electionprojection.com: Hillary in a landslide over Trump 358-180

[DCBob]

http://www.electionprojection.com/presidential-elections.php

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Interesting Arizona is blue and Georgia is pink. I am certain the media will pump up Trump just enough to make this appear to be a horserace but in the end Hillary wins this easily. My opinion.

Note: Even Bernie could probably beat Trump!

[MineralMan]

1. Sounds about right. I predicted 350+ months ago.

It could be even higher, actually.

[DCBob]

2. How could it be higher?

Which Red states do you think could be in play? Georgia, Texas?

[MineralMan]

3. I think Georgia is becoming more and more likely.

Texas, perhaps, depending on how moronic Donald Trump is during the campaign.

[DCBob]

7. Maybe also Missouri and Indiana.

It could be massive!

[MineralMan]

9. Much will depend on how Trump campaigns, I think.

He has the potential to piss off vast numbers of people, and the propensity for doing exactly that.

We shall see which Donald Trump persona does the campaigning.

[Garrett78]

15. I think Missouri, Georgia and Arkansas are the most likely to flip.

There are some other candidates, as well. Regardless, I have no trouble seeing Clinton reach 350 electoral college votes.

[leftofcool]

26. Kentucky may also flip

Bill Clinton took KY and Hills is popular here.

[onenote]

17. There is a poll out there showing Clinton only 3 points behind Trump in Mississippi

and ahead of him by 7 in Arizona.
Realclearpolitics has the polls.

[MineralMan]

20. Yes, and there's still a long campaign ahead.

I'm very hopeful about 2016.

[mcar]

19. Also if Julian Castro is the VP nominee

[Turin_C3PO]

24. This is kinda far out there but

I think Utah, based on my knowledge of it, could go blue. The mormons there freaking hate Trump. Hate his vulgarity and cruelty. Mormons may be strong GOP, but often times they don't like mean, openly hateful people.

[DCBob]

25. I heard that from someone else also.

That would be amazing to take Utah or even put it in play.

[forjusticethunders]

4. I think both candidates would absolutely smash any Republican.

Kasich is the only even possible problem, and Kasich has the true unvetted candidate in the race.

[JaneyVee]

5. K&R!

This looks great for downticket.

[KingFlorez]

6. Everything where Obama got at least 44% in 2012 could go Democratic

Georgia will flip because it's trending Democratic and if there is a real landslide, South Carolina will flip too.

[DCBob]

11. That sounds about right.

[angrychair]

22. Hard to imagine

PBO was far better known and still popular for a sitting president running for a second term. Despite that and running a weaker candidate than McCain, PBO still did slightly worse in 2012 than 2008 in SC and GA.
Given voter suppression laws and voter apathy, states like GA, SC, TN or TX are all still deep red voting states and that is not likely to change soon.

[elljay]

8. What to you mean "even Bernie could probably beat Trump"?

Are you aware that most polls have consistently shown Bernie to do BETTER against Trump (and the other Republicans) than Hillary?

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/general_election_trump_vs_sanders-5565.html

http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/2016-general-election-trump-vs-clinton
http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/2016-general-election-trump-vs-sanders

http://www.politifact.com/truth-o-meter/statements/2016/mar/08/bernie-s/bernie-sanders-says-he-consistently-beats-donald-t/


http://www.politifact.com/truth-o-meter/statements/2016/mar/08/bernie-s/bernie-sanders-says-he-consistently-beats-donald-t/

[DCBob]

10. Yeah, I have seen those.

You do realize the GOP attack machine hasn't targeted Bernie yet? They have been focused on attempting to take Hillary out without much success. I suspect if Bernie somehow became the nominee and the GOP began to attack Bernie with full force those numbers would change.

[elljay]

13. There will always be changes in polls

but they have less to work on with Bernie. His positions have been the same for decades, he has no scandals, no baggage (aka Bill) and he has very low negatives. Hillary, on the other hand, is a goldmine for attack ads. Some of this is a result of Republican disinformation, some a result of Hillary's self-inflicted wounds. Her negatives are so high that, in a normal election, they might be disqualifying. In this crazy election, the argument can be made that most people dislike and distrust Hillary but absolutely loathe Trump so she is the better candidate. Amazing to me how we've gotten to this point.

[JaneyVee]

14. lolwut?

Bernie praised Castro, wrote questionable essays about women, dodged the draft, wants to raise middle class taxes, honeymooned in the USSR, called himself a socialist, lacks foreign policy, voted against rescuing the US economy, and has zero accomplishments after 30 years in government. You think Repubs are just gonna let that shit slide???

[leftofcool]

27. There is also nuclear waste dumping, Burlington College, his taxes etc...........

[DCBob]

16. Bernie's background is ripe for GOP attacks.

They will focus on his socialist comments and past connections to socialists and communist types. Much like they did with candidate Obama.. remember Bill Ayers, Bernadean Dorne Rev Wright, etc. Those were all nonsense but they had traction with certain groups. Obama was able to fend them off but Bernie is no Obama.

[runaway hero]

21. I supposed you assume the Hillary would lose to Kasich then

Since if she went up against him, her numbers would change IMO. Remember Trump is not the nominee yet.

[DCBob]

23. Kasich hasnt been fully vetted nationally.

Regardless I just dont see how they stop Trump at this point unless they pull something in Cleveland.. and if they do that all hell will break loose and Hillary wins anyway.

[runaway hero]

38. They will

If they pulled the Voter ID thing to regular citizens, then imagine what they do to stop the outsider.

Side note, if they stop trump, do you think it proves people don't really want change.

[woolldog]

36. Not only that, but

the GOP has been tearing down HRC for 20+ years. How many people could withstand that onslaught like she has?

[SFnomad]

37. BS hasn't ever gone against the scorched Earth campaign of the Republicans ... his number will fall

The question is, would they fall enough that he couldn't beat tRump? I would suspect not, but nobody knows for sure.

[mcar]

12. K&R

[Lucinda]

18. Looking great!

[1StrongBlackMan]

28. And just wait until Democrats get to focus our fire on trump!

[StevieM]

29. I definitely think that Arizona could go Democrat this year. And it is good to see that Virginia

is becoming more and more solidly Democratic.

[HooptieWagon]

30. I see they project Florida for Clinton.

That's just not going to happen, which leads me to think their map is based on pure speculation.
Obama barely squeaked by in Florida, with strong turnout from minorities, youth, and the Left. Maybe Clinton gets as strong a minority turnout as Obama, I tend to doubt it. She's def not going to get votes from youth and the Left. And Independants far outnumber Ds and Rs,,,she loses them pretty badly too...Obama got 50%, Clinton is down near 33%.

[DCBob]

31. I believe its based mostly on polls..

On average she leads Trump in recent polling there..

http://www.electionprojection.com/latest-polls/florida-presidential-polls-trump-vs-clinton.php

[HooptieWagon]

35. I don't know who they can be polling.

Obama beat Romney by under 1% in 2012. Clinton will not get the votes Obama did, she'll be well short. Romney wasn't an especially popular candidate for Republicans, but they turned out to vote against Obama, and they'll do so against Clinton.

[sofa king]

32. I want to believe.

But what happens if Florida, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Ohio, and Arizona are close enough to steal?

What happens if Ted Cruz breaks out as an independent and Trump concentrates everything on just those five states? Now nobody wins, and the election goes to the Republican Congress, and they don't even have to vote to make Paul Ryan the President by default.

It's looking good, but we need to be aiming for total, across the board victory from top to bottom, a victory so overwhelming it cannot be statistically hidden.

We are challenging a greedy, evil, ethically vacant, criminally corrupt party whose cover-ups over the past fifteen years suggest a legacy of thousands of crimes, crimes which can be prosecuted if they don't regain control of the White House and all Presidential records going back to Ronald Reagan's October Surprise.

Participating in the illegal destruction of 60 million emails from the Bush Administration is a crime so widespread that everyone who participated in it can potentially be barred from security clearances and future government service, forever. The competent fraction of the Republican Party is on the chopping block, and their worst nightmare, the woman they have savagely attacked for 25 years, would hold the axe.

Do any of us think overcoming that sort of motivation on the Republican side will be easy? Do any of us dare to think they will play fair, or even legally?

[DCBob]

33. You have alot of "what ifs" in there.

I dont see how anyone runs third party and pulls a significant percent. Many states have "sore loser" laws that dont permit a candidate to run third party if they were a candidate.

Barring something really crazy.. Hilary wins this easily.

[sofa king]

40. I hope you're right.

I really do, but every time I start to feel a little bit complacent, I remember back to this time in 2000, when I was saying, "Sure, he's got all the money, but he can't even read a teleprompter! Who would be stupid enough to vote for a guy this incompetent?"

But I was the stupid one.

And then I saw firsthand exactly how corrupt they were, how deep it went, the laws they were freely breaking, and the cover-ups they were still protecting going back to 1980 and beyond, and I realized that if they ever lost control and the people found out what they had really been up to all these years, people would be drinking Republican blood at the dinner table for a hundred years to come.

And now, they've let the fleece grow back on the sheep. It's time for them to come back, to police the documents and erase the hard drives and close the Presidential libraries--and there's no chance they can win.

Just like in 2000.

[BreakfastClub]

34. Donald Dump is going down! And it's a woman who is going to beat him. :) nt

[grossproffit]

39. It would be amazing for Arizona to turn BLUE! I've never been so fired up for an election.

[Scurrilous]

41. Kick

[Maru Kitteh]

42. I think Texas would be in play.

and perhaps a few other states they have in the red.

[Sheepshank]

43. I thought Texas was turning blue?

Very dissapointed it's classified as solidly Republican

[Logical]

44. Stop posting this shit! We need trump to be the nominee. Nt

[DCBob]

45. LOL..

You are if you think posting this has any impact on who the Republicans pick as their nominee.