North Carolina: Obama 49 Romney 49 (PPP)

[VirginiaTarheel]

PublicPolicyPolling @ppppolls

Our full North Carolina poll, which finds Barack Obama and Mitt Romney tied at 49, is now posted:

[VirginiaTarheel]

1. Obama leads 58/41 among early voters

October 31, 2012
Still tied in North Carolina

"PPP's newest North Carolina poll finds the state all tied up for a second week in a row: Barack Obama and Mitt Romney are each at 49% and virtually no voters remain undecided.

If Obama ends up pulling out another narrow victory in the state he'll have done it during the early voting period. Among those who report already having voted he's ahead by a 58/41 margin. Romney leads 58/40 with those who haven't voted yet and he'll really need them to turn out if he's going to catch up with Obama.

Voters are pretty evenly divided on Obama's job performance with 49% of them giving him good marks to 50% who disapprove. Romney has a narrowly positive favorability rating at 50% to 47% of voters with an unfavorable opinion. North Carolina voters trust Obama more than Romney both on the issue of the economy (50/47) and foreign policy (51/46)."

[TexasCPA]

2. 52% have already voted

[mnhtnbb]

4. No. 28.4% have voted.

1,876,309 votes cast out of 6,606,592 registered voters.


ftp://www.app.sboe.state.nc.us/enrs/absentee11xx06xx2012_Stats.pdf

[VirginiaTarheel]

5. 61% of registered voters voted in 2008 in NC, and that was considered high turnout

[mnhtnbb]

6. No, 69.93% of registered voters--nearly 70%-- among highest turnout in the country.

Straight from the NC Board of Elections website.

Registered Voters: 6,226,204
Ballots Cast: 4,353,739
Voter Turnout: 69.93 %

http://results.enr.clarityelections.com/NC/7937/21334/en/summary.html

[mnhtnbb]

7. And here's a link with historical turnout for elections in NC

http://www.ncsbe.gov/content.aspx?ID=70

[VirginiaTarheel]

8. You are right, I conflated the percentage of early voters to total voters in 2008 with

percentage of registered voters that voted.

[mnhtnbb]

9. And another link with great info about turnout by state

http://www.nonprofitvote.org/voter-turnout.html

[VirginiaTarheel]

3. Asheville Citizen Times says.....

Early voting in North Carolina ends Saturday and mountain counties say they are on track to beat or meet totals from four years ago.

Statewide the numbers are up, too.

So far 1,879,106 have voted, according to data from the conservative Civitas Institute. In 2008, 1,668,044 had voted in the same time period.

http://blogs2.citizen-times.com/politics/2012/10/31/early-voting-ends-saturday/

[Lex]

10. I keep hearing that Repubs have voted early but not many NEW Repub voters

but Democrats have added a lot of NEW Democratic voters who are voting early, or registering/voting at the same time in early voting.

I hope that's true!

[mnhtnbb]

11. That is true. Dems are out registering new voters--during early voting--

at a rate ranging from 1.5 to more than 2 to 1.

see my thread http://www.democraticunderground.com/1251171317

[VirginiaTarheel]

12. Over 28 percent of early Vote has been African American, 5 percent "other"

According to a report released by the Institute for Southern Studies, the percentage of voters who do not identify as white in North Carolina is now 29 percent, increasing by 5 points over the last 4 years. In Florida, the increase was 2 percent between 2008 and 2012 and the non-white vote is now 30 percent of the electorate.

[VirginiaTarheel]

13. Any updated early voting states from NC?