2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumThe most unpopular candidates ever/CNN
Last edited Sat May 21, 2016, 01:50 PM - Edit history (1)
Note: I hate the "4 paragraph rule" when the media reduces paragraphs to 1 sentence
http://www.cnn.com/2016/05/21/politics/hillary-clinton-donald-trump-nailbiter/
When Trump and Clinton face off, they will become the most unpopular nominees of two major parties in many years, making the task they both face in shifting undecided voters their way more difficult than ever.
In the CBS/New York Times poll, Trump had a favorable rating of 26% and an unfavorable mark of 55%. Clinton was viewed favorably by 31% of voters and unfavorably by 52%.
Such antipathy in the electorate, makes it a tough call for analysts to model turnout in November.
If Clinton does get a 2012-style turnout, she will likely win. But Trump could make things close if he is able to reshape the Republican coalition.
corkhead
(6,119 posts)if Dwayne Elizondo Mountain Dew Herbert Camacho Trump is able to galvanize the usually non-voting mouth-breathing rube vote.
RKP5637
(67,112 posts)I think there are millions and millions of dissatisfied unhappy voters in the US and it's hard to predict what they might do in the GE. I find the close unfavorability ratings of Clinton/Trump to be very concerning. IMO there is not going to be any landslide in this election. I think it's going to be extremely close. I find the fact that Trump has risen so high to be an indicator of the hostilities in this country.
JCMach1
(27,562 posts)Tierra_y_Libertad
(50,414 posts)MisterP
(23,730 posts)Thinkingabout
(30,058 posts)presidency, with the combination of their votes should be a very good start to winning.