2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumHillary keeps pissing on California
First, "I no debate, I am winner! Me me ME! You go home now California, I WINNING!!" and now, this.
The relevant portion of the transcript is below:
{at 10:40 in the video}
CUOMO (CNN): So you get into the general election, if youre the nominee for your party, and
CLINTON: I will be the nominee for my party, Chris. That is already done, in effect. There is no way that I wont be.
CUOMO: Theres a Senator from Vermont who has a different take on that
CLINTON: Well
CUOMO: He says hes going to fight to the end
CLINTON: Yeah, its strange.
Its hard to take Clintons first comment as anything but a statement that nothing California could possibly do in its primary could change the outcome of the Democratic race even though its now widely accepted that Clinton cant win the primary with pledged delegates alone. This means that the Democratic nomination will be decided by super-delegates, who dont vote for more than two months at the Democratic National Convention, to be held in Philadelphia on July 25th. As the DNC has repeatedly advised the media, those super-delegates can and often do change their minds and are free to do so up until they actually vote this summer.
CNN analyst Carl Bernstein noted several times Wednesday night that between mid-May and late July countless things could happen that would cause super-delegates to move toward Sanders en masse.
A win in the California primary could be chief among them.
As has been exhaustively explained to both Clinton and the mainstream media over the past year, and as Clinton herself says during the interview above the name of the game is delegates should enough super-delegates switch their votes to Sanders in late July on the argument that hes more electable than Clinton in the fall (the conventional metric used by super-delegates forced to decide a primary since 1984), Clinton will not, in fact, be the Democratic nominee. Indeed many believe that a Clinton loss in the California primary coupled with a string of polls showing Clinton tied with or losing to Donald Trump in every battleground state as well as behind the unpredictable billionaire nationally could cause super-delegates to switch their votes in large numbers.
The most recent national poll showed that voters consider Trump substantially more trustworthy than Clinton.
Renew Deal
(81,866 posts)pinebox
(5,761 posts)At this point, I'm not so sure. Possible? Yes for sure. But anything right now is possible.
lewebley3
(3,412 posts)riversedge
(70,264 posts)SCantiGOP
(13,871 posts)Of the Person who started the thread. I have had that person on Ignore a long time but that doesn't block OPs.
nadinbrzezinski
(154,021 posts)Last edited Sat May 21, 2016, 11:44 AM - Edit history (1)
There I fixed it for you. Neither will reach those without them. And they should not be counted until the convention by the sacred rules that even DWS quoted earlier in the year
NWCorona
(8,541 posts)nadinbrzezinski
(154,021 posts)Mnpaul
(3,655 posts)there sure seems to be a reason to stop it right now. Is there a magical number of delegates that Bernie is approaching? Is it the number of states won? There is something in play here and they aren't telling the whole story.
nadinbrzezinski
(154,021 posts)Something is sending this to overdrive
Mnpaul
(3,655 posts)They would want Sanders out so they could pick a replacement.
nadinbrzezinski
(154,021 posts)hellofromreddit
(1,182 posts)(sic)
Mike__M
(1,052 posts)Gak! I must have awoken in a spiritually inverted alternate universe.
There's no place like home. There's no place like home. There's no place like home. There's no place like home. There's . . .
nadinbrzezinski
(154,021 posts)The sacred texts are actually
NWCorona
(8,541 posts)Duckhunter935
(16,974 posts)Explicitly said do not include super delegates numbers until they vote at the election. They have said this several times.
CorporatistNation
(2,546 posts)Quit fooling yourself! This story has DEEP CRED! The Hillary "fans" who ignore reality are in DEEP DENIAL... as is Hillary...
The Nomination Can ... BE TAKEN AWAY FROM HER AND GIVEN TO BERNIE BY THE SUPER DELEGATES... IF THEY ARE INTERESTED IN WINNING THE PRESIDENCY INDEED THEY WILL... READ THAT... WILL... DO JUST THAT!
Trust Buster
(7,299 posts)Mike__M
(1,052 posts)Given that
A + B + C + D = X
where X is a foregone conclusion,
then if A, B and D are known,
it follows that
C = whatever it takes.
NCTraveler
(30,481 posts)The nominee is known. Cali will be voting. Your issue is with process, not Clinton.
pangaia
(24,324 posts)Bernie is a human being
NCTraveler
(30,481 posts)Perfect parody but a bit harsh on them.
nadinbrzezinski
(154,021 posts)And we really need people to come out for down ballot measures...mostly to overcome, hopefully the shennanigans. Also these calls speak of well...fear and remind me of florida in 2000
NCTraveler
(30,481 posts)Once again, process.
nadinbrzezinski
(154,021 posts)That is why my local Donkeys did not endorse either. Because they want people to show up. You think they cannot do math? Process.
But really, we thank you.
One more reason why I left the Democratic Party by the way
NCTraveler
(30,481 posts)I think we all should and it's a big part of the reason I'm a democrat.
Step up to the plate and do better for "your minimum wage workers." You can do that and fight for a living wage at the same time.
nadinbrzezinski
(154,021 posts)That you assume that I have employees is your issue.
By the way, read into prop I for the city of San Diego and why it is even on the ballot. But folks that want to suppress the vote, and both parties do it... We are what two weeks from it? Fucking have patience. I really want prop I to pass and you are not helping...well Clinton is not helping
NCTraveler
(30,481 posts)It's great that you are fighting for a livable wage. I do as well and practice what I preach. My lowest paid employee gets well over minimum wage. Happy to fight for this with you.
nadinbrzezinski
(154,021 posts)But that is about 35 percent of the workers in this city. My workers are my workers in both the private and public sector. I am sorry that this language is alien to upper class Americans. And I mean that. It is alien. So stop trying to reestablish regular voting patterns in this city for example. We need them to show up. And when I said shennanigans I also mean that
NCTraveler
(30,481 posts)It's so important. Great job Nadine. We are in this fight together.
I practice what I preach and fight for a living wage for all.
pangaia
(24,324 posts)You know.. I can imagine her having said the exact same thing one year ago. Or, at least that was the game plan. They already figured it was a done deal..
But then, something strange that way came, in the shape of an "unknown" frumpy, balding old goat with a mind like a steel trap, the heart of a lion, scrappy as a chihuahua and who knew, in the word of a Thai Buddhist monk, "what was what."
`
still_one
(92,303 posts)is that Sanders doesn't know what he is talking about, and Hillary can do math
pangaia
(24,324 posts)nadinbrzezinski
(154,021 posts)pangaia
(24,324 posts)YUP !!!
nadinbrzezinski
(154,021 posts)He makes good points about how I have moved back to Mexico. Ah dictablanda.
redstateblues
(10,565 posts)like some kind of bum. I'm sure CA will remember
pinebox
(5,761 posts)never mind the whole middle finger thing and telling Bernie supporters to basically get bent.
Crazy people are crazy.
bahrbearian
(13,466 posts)That's flight or fight. Or in her case antagonize and fight while surrounded by SS and Police.
nadinbrzezinski
(154,021 posts)Are detectives
bahrbearian
(13,466 posts)nadinbrzezinski
(154,021 posts)The leaders do...the speaker on the house side does, but that is because they are in the line of presidential succession.
lewebley3
(3,412 posts)lewebley3
(3,412 posts)nadinbrzezinski
(154,021 posts)Flipping the crowd and telling them fuck you. Not as simple as you think. Plus she's not on the ballot.
pangaia
(24,324 posts)It was just stunning how insulting she was.
lewebley3
(3,412 posts)firebrand80
(2,760 posts)still_one
(92,303 posts)you are trying to portray here, but you failed miserably.
I am from California. I have no idea where YOU are from, but there is a lot of support for Hillary here in California.
Maybe you should get outside more often
nadinbrzezinski
(154,021 posts)Care to join me in National city today? We are there to cover the rally. Second one in San Diego. Hmm and Bill is in north county today. That means this is going to be a contested primary.
still_one
(92,303 posts)doesn't have support in California.
Care to join me in Northern California where I will be doing Canvassing door-to-door today?
It isn't about contested primaries, Sanders said it would be a contest convention, and that is garbage
Do you really believe either candidate will win by more than 30%?
I'll make that prediction, NO
nadinbrzezinski
(154,021 posts)Neither is getting the total of the PDs needed.
This is still a race. Deal with it, or not. And it is because neither will have the PDs
still_one
(92,303 posts)most pledged delegates?
You deal with it or not. I will book mark our dialog, and we will see, whether it is Sanders or Clinton, which ever one has the most pledged delegates will get the most Super Delegates
nadinbrzezinski
(154,021 posts)That the MSM behaves in that misconduct does not mean I will. It is called fucking process. This is going to the convention, deal with it. She will not be the presumptive nominee for that technical reason. Her statements help to suppress the vote in this state. Congrats. Depressing the vote, not just for republicans anymore.
still_one
(92,303 posts)nadinbrzezinski
(154,021 posts)Or at the convention at the floor vote?
lewebley3
(3,412 posts)Tierra_y_Libertad
(50,414 posts)lewebley3
(3,412 posts)yuiyoshida
(41,833 posts)California? I do...
ucrdem
(15,512 posts)So far no elected Dems have endorsed him that I'm aware of save the mayor of Garden Grove.
yuiyoshida
(41,833 posts)I see so many BERNIE signs.
Sparkly
(24,149 posts)She said that "IN EFFECT," it's done and she WILL be the nominee.
That's not "pissing on California."
edgineered
(2,101 posts)We the misled become so very confused with such direct statements. It was just yesterday while playing with crayons that I drew two legs on a capital D and changed it into an R.
Zorro
(15,745 posts)and probably win big.
pinebox
(5,761 posts)The most liberal state in America isn't going to vote for a Dempublican, I'm sorry.
Zorro
(15,745 posts)reddread
(6,896 posts)at least it would, if she could be.
California isn't Berkeley.
reddread
(6,896 posts)and wherever the hell you are from, there must be multitudes of Bernie stickers up and down your street
with nary a peep from the shy and reclusive, yet clearly ubiquitous Clinton supporter.
stealth species.
California will crush Hillary Clinton right in front of your eyes.
Zorro
(15,745 posts)Been living in California for the better part of four decades now, and we don't do bumper stickers in my neighborhood.
frylock
(34,825 posts)than I have for Hillary down here in purple San Diego.
reddread
(6,896 posts)Response to Zorro (Reply #37)
Autumn Colors This message was self-deleted by its author.
nadinbrzezinski
(154,021 posts)It truly depends of who comes out to vote. If the, to use my city, south of the 8 crowd comes out and votes, sanders wins and prop I passes, if the north of the 8, which usually votes in primaries, comes out prop I fails and she wins. The freeway is local version of the railroad tracks. These efforts in my mind are to reestablish the usual voting patterns of a regular primary.
pinebox
(5,761 posts)lewebley3
(3,412 posts)in the real world. The poor and the elderly need a Dem president they
live in the real world.
frylock
(34,825 posts)It's pretty obvious by the actions of the Party that they know she is going to lose in Cali.
tabasco
(22,974 posts)Idiot babble like this is why she will lose the general election.
reddread
(6,896 posts)there will be epic California Party politics in the next month or so.
all manner of misbehavior. way too many power hungry interests
and too many loose ends.
its a perfect storm.
nadinbrzezinski
(154,021 posts)Yup
Zorro
(15,745 posts)Looks like that's what qualifies as weak and stupid in Bernieworld.
tabasco
(22,974 posts)Last edited Sat May 21, 2016, 03:06 PM - Edit history (1)
James Inhofe is a senator.
As Secretary of State, H. Clinton strongly advocated for the Libya intervention, which Obama has called "the greatest mistake of my presidency."
You were saying?
lewebley3
(3,412 posts)Nonhlanhla
(2,074 posts)And false too.
Plus Seth Abramson? The poor man's HAHA Goodman?
pinebox
(5,761 posts)Are you upset "crap" and "ass" are shown on television shows like the Simpson's too?
It's not 1955 anymore . #sorrynotsorry
Nonhlanhla
(2,074 posts)my distaste for the expression as a way to describe my candidate, with anger. I don't really do anger when it comes to politics. I leave that for Bernie supporters and Trump nuts. Although Trump does make me angry - gotta make an exception for soemone like him. And HIM I'll call an asshole.
pinebox
(5,761 posts)No I am asking you a question. You said my headline was vulgar, I basically said it isn't.
Bernie supporters get angry? Funny thing, like in NV with being charged with stalking and punching a woman? Oh wait.
One idiot Hillary supporter does not mean that it isn't still true that the Betnie movement is built on anger.
And your headline IS vulgar. And false.
pinebox
(5,761 posts)First off, you're obviously considerably older if you consider the word "pissing" as vulgar.
Secondly, the Bernie movement is built on 3 things;
1) Hope
2) Us
3) Disenfranchisement
You're obvious issue is with the third but you know what? People have a right to be pissed off. The middle class since the 60s has shrunk over 50%. Boomers got theirs, millenials & Gen X'ers are fighting for theirs. We want the same things which were afforded to our elders and there is NOTHING wrong in fighting for that.
I'm not really sure you get what this is all about. Do you remember the days when people weren't drowning in student loan debt, when you could get by and make it with a minimum wage job, when you weren't claiming bankruptcy for medical bills? See, that's what this is about. Are people angry? You're damn right! Millions will never own homes while we have a candidate who makes more than a teacher does in their lifetime over 2 speeches.
There. That's what's up!
Nonhlanhla
(2,074 posts)namely minorities and women, the very people who are statistically more likely to be poor, who suffer from wage discrimination, are the ones overwhelmingly supporting Hillary Clinton. Because we don't buy Bernie's pie-in-the-sky empty promises.
And thanks for the ageism. Your expression is vulgar. No matter what my age. And it is false. Hillary is not denigrating California in any way. The numbers are just such that Bernie can no longer win. And that is what you folks cannot comprehend.
pinebox
(5,761 posts)Minorities and women? Why are you dividing based on gender and skin color? What a moot point, people all over have a right to be angry. Student loan debt and working your ass off and getting jack crack for it doesn't choose nor care if you're a woman or what color your skin is.
Wage discrimination? You want to know what wage discriminating is? It's working 50 hours a week in fast food at a fry station that gets to 480 degrees and making $8.95/hr and trying to survive on that. People make so little they can't even afford the food at McDonald's. Are you aware that Walmart has the highest number of employees on food stamps who work FT? Yet Walmart, despite making and profiting billions each and every year, is subsidized by tax payers.
People are literally suffering. You ignore that. Maybe the next time you go through a drive-thru you can think about that. You say Bernie has pie-in-the-sky promises and there's the difference. You don't want to fight, you want complacency despite the real unemployment rate sucks and millions in red states are dying from not having health care. Mellencamp sang it best; "you gotta stand for something or you're gonna fall for anything". What is it YOU stand for? I'm guessing the status quo. That very things which is forcing the people who built the bridges to sleep under them.
Wasn't ageism, it was simply a comment. Ageism would be something along the lines of "you're old, you're dying soon, you're vote doesn't mean jack", that is ageism. Sorry but it isn't vulgar and my comments aren't false either. What you don't get is and what you don't understand is why hasn't the most privileged and most famous woman in the world put away a guy who had 1% name recognition.
For that, go ahead and re-read above what I wrote.
Nonhlanhla
(2,074 posts)I know that a lot of people are suffering; that wages are too low; that the wealth cap has increased dramatically in the last 40 years. I've known joblessness and I've known hopelessnes, so you are preaching to the choir here. But you are exhibiting the typical Bernie supporter's denigrating of the fact that race and gender play a huge role in poverty, that everything is not reducible to class issues. And this is where you lost us. This and the fact that Bernie offers empty promises to fix these issues as if the president is some kind of dictator. Meanwhile you are totally ignoring Hillary's platform on these issues, and moreover you are ignoring the fact that she has already put away your guy - he just has not realized it yet. Like Bruce Willis' character in The Sixth Sense. And right now Hillary Clinton is the only person standing between us and Donald Trump. You think people are suffering now? Wait until we get a racist misogynist nincompoop megalomaniac like him in office.
And yes, your expression is vulgar. It's not the word "pissing" that bothers me, but the expression. It is vulgar. And it is false. Hillary Clinton is not denigrating California. They count - and they count a lot. But unless Bernie gets like 80% of the vote there, he will not surpass her in delegates. So it is essentially over.
pinebox
(5,761 posts)Tell us what is Hillary fighting for? Tell us how she is going to help the millions who work in the service industry when she can't even support a living wage. You said again "Bernie offers empty promises" but what exactly is that based on? How will Hillary get anything done when she isn't even offering people hope and change?
No, sorry, maybe in your world its vulgar but in mine it's perfectly acceptable speech and honestly, you have a right your opinion, I also don't consider words like "crap" and "ass" bad either. But who cares, I'm not here to discuss the word police nor act like it, I'm here to point out the facts on your candidate and speak the truth when it comes to Bernie.
Sorry but Hillary most certainly did marginalize California. http://www.huffingtonpost.com/seth-abramson/clinton-to-californians-y_b_10053848.html Hillary won't have enough enough delegates for the convention and if Bernie wins Cali, guess who has the momentum? It's already bad enough for Hillary with polls now showing Trump beating her.
Say what you will but in a GE atmosphere, Hillary is the weaker candidate and because of that, Trump will be elected. She has a trust and an enthusiasm problem.
Nonhlanhla
(2,074 posts)The fact that you still seem to think Bernie can win, however, suggests that you are not facing the truth.
-none
(1,884 posts)So how is Hillary doing so well then?
pinebox
(5,761 posts)Primaries happen in a bubble
MrMickeysMom
(20,453 posts)Plain truth.
lewebley3
(3,412 posts)MrMickeysMom
(20,453 posts)truedelphi
(32,324 posts)We are the ones who share the cartoon that features the sheeple being herded in to vote, and then cartoon viewer sees they get to cast their vote for either a bloody jawed cougar, or an equally scarey wolf.
Bernie saves us from voting against our own position. Hillary will only be a "Softer spoken" more polite version of Trump.
He says out loud what she thinks.
With either in office, Social Security will be privatized. On her part it would be the excuse "The Republicans have the power and I can't stop them." While he will figure it will add profit to the Bank Of Trump.
lewebley3
(3,412 posts)LibDemAlways
(15,139 posts)very well here. A loss for the "presumptive " nominee this late in the primary season in the most populous state would be humiliating.
Hillary is flat out wrong in suggesting that California doesn't matter. California voters are a fickle bunch. They turned out a Democratic governor in a recall election and replaced him with Schwarzenegger -- a horrible mistake but one that suggests that in California anything can happen and its electoral votes should not be taken for granted in the fall.
Bernie would win CA in the general. Hillary v. Trump would be closer.
nadinbrzezinski
(154,021 posts)But more than CA I think NY might be in play in the fall, which is why Bloomberg dropped his third party run threat.
Oh a d agreed we are fickle
LibDemAlways
(15,139 posts)up for grabs. I agree.
pdsimdars
(6,007 posts)LibDemAlways
(15,139 posts)her on June 7. The media has been noticeably silent on Bernie's victory in Oregon. Will be interesting to see if they bother covering a Bernie win in CA or just let it slide under the radar.
pdsimdars
(6,007 posts)as they get closer to completion, Bernie's margin is bigger.
Fairgo
(1,571 posts)I love a good snark in the morning.
pdsimdars
(6,007 posts)still_one
(92,303 posts)That was the OP, who doesn't know what hell he or she is talking about.
What happened with Schwarzenegger is not comparable.
My prediction is that on June 7 no candidate will win by 30% of the vote
lewebley3
(3,412 posts)pdsimdars
(6,007 posts)Is that her strategy to unify the party, by being abusive to everyone?
Ino
(3,366 posts)Everyone ended up unified against her.
pdsimdars
(6,007 posts)Maybe it makes them feel some sense of superiority and gratification, but it isn't going to unite anyone.
lewebley3
(3,412 posts)JoePhilly
(27,787 posts)Zorro
(15,745 posts)Screamers gotta scream, I guess. Lost on the issues, but still demanding attention.
yuiyoshida
(41,833 posts)I already voted for Bernie, here in California. He may not win, but her telling California to "fuck off" will hurt her in the end.
Zorro
(15,745 posts)Not a very nice thing for him to say, is it?
yuiyoshida
(41,833 posts)SHOW me a link of BERNIE telling Hillary Voters to "FUCKOFF" ... i will wait.
so na baka na.
Zorro
(15,745 posts)NCTraveler
(30,481 posts)MisterP
(23,730 posts)A former Clinton aide said Sanders should be allowed to finish campaigning in the primary but he should also give Clinton the space she needs to focus on the general without creating "more friction."
"It's basically over," the former aide said. "He needs to work on uniting the party, not scheduling another debate."
http://www.democraticunderground.com/1280200151
Mike__M
(1,052 posts)Indictment is not going to happen:
She speaks as though these things are pre-ordained.
JoePhilly
(27,787 posts)... claim they're too stupid to understand math!!!
There, fixed your OP.
jackhop
(1 post)PeaceNikki
(27,985 posts)Not a word.
lewebley3
(3,412 posts)Tarc
(10,476 posts)Some states have to go last.
Sometimes the election is wrapped up before it gets to the end.
Build a bridge and get over it.
franannjo
(29 posts)There should and will be an independent candidat running.all clinton and trump fantasies will go up in smoke, as they well should.
AzDar
(14,023 posts)treestar
(82,383 posts)Maybe all the states should have primaries on the same day, that would prevent this feeling of futility for the final primary voters.
lewebley3
(3,412 posts)The state is very well love and respected by the Dem party: even though
they are at the end.
treestar
(82,383 posts)being so populous. A solid Dem state. Except for Raygun.
anigbrowl
(13,889 posts)Hillary will be getting plenty of votes in CA and it's fine with me if it's a victory lap for her by the day of the vote.
LenaBaby61
(6,976 posts)Same here.
I cast my vote by mail for Hillary Clinton, and felt great doing it.
tritsofme
(17,387 posts)California Democrats could have chosen an earlier more meaningful primary date, but they opted to go last, making sure their voters would not get a say until the race was more than likely settled, as it is today.
The race is over now, California didn't get to meaningfully participate because their state officials didn't allow them to, this is not something Hillary controlled.
Ferd Berfel
(3,687 posts)is mentally defective and should be fired.
Unless it was planned like this to protect Clinton and blow off the voters in the entire state
eastwestdem
(1,220 posts)because she is already so far ahead. Smart people know what she is talking about, those that want to stir the pot think that it is some kind of dis.
barrow-wight
(744 posts)There simply is no way she isn't the nominee.
Whether or not neither of them will hit 2383 is irrelevant. She probably won't and Bernie definitely can't.
However, Bernie would have to get 67%+ of the remaining pledged delegates just to be even with Hillary. It won't happen but even if it did, his lead would have to be significant for super delegates to switch, especially after he's declared war on the Democratic party and some of his acolytes have threatened peoples' children, called their places of work, and berated superdelegates daily.
She's not pissing on anyone. She's simply acknowledging the facts that some folks here are unwilling to see.
silvershadow
(10,336 posts)Beacool
(30,250 posts)Hillary is not "pissing" on California. The reality is that she's far ahead enough in pledged delegates to clench the nomination. The rest is just Kabuki theater.