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Cali_Democrat

(30,439 posts)
Mon May 23, 2016, 03:12 PM May 2016

BREAKING NEWS: California poll shows Hillary leading Bernie by 18 points



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LOS ANGELES (KABC) -- Hillary Clinton is well positioned to defeat Bernie Sanders in California's presidential primary, according to an exclusive Eyewitness News poll conducted by SurveyUSA.

The poll results, released on Monday, showed that Clinton would defeat Sanders 57 percent to 39 percent. The results of the poll showed that Sanders continues to lead among the youngest voters, while Clinton leads by 12 points among voters age 35 to 49.

http://abc7.com/politics/poll-clinton-poised-to-defeat-sanders-in-california-primary/1351808/
63 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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BREAKING NEWS: California poll shows Hillary leading Bernie by 18 points (Original Post) Cali_Democrat May 2016 OP
Great news! mcar May 2016 #1
This is such a large margin it doesnt seem at all credible to me. Baobab May 2016 #47
National polls are comp!etely irrelevant to state primary polls mcar May 2016 #48
What does a national poll between Clinton and Trump have to do with a CA poll Recursion May 2016 #57
"Oh, it must be RIGGED. Fraud Fraud Fraud!!!! Arggggg!!!!!!" (Does the crazy ever end?) RBInMaine May 2016 #60
So Bernie's winning DrDan May 2016 #2
:-) Maru Kitteh May 2016 #13
Exactly...clearly you've been to the Sandroid indocrination camps! nt anotherproletariat May 2016 #38
Right. He's winning on Mars. RBInMaine May 2016 #61
Woohoo! Virtual tie! workinclasszero May 2016 #3
Ha! NurseJackie May 2016 #36
bern enid602 May 2016 #4
Bernie is winning Renew Deal May 2016 #5
Really close race KingFlorez May 2016 #6
and a lawsuit! ronnykmarshall May 2016 #52
Woot! sheshe2 May 2016 #7
K&R! JaneyVee May 2016 #8
June 7. We'll know June 8 in most of the country. MineralMan May 2016 #9
fraud! cheating! rigged! just more "southern" voters (southern CA) bla bla bla nt msongs May 2016 #10
He only needs about a 50 pt swing or so firebrand80 May 2016 #11
As in, 50 more pledged delegates than Hillary? moriah May 2016 #45
Wasn't Hillary up in Oregon and Kentucky as well? NWCorona May 2016 #12
Bernie is down by around 90 in practical terms. Renew Deal May 2016 #17
Oregon? Surely you jest. She gave than one to him. tonyt53 May 2016 #19
It might shock you to know but Kentucky hasn't been officially called yet. NWCorona May 2016 #21
I was wondering about Arizona, New York and Illinois n/t Blue Meany May 2016 #29
But... but... hope? CrowCityDem May 2016 #14
They are just setting us up for election fraud and... jcgoldie May 2016 #15
Will these insane conspiracy theories ever end? So pathetic. RBInMaine May 2016 #62
WOOHOO!!!!!! MohRokTah May 2016 #16
kick!!! still_one May 2016 #30
Yes, I think California is going to go with the winner! And good to R B Garr May 2016 #32
Two weeks, rather. :( moriah May 2016 #46
Bernie wanted more debates, he got clobbered in the debates. Sancho May 2016 #18
Nice way of putting things into perspective. tonyt53 May 2016 #20
+1000! It's sure looking like people have seen enough of him and are coming back home. R B Garr May 2016 #33
Excellent summary of a desperate campaign. nt anotherproletariat May 2016 #39
Awesome post. Number23 May 2016 #56
Holy moley k&r auntpurl May 2016 #22
She got this!!!!!! n/t asuhornets May 2016 #23
Ah, another local news poll. Barack_America May 2016 #24
A poll conducted by SurveyUSA, a national pollster with an A rating from 538, based pnwmom May 2016 #28
Most of the polls I've seen the past 2 weeks ... LenaBaby61 May 2016 #25
Doing phone banking for Hillary here in California, I heard good solid support still_one May 2016 #35
Crashed and Berned RogueTrooper May 2016 #26
. MohRokTah May 2016 #31
Bernie is losing by 18 but he only started with 3% so he's really winning UMTerp01 May 2016 #27
This is GREAT news for the Sanders Campaign! stopbush May 2016 #34
WIPE OUT! MoonRiver May 2016 #37
Deep South. Doesn't count. Nye Bevan May 2016 #40
Hillary needs 250 pledged delegates to get half, she will get them soon and very soon. Thinkingabout May 2016 #41
But Bernie always beats the polls Spacedog1973 May 2016 #42
Massive K & R. Thanks for posting. Surya Gayatri May 2016 #43
Bernie needs to win California by 60 points. DCBob May 2016 #44
That is, by a bigger margin than he won the caucuses in WA. Or anywhere. n/t pnwmom May 2016 #50
Whoa.. that is pretty darned good there!!! Peacetrain May 2016 #49
So glad he's out of money ronnykmarshall May 2016 #51
He is now being asked to rescue Hillary in the general election AgingAmerican May 2016 #53
I think that's a part of the 'Confederacy'. bravenak May 2016 #54
Yep. Not elite enough as further North of Cali.. nt fun n serious May 2016 #58
Conservative and Deep South bravenak May 2016 #59
Bad poll. No way in hell that happens. ThePhilosopher04 May 2016 #55
Hello President Trump lagomorph777 May 2016 #63

Baobab

(4,667 posts)
47. This is such a large margin it doesnt seem at all credible to me.
Mon May 23, 2016, 08:14 PM
May 2016

Especially when considering the fact that Trump has pulled ahead of Mrs. Clinton in polls.

Recursion

(56,582 posts)
57. What does a national poll between Clinton and Trump have to do with a CA poll
Tue May 24, 2016, 03:58 AM
May 2016

between Clinton and Sanders?

You brought that up like that would have a bearing on the CA numbers.

MineralMan

(146,317 posts)
9. June 7. We'll know June 8 in most of the country.
Mon May 23, 2016, 03:25 PM
May 2016

That poll will be the one that really matters. I'll wake up, as always, when my clock radio comes on at 5:58 AM. The CBS News will lead off at 6:00 AM with the results of all of the June 7 primaries.

I'll get up at 6:07, following the morning CBS Radio news, knowing how it all turned out. I can wait until then. I can't wait to have those results, since they will probably take Hillary Clinton over the majority threshold in pledged delegates, ending the primary race once and for all.

Hasten the day!

moriah

(8,311 posts)
45. As in, 50 more pledged delegates than Hillary?
Mon May 23, 2016, 08:03 PM
May 2016
http://demrace.com/?share=C3eUWO6E

Even if he wins every other primary with an average of 55% to 45%, and takes California 70/30, Clinton would still have 50 + pledged delegates.
 

tonyt53

(5,737 posts)
19. Oregon? Surely you jest. She gave than one to him.
Mon May 23, 2016, 03:39 PM
May 2016

Kentucky? Hell, at least she had the guts to go face her strongest critics in coal country. Bernie hid behind more college students - and he still lost.

jcgoldie

(11,631 posts)
15. They are just setting us up for election fraud and...
Mon May 23, 2016, 03:34 PM
May 2016

..like Bill blocking millions of people from the polls... errr something.

Sancho

(9,070 posts)
18. Bernie wanted more debates, he got clobbered in the debates.
Mon May 23, 2016, 03:38 PM
May 2016

Bernie sued the DNC - an investigation showed his staff were guilty.

Bernie collected lots of money - and the FEC called him down for breaking rules.

Now Bernie puts his eggs in the California basket, and he is getting stomped again.

Hillary will win before California is even posted, but he's suing California anyway.

Bernie is off his rocker.

R B Garr

(16,954 posts)
33. +1000! It's sure looking like people have seen enough of him and are coming back home.
Mon May 23, 2016, 04:36 PM
May 2016

That's an interesting turn of phrase that I heard from a speaker at the Bill Clinton rally in Pomona, CA this last Saturday.

And as an aside, I've never seen Bill C. in person before, but he took my breath away. He is absolutely magnetically charismatic. Anyone who thinks he is not an asset on the campaign trail is just fooling themselves. And Hillary has TWO such Presidents who will be in her corner. I would love to see Obama in person some day.

Go Hillary!

Number23

(24,544 posts)
56. Awesome post.
Tue May 24, 2016, 02:12 AM
May 2016

Really shows how desperate, dishonest and absolutely ridiculous that campaign has become.

pnwmom

(108,980 posts)
28. A poll conducted by SurveyUSA, a national pollster with an A rating from 538, based
Mon May 23, 2016, 04:12 PM
May 2016

on its evaluation of 722 SurveyUSA polls.

http://fivethirtyeight.com/interactives/pollster-ratings/

538 predicted a strong win for Bernie in Oregon. Few polls had been conducted in that state, but the demographics alone predicted a win for Bernie, with his biggest support in states with few African American voters.

LenaBaby61

(6,974 posts)
25. Most of the polls I've seen the past 2 weeks ...
Mon May 23, 2016, 04:05 PM
May 2016

Show Californian's breaking in larger numbers to Hillary Clinton in the upcoming primary.

I know one thing, SurveyUSA is a very solid polling organization, as per Nate Silver who gives them an A rating.

Living here in California, and from all I've seen and felt these past 2-3 weeks, California does "appear" as if it's going to go for Hillary Clinton.

 

UMTerp01

(1,048 posts)
27. Bernie is losing by 18 but he only started with 3% so he's really winning
Mon May 23, 2016, 04:09 PM
May 2016

Ya know...the same ole speech when he loses a state. "We started at -300,000% in the polls and have really made great strides...."

stopbush

(24,396 posts)
34. This is GREAT news for the Sanders Campaign!
Mon May 23, 2016, 04:37 PM
May 2016

See, his winning the nomination is based on his flipping super delegates from Hillary to himself.

But to flip delegates from Hillary, they first have to commit to Hillary. Then, Sanders can flip them!

So, if Hillary wins CA in a landslide, a big chunk of uncommitted super delegates will commit to Hillary. And THAT'S when Sanders swoops in and gets them all to flip to him!

It's brilliant!

Thinkingabout

(30,058 posts)
41. Hillary needs 250 pledged delegates to get half, she will get them soon and very soon.
Mon May 23, 2016, 05:24 PM
May 2016

The first vote at the convention will seal the deal, I predict she will get at less half of the remaining pledged delegates which is 390 and at least 140 of the remaining SD's, it will be a clear majority.

Spacedog1973

(221 posts)
42. But Bernie always beats the polls
Mon May 23, 2016, 05:36 PM
May 2016

Doesn't he? 39% could rise and rise and rise until he meets his targets. You never know what a lot of phone banking, facebanking and twitters trends can do. Lets hit those phones! Lets send him more money than we have ever done before! Spam Youtube videos, Vimeo, Dailymotion, lets spam the front page of Reddit! We can doo iittttt!!!!

..... I believe he has a .......... chance...

v

ronnykmarshall

(35,356 posts)
51. So glad he's out of money
Mon May 23, 2016, 10:11 PM
May 2016

Don't have to see his fucking ads on TV here in LA.

Our neighbors did get their Hillary yard sign ripped down. Luckily I found it down the street and put it back up.

There were some Sanders peep canvasing in on our street the other day (and good for them), they didn't come to our house (two Hillary yard signs, a rally sign on the door, my car in the driveway with a Hillary sticker)... shocker! When I went outside to unplug my car they gave me major stink eye ...

I expect it to get ugly closer to the primary.

 

AgingAmerican

(12,958 posts)
53. He is now being asked to rescue Hillary in the general election
Mon May 23, 2016, 10:21 PM
May 2016

Hence his unprecedented control over the party platform. The DNC can say, "Buyers remorse!", can you?

lagomorph777

(30,613 posts)
63. Hello President Trump
Tue May 24, 2016, 04:12 PM
May 2016

and thank you California. Don't say you weren't warned. We were counting on you to save the party and the country.

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