the general election. A point some of you need to remember.
puffy socks
(1,473 posts)I believe Bernie's tiny fraction of bitter, vindictive supporters won't have that much of an effect on the GE.
dawg
(10,624 posts)I certainly do.
LexVegas
(6,067 posts)TheBlackAdder
(28,209 posts)seabeyond
(110,159 posts)policy. I agree.
B Calm
(28,762 posts)snowy owl
(2,145 posts)My opinion of course.
puffy socks
(1,473 posts)morningfog
(18,115 posts)The candidate is responsible for bringing in supporters. The author is an idiot who apparently doesn't understand basic political science.
Thank You!
leftofcool
(19,460 posts)Bluenorthwest
(45,319 posts)People who have been big Primary winners include Walter Mondale, Mitt Romney and Al Gore. All of them lost the actual prize after 'winning' the right to try for that prize. It's not so much 'onus' as it is a matter of common sense, if I defeat part of my own Party to get a nomination I simply need to get as many of them on my side as possible in order to be more like Obama than Mondale. It's because pride precedes a fall.
TCJ70
(4,387 posts)...and to ignore that as "fringe" or an outlier is an extremely short-sighted thing to do.
snowy owl
(2,145 posts)I'm surprised at how few people seem to have it.
Tierra_y_Libertad
(50,414 posts)bigtree
(85,998 posts)...in defeating the republican nominee.
puffy socks
(1,473 posts)JoePhilly
(27,787 posts)beedle
(1,235 posts)... voters that she will need in the General Election .... to vote for her.
But fine, Hillary & 60% of registered Democrats are probably good enough to take on the 50+ million Republican voters who are going to be out in force to vote for 'anyone but Clinton' (yes, even with Trump as their nominee.)
asuhornets
(2,405 posts)I think some will vote for her and some will not. But how she does it, is up to her.
frylock
(34,825 posts)ThePhilosopher04
(1,732 posts)tokenlib
(4,186 posts)Some of the comments here have that same arrogance Hillary shows..and that will be lethal. After twenty years the usual Third Way lesser of evils crap just isn't going to fly this time..
bigtree
(85,998 posts)...what happens to all of those fine ideals if they don't join with Democrats to defeat the republican nominee?
The idea that it's Clinton's responsibility to get them to do the right thing is ludicrous. Do Sanders supporters have any sense of responsibility at all in confronting and stopping republicans, or are all of their protestations just reserved for Democrats?
azurnoir
(45,850 posts)and we're taking their word for it by the millions
Fresh_Start
(11,330 posts)and we respect other peoples point of views.
we understand their concerns
we want the country to be better for everyone in need whether they are elderly, children, immigrant, unemployed/under employed.
We care about them because we care about people.
puffy socks
(1,473 posts)vi5
(13,305 posts)Some would say that it's the foremost job of any candidate to convince as many people as possible to vote for them. Call me crazy though.
Just because someone has convinced a majority of a particular sub-set of voters does not mean they have convinced enough to win a full election.
And just a guess, I'm gonna say in this situation Hillary stands more of a chance of convincing Bernie supports to vote for her than Republicans or independents. But if she doesn't bother and doesn't try and just says "Fuck you, I won!" then she's not going to win the general election.
HooptieWagon
(17,064 posts)Clinton and her supporters have stated they don't need votes from the left. Cool...we won't have to hold our noses and vote for her. 'Party loyalty' is a two-way street. For 30 years the RW of the party has offered the left nothing, so there is no reason for the left to continue supporting the corporatist Third Way.
Demsrule86
(68,586 posts)So why would Clinton risk alienating voters who do not like Bernies agenda...or parts of it?
Lil Missy
(17,865 posts)"She shouldnt accept conditions. But she absolutely should take steps to mollify his voters. Shes going to have to. However, she should do it like someone whos ahead 57-43 should do it. She should say: Sure, Ill adopt a couple of your positions. But I have a couple of conditions of my own. If I hear the words Goldman and Sachs coming out of your mouth one more time, if I see any more fund-raising appeals that paint me as the harlot of Wall Street, the deal is dead, and Ill call Chuck Schumer and make sure that you dont chair the Budget Committee if we retake the Senate, but instead you have the post-office renaming subcommittee. And I may drop some of that oppo I have on you that Ive never used. You know the stuff I mean."
lumberjack_jeff
(33,224 posts)... than naked self interest. Sanders is only interested in personal position to the extent that it gives him a better lever to help people.
If Clinton wants to "mollify" his voters, she's gonna have to do it through policy, not patronage.
That said, she fucks with the Senator most popular among his constituents at her peril.
lumberjack_jeff
(33,224 posts)Clinton supporters think this is about being friends, or being nice.
It's not - it's about winning. She's not going to win without significant support among the 44.6% of people who don't already hate her guts.
seabeyond
(110,159 posts)Yes. Hence the loser demanding the winner to adopt his policies. All about privilege.
ibegurpard
(16,685 posts)If this was a fucking game... which it's not
LanternWaste
(37,748 posts)I honestly think the primary winner (regardless of who it is) will in fact, rise above the petulance of many of their supporters and reconcile with their respective primary opponent. Both Sanders and Clinton seems far more mature and adult-like than the majority of their petulant supporters on DU. My guess is they will work together for the common good.
snowy owl
(2,145 posts)And right now it isn't even 60-40 but 57-43. We toss about terms loosely these days. Had Bernie started earlier, had people known the rules for primaries in their states, it could easily be a different result. But it isn't. Still, I don't call it a landslide. And placating is an offensive word to all of us who did vote for Bernie. Forgive me, but I thought to run as a democrat, you had to be a member of the party.
No one expects Sanders to be a team player because hes a guy (emphasis on guy) who has always agitated outside the system. Whereas everyone expects Clinton to behave properly because shes a woman (emphasis on woman) who has always been the type to do whats expected of her.
Does that make sense? Isn't that a sexist statement? I see no evidence for it. And all those threats for committee chairmanships. I know those happen in reality. But there's something unseemly for Tomasky to threaten such moves. Or maybe not. People who don't know may finally learn just how sick our government and politics really are. If she cares about leading with integrity, that's not something I expect to see her do. But then, this primary season has been all about integrity, hasn't it? Thanks to Bernie.
gordianot
(15,240 posts)...at the end of the day set up crucifix and slaughter your opponents. This was the ancient Roman model.
Or as Maxist terrorist imprisoned and brutalized your entire life when released you make reconciliation the central theme of your governance. This was the Nelson Mandela model.
Now the Roman model worked and Mandela who was not a Christian came far closer to the "Due unto others" meme than any Christian I am aware of. I know which model I prefer in leadership.
nolawarlock
(1,729 posts)These days, everyone deserves a trophy just for showing up.
riderinthestorm
(23,272 posts)Ron Green
(9,822 posts)That we've let the DNC and a corrupt media influence the vote up to this point and into the near future is indicative of the strength of the grip upon our electoral system by bought players.
Bernie Sanders, while not perfect, has been the best hope for a real change this year, when such a change is truly required. TPP, climate change, unified health care, and peace rather than war are at a tipping point that will be lost with even four years of Hillary Clinton.
To call her simply "the winner" and Sanders "the loser" is to buy into the media's sports-narrative method that keeps our politics in the cultural realm of entertainment, and prevents the kind of groundswell we've seen in this cycle from taking effect. For you and others on this "Democratic Underground" to be aware of the issues listed above and to still support Hillary Clinton is in my view corrupt and worthy of scorn.
hollowdweller
(4,229 posts)Unless Trump pushes her way to the left economically I expect the Clinton admin to be full of guys who worked for the big banks, military industrial complex and more war.
I don't think Citizens United will be changed either.
I expect Hillary to not embrace any economic populism in reaction to Bernie. It will be like the Bush admin with more rights for gays and minorities and more gun control
jeff47
(26,549 posts)bigtree
(85,998 posts)"Did Clinton carry on about her campaign of the people? Did she say it was incumbent upon Obama to prove his worth to her voters? Did she put her forefinger on her cheek for weeks and make Obama twist in the wind? No, of course not.
Four days after the voting ended, she got out of the race, gave the famous 18 million-cracks-in-the-glass-ceiling speech, and said:
The way to continue our fight now, to accomplish the goals for which we stand, is to take our energy, our passion, our strength, and do all we can to help elect Barack Obama, the next president of the United States. Today, as I suspend my campaign, I congratulate him on the victory he has won and the extraordinary race he has run. I endorse him and throw my full support behind him. And I ask all of you to join me in working as hard for Barack Obama as you have for me. I have served in the Senate with him for four years. I have been in this campaign with him for 16 months. I have stood on the stage and gone toe-to-toe with him in 22 debates. I've had a front-row seat to his candidacy, and I have seen his strength and determination, his grace and his grit. In his own life, Barack Obama has lived the American dream... and so on.
She laid it on thick, and gave a strong and gracious convention speech later."
jeff47
(26,549 posts)'cause Obama had already won enough pledged delegates to win the nomination before that.
The speech you tout was done after the placating, once she had been promised the SoS position.
This was only 8 years ago. You should have a memory that lasts at least that long.
...she was offered the SoS position in December and actually declined a few times before accepting.
d_legendary1
(2,586 posts)She's only ahead in delegates despite the vote flipping and disenfranchisement. She didn't crush anyone. If she did she'd have the delegates necessary to win the nomination early on. Its called a primary for a reason. Can't stop, won't stop! Another $20 for Bernie it is!
bigtree
(85,998 posts)from the article:
"Sanders should run to the end. He owes it to his backers in California and New Jersey to give them a chance to vote for him. I dont know anyone who says otherwise."
pampango
(24,692 posts)Don't you?
They have not treated each other like the republicans have done to each other in their spit-wad fights. That is true for a reason.
seabeyond
(110,159 posts)bettyellen
(47,209 posts)vintx
(1,748 posts)She's been copying Bernie's positions to fool people and get support, it'll be great when she reverts to being herself. Can't wait to see how that plays out.
I love how he says she shouldn't accept conditions, she demanded them from Obama, but this is different!
"Sanders should run to the end. He owes it to his backers in California and New Jersey to give them a chance to vote for him. I dont know anyone who says otherwise. "
Dude doesn't read much, does he?
w4rma
(31,700 posts)"If this were two men, the onus would clearly be on the one whos behind to play ball and do the responsible thing. But I cant help suspecting that the media are going to put the weight on her in these next few weeks: Will Hillary accept Bernies conditions?"
oldandhappy
(6,719 posts)she had made it very clear she is winning...60-40 is possible
clinton fell in line with Obama because she knew she would run again. Bernie is not running again. He is going to be founding and nurturing a structure for his movement. Vastly different goals. The clinton camp manipulations have become so obvious that threats re Schumer have little impact. they are expected.
quaker bill
(8,224 posts)If Hillary wins she can run the campaign anyway she wants. That said, Sanders supporters will have won 20 to 22 states, many by large margins.
Hillary can pick to run as the sole alternative to Trump and bet on getting the Sanders supporters out to the polls by default, or she can choose to do something that might inspire more of them. Bottom line however, it is her call. What she does or doesn't do to Bernie has no relevance, he is pretty much used to being out in front and on his own.
It is the millions of supporters, she will need to get back into the WH. She wins, she gets to pick the path forward, that is how it works. Arrogance is generally a poor choice.
baldguy
(36,649 posts)musicblind
(4,484 posts)I think the winner of a primary, regardless of who it is, should always work with the other candidate's supporters.
Look at it this way, the nominee represents everyone in the party whether they voted for them or not.
Presumably, if the primaries worked correctly, all of the people voting were democrats. Shouldn't we all have input into the policies of the parties platform? Shouldn't we all be working TOGETHER as welcoming and inclusive party?
If a third of us support policies X, Y, and Z shouldn't, at the very least, a third of our policies reflect X, Y and Z?
cherokeeprogressive
(24,853 posts)hellofromreddit
(1,182 posts)You don't do that by calling them losers.
hz_xlnc
(10 posts)has been adopted long ago by her campaign as a legitimate strategy
Investigation finds Sanders camp DNC data breach to be true.
https://t.co/0dofDpJ0Hn
randome
(34,845 posts)[hr][font color="blue"][center]A 90% chance of rain means the same as a 10% chance:
It might rain and it might not.[/center][/font][hr]