Hillary blowing Bernie away in Reuters national tracking poll 67%-30%

[DCBob]

http://polling.reuters.com/#poll/TR131/filters/LIKELY_PRIMARY15:1,PARTY_ID_:1/dates/20160201-20160506/type/smallest

=================

Looks like voters have made their decision. Hillary will be our nominee.

[w4rma]

1. Note that this isn't who they *want* to be the nominee, but who they *perceive* will be the nominee.

Whether by hook or by crook.

[DCBob]

4. The poll refers to whom they would vote for.

Not sure what you are talking about.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

5. "The poll refers to whom they would vote for. Not sure what you are talking about."

[bvf]

7. Interesting point.

If you clear the filter on the page, the picture changes drastically.

In that case, it's a dead heat at 40.1% each.

[DCBob]

8. The filter is "likely Democratic primary voter"...

which is the correct filter for polling regarding the Democratic nominee.

[bvf]

14. If the measure is perception rather than preference,

then it's valid to point out the swing.

[DCBob]

29. It's not perception.. it's voter preference.

[bvf]

31. Are all the remaining primaries closed?

[DCBob]

33. I dont get your question?

[bvf]

36. Maybe it's me.

Does "likely Democratic primary voter" refer to all voters, regardless of party affiliation, who intend to vote in the primaries, or only to those declaring D affiliation?

Seems to be the latter, since adding D to the default filter (LDPV) didn't change the numbers.

Hence my question about open primaries.

[DCBob]

37. I believe "likely Democratic primary voters" includes all voters regardless of party affiliation.

At least that is my understanding. I have to admit that poll and the filtering is a bit weird.

[Demsrule86]

38. The remaining primaries

are not significant as she has already won...she will reach the insurmountable number of delegates by California ...and maybe sooner.

[bvf]

39. You've managed to contradict yourself

in a single sentence.* If she hasn't reached an insurmountable number of delegates--which may not be clear until votes are cast in Philadelphia--she can't be said to have won.

If this is a done deal the way so many people are maintaining, I'm at a loss to explain the recent spate of posts insisting that that's truly the case. If I thought my candidate had things wrapped up at this point, I'd be enjoying myself in the Science and Religion Groups, marveling at amazing insects and quantum physics, among other things.

There seems to be an awful lot of whistling in the dark going on around here among Clinton supporters, especially those constantly importuning Skinner and telling him how to run his website. I'm sure he enjoys that.




*At least I think it was single sentence. It's hard to tell with people who use ellipses like a crutch. Don't take that personally. You're not alone there.

[thesquanderer]

35. I wonder if "likely Democratic primary voter" includes those who have already voted.

At this point, the poll would be most useful if it were restricted to states that had not yet voted, I wonder if they take that into account in the rolling dates.

Regardless, what Sanders needs to do to have even a narrow shot is to motivate new people to register to vote for him, in the states where that can still be done (esp. CA). And these people would presumably not be reflected in polls of likely voters so far.

[bvf]

13. Brilliant.

[bvf]

22. Can't deny that that's precisely what it shows

across the board.

Your remarks are hereby promoted to "scintillating."

[bemildred]

2. Gwynne Dyer: The other Clinton presidency

Shortly before John Kasich dropped out of the race for the Republican presidential nomination, leaving Donald Trump as the only candidate, the Ohio governor put up a spoof video on the Internet. Modelled on the old-fashioned intro that scrolls up the screen at the start of each Star Wars movie, it envisioned a future in which Trump won the candidacy, lost the presidential election, and left Hillary Clinton triumphant.

Titled 'Our Only Hope', Kasich's video began: "Upon defeating Donald Trump in the largest landslide since Reagan in 1984, President Hillary Clinton is preparing to name her newest Supreme Court justice, Elizabeth Warren. (House) Speaker Nancy Pelosi is planning new tax hikes, hoping that Senate President Chuck Schumer and his new Democratic majority can swiftly get it to the president's desk for her signature.

"New executive orders restricting the Second Amendment are being drafted, while increased federal spending on Obamacare is readied. Meanwhile, our allies across the world are swiftly losing faith in America's role as a global leader, empowering our enemies and leaving America in a more dangerous position. But we have hope it can be different ... ."

It was a roll call of all the nightmarish things that Republicans fear a Clinton presidency would do: create a 'liberal' majority on the Supreme Court, raise taxes, bring in gun control, and spend more money on health care for poor Americans. Kasich, of course, was the 'Only Hope' to prevent this disaster. (It was his video, after all.)

http://jamaica-gleaner.com/article/focus/20160508/gwynne-dyer-other-clinton-presidency

[bemildred]

3. Commentary: By lecturing Trump, Obama pulls his weight in reality show

by Xinhua Writer Tian Dongdong

BEIJING, May 8 (Xinhua) -- By lecturing Donald Trump, a near-lock Republican presidential nominee and archrival of his party's front-runner Hillary Clinton, about the seriousness of U.S. presidency, President Barack Obama has pulled his weight in the general election.

However, his wording used to defend the "seriousness" of the White House has decayed the credibility of his lecture, because the presidential election is anything but serious. In other words, the election has become a reality show.

Choosing a president for the world's most powerful country does give the election some inborn nature of seriousness. However, the way its players run it did -- if not all -- turn one of the smartest design in U.S. history into a reality show, which is full of money politics, verbal confrontation and plot reversals.

Money alone surely cannot guarantee the ticket for the White House, but without money you don't even have the chance to start the journey.

http://news.xinhuanet.com/english/2016-05/08/c_135342496.htm

[Trust Buster]

6. For those who choose to live in reality, Hillary is the presumptive Democratic nominee.

[bvf]

15. Nope.

[bvf]

32. Happy Mother's Day, btw.

[Surya Gayatri]

9. Keep the good news coming, but let's NOT get complacent!

[DCBob]

10. Indeed.. Keep the pressure on.

We dont just need to win.. we need to win big!

[bvf]

18. Nothing says "complacency"

quite like people insisting ad nauseam on using words like "presumptive," and "over."

[Demsrule86]

16. Country is on GE mode

Time to end the self- serving primary Bernie...do the right thing with grace and dignity.

[DCBob]

17. Indeed.. its time to move on.

Bernie is liable to burn alot bridges if he forces this all the way to the convention.

[intheflow]

20. Decided by the media, more like it.

If Bernie had gotten half the attention Trump did, he'd be our candidate instead of the woman who still continues to have the highest unfavorable ratings of any candidate in modern history.

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/americans-distaste-for-both-trump-and-clinton-is-record-breaking/

[grossproffit]

23. And, if I purchased a Powerball ticket last night I would have won.

[grossproffit]

21. Oh dear. This will come as a great shock to those living in La La Land.

[workinclasszero]

24. Wow!!

Who knew that screaming mobs verbally attacking children wouldn't go over well with the public?

Hillary is going to be a great President!

[Lucinda]

25. KNR ~ Thank you!

[Renew Deal]

26. I don't put much into this tracking poll but...

Look at that trend line. Trump clinching it could push voters to rally around Hillary. I think WV is going to be close. It's not like Bernie is any more favorable on coal issues.

[NurseJackie]

30. Read 'em and weep.

[KingFlorez]

40. Not even close anymore